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saturday, june 19, 2004

Wag the Dog Redux
 
Or, there they go again ...
 
Stephen F. Hayes himself weighs in on the 9/11 Panel report in the June 28 issue of The Weekly Standard.

IT'S SETTLED, APPARENTLY. Saddam Hussein's regime never supported al Qaeda in its "attacks on America," and meetings between representatives of Iraq and al Qaeda did not result in a "collaborative relationship." That, we're told, is the conclusion of two staff reports the September 11 Commission released last Wednesday.

But the contents of the documents have been widely misreported. Together the new reports total 32 pages; one contains a paragraph on the broad question of a Saddam-al Qaeda relationship, the other a paragraph on an alleged meeting between the lead hijacker and an Iraqi agent. Nowhere in the documents is the "Al Qaeda-Hussein Link...Dismissed," as Washington Post headline writers would have us believe. In fact, Staff Statement 15 discusses several "links."

Hayes's article is, of course, a pack of lies. I walked through the famous Staff Statement 15 here. It did not discuss several "links," in quotation marks or otherwise. It says there may have been three meetings between an Iraqi intelligence official and al Qaeda in the early 1990s, none of which resulted in any sort of collaboration or relationship. It says that Osama bin Laden made some requests of Saddam Hussein's government, and that these requests were ignored. So, it is far more accurate to say that the panel dismissed an Iraq-al Qaeda link than it is to say the panel discussed several links.

Hayes's spin implies that the panel thought there might be some kind of relationship or collaboration. Instead, the panel clearly said there was no relationship or collaboration. Period.

It never, as the Associated Press maintained, "bluntly contradicted" the Bush administration's prewar arguments.

Hoo boy, there's a juicy one. I could blog all day about what a big lie that is. Just a few of Bush's prewar arguments that have been bluntly contradicted:

In October 2002, Bush said, "Iraq has trained Al Qaeda members in bomb-making and poisons and deadly gases." That was false.

Bush said, in his January 2003 State of the Union address, "Saddam Hussein aids and protects terrorists, including members of al Qaeda." That was false.

Bush said, on February 8, 2003, "Iraq has also provided Al Qaeda with chemical and biological weapons training." That was false.

Powell, in his U.N. speech prior to the Iraq War, talked of the "sinister nexus between Iraq and the Al-Qaeda terrorist network." False again. [Matthew Rothschild, "Bush and Cheney Out on a Limb of Lies," The Progressive]

There's a lot more where those came from. I've been running into them all day. Sometime over the weekend I want to do a roundup of exposed Bushie lies about Iraq. But first I want to finish snarking about Stephen Hayes.

Hayes goes on to complain that most news media are misreporting what the Panel actually said. In fact, it's Hayes and his ilk (Glenn Reynolds being a major ilk) who are misreporting what the Panel actually said. For once, the media as a whole seem to be at least in the ball park, with the usual exceptions (e.g., Faux News).

Clinton's Revenge! Here's a righty blogger whose faith will not be shaken:

Let me repeat, Saddam had longstanding ties to terrorists including al Qaeda, sponsored terrorism, carried out terrorism, and cheered on terrorism. The press likes to pretend that this is a new argument invented by the Bush administration to trump up reasons for war, forgetting their own reports in the 90s about such connections and the Clinton administration’s claims of such connections.

You know these people are desperate when they fall back on the Clinton Administration as an authority. And like Andrew McCarthy, whom he credits as a source, our righty blogger drags up a November 1998 federal indictment of Osama bin Laden and  Muhammed Atef for the August 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. But I didn't realize how deliciously ironic this was until I read this letter to the editor in today's New York Times:

To the Editor:

When former Secretary of Defense William Cohen testified before the 9/11 commission, he discussed the Clinton administration's rationale for the 1998 bombing of the pharmaceutical factory in Sudan. He said that there was intelligence that Osama bin Laden had put money into "this military industrial corporation; that the owner of the plant had traveled to Baghdad to meet with the father of the VX program."

This supported the Clinton administration's thesis that VX gas was being produced there. In other words, it was evidence of Iraqi involvement with weapons of mass destruction.

How can you say that "there was never any evidence of a link between Iraq and Al Qaeda"? The Clinton administration deemed it to be a link.

MARGARET ATEN
Eden Prairie, Minn., June 17, 2004

Yes, my loves, she's talking about the "aspirin factory"! The one the right claims Clinton bombed only in a wag-the-dog attempt to divert attention from the Monica Lewinsky scandal! Could it be that the righties will resurrect the aspirin factory and turn it back into a bomb-making facility? My heart is going pitty-pat at the thought!

 
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1:42 pm | link

Vladamir Putin Update
 
Apparently the U.S. State Department never got Putin's warnings about Iraq planning terrorism against America.

State Department spokesman Adam Ereli told reporters he did not know anything about the information that Putin said Russia passed on. No such information was communicated from Russia through the State Department, he said.

"Everybody's scratching their heads," said one State Department official, who asked not to be named. [Reuters]

Speculation on the Blogosphere about why Putin is trying to prop up Bush's presidency mostly falls on Chechnya -- either Putin wants Bush to support him, or Putin wants Bush to stay in power and continue to make an ass of the U.S. and distract the rest of the world from Chechnya. See also comments on this Daily Kos post.
 
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9:59 am | link

RSS Feed Update
 
After several people told me they can't subscribe to The Mahablog because of some glitch in my RSS feed, I complained to my web host service. Here is the response.
I am not exactly sure what the problem is with your site? I have browsed to the site and conducted tests, and everything seems to be in working order.
This happened the first time I complained. They don't seem to know what an RSS feed is, and I'm not enough of a technoweenie to explain it to them. So for those who have complained, sorry. I might consider moving my blog to another host (again; current host is my fourth, I think), however.
 
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9:30 am | link

Deceived
 
More on the myriad ways the Right is soothing itself into thinking the 9/11 panel's reports are not damaging to Bush:
 
Tacitus wrote,
I'm not sure this news story is the unalloyed victory for the antiwar left that much of the antiwar left seems to think it is. On the one hand, you have the 9/11 commission stating there's no hard evidence that al Qaeda and Ba'athist Iraq worked together. This much we knew, whatever the Vice President might say. (And by the way, see Steve Hayes for evidence that not all proponents of this thesis are reality-denying hacks.) On the other hand, we also have the 9/11 commission stating that al Qaeda actively sought cooperation with Ba'athist Iraq, and that Ba'athist Iraq gave the notion serious consideration. Note that we don't know that Ba'athist Iraq actively rejected the proposal -- there's simply no evidence of followup. [Emphasis added]
The "serious consideration" part is pure projection; the 9/11 panel report didn't even hint of "consideration" of any sort. And the story linked to doesn't say anything about al Qaeda and Iraq working together. Odd.
 
And like most of the Right, Tacitus clings to the opinions of Stephen F. Hayes for comfort. I googled for book reviews of Hayes's book The Connection, in which he claims to present proof of corroboration between Saddam Hussein's Iraq and al Qaeda. The only reviews I found were on right-wing blogs and from righty propaganda organs like National Review Online and Faux News, and Publisher's Weekly, which makes its profits from selling ad space to publishers and therefore writes puffball reviews. I have not read the book, so I cannot make an informed comment.
 
James Joyner at Tech Central Station snarks:

It should be noted, however, that the Commission also seemed to have demanded an inordinately high standard of evidence, unable to establish definitively, in their view, links between al Qaeda and a number of attacks long presumed to have been perpetrated by them:

 

§          "We have seen strong but indirect evidence that his organization did in fact play some as yet unknown role in the [June 1996] Khobar [Towers] attack."

 

§          "Whether Bin Ladin and his organization had roles in the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center and the thwarted Manila plot to blow up a dozen U.S. commercial aircraft in 1995 remains a matter of substantial uncertainty."

 

Given the nature of counter-terrorist intelligence, critics might argue that the Commission's apparent search for proof that meets the reasonable doubt standard of the U.S. criminal justice system is unreasonable.

Given that the overwhelming opinion of American intelligence agencies, not to mention the intelligence organizations of the rest of the world, is that al Qaeda had nothing to do with the 1993 World Trade Center attack, it doesn't seem the 9/11 panel's standard of proof is all that unreasonable.
A lieutenant-colonel in the DIA [U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency] who specialized in terrorism and the Muslim world also ridiculed the claims connecting Iraq and al-Qaeda, adding that administration officials relied on evidence provided by Laurie Mylroie in her book The War Against America: Saddam Hussein and the World Trade Center Attacks: A Study of Revenge. "From her book," he said, "It was evident she hadn't spent one day in the Middle East but she was close with Wolfowitz and as a result we had a guy on staff [at the DIA] whose job for two years was to debunk her allegations." [Nir Rosen, Asia Times, October 4, 2003]
Gotta go to the gym now; I'll pick this up later.
 
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6:59 am | link

friday, june 18, 2004

Way Past Absurd
 
Here's what I want you to do. I want you to click here and go to the web page of the 9/11 commission. Then, scroll down just a bit, and you'll see links to the three staff statements reporting the June 16-17 hearings. The staff statement that talks about Iraq is #15, Overview of the Enemy.
 
Please, read the dadblamed thing for yourself. Please.
 
As a public service I will repeat the passages about Iraq below, but I really, really want you to read it for yourself. And read the rest of them, plus the submitted testimony too, if you have time. I may go on to the testimony over the weekend.
 
I ask you to read it for yourselves because the degree of spin/denial/obfustication coming from the Right on this document -- this 12-page, publicly available document -- has gone way beyond absurd.
 
You will not believe what the lying bitch who is allegedly the "national security adviser" is saying:
In publishing a report that cited no evidence of a collaborative relationship between Saddam Hussein and al Qaeda, the Sept. 11 commission actually meant to say that Iraq had no control over the network, national security adviser Condoleezza Rice said on Friday.

As the White House strove to curb potential damage to President Bush's credibility on Iraq, his closest aide on international security denied any inconsistency between the bipartisan panel's findings and Bush's insistence that a Saddam-Qaeda relationship existed.

What I believe the 9-11 commission was opining on was operational control, an operational relationship between al Qaeda and Iraq which we never alleged," Rice said in an interview with National Public Radio.

This is just plain pathological. The panel was not "opining" that Saddam had no control over al Qaeda. It "opined" that Saddam had squat to do with al Qaeda. But let's go now to what the commission actually said. I will focus on all mentions of Iraq.

This is on page 3, which deal with the early history of the al Qaeda organization, ca. 1989-1992:

With al Qaeda as its foundation, Bin Laden sought to build a broader Islamic army that also included terrorist groups from Egypt, Libya, Algeria, Saudi Arabia and Oman, Tunisia, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, Morocco, Somalia, and Eritrea. Not all groups from these states agreed to join, but at least one from each did.

That doesn't tell us much, but I expect the Kool-Aiders to attempt to make something out of it, as soon as they notice it.

We find the next mention of Iraq on page 5:

Bin Laden also explored possible cooperation with Iraq during his time in Sudan, despite his opposition to Hussein's secular regime. Bin Laden had in fact at one time sponsored anti-Saddam Islamists in Iraqi Kurdistan. The Sudanese, to protect their own ties with Iraq, reportedly persuaded Bin Ladin to cease this support and arranged for contacts between Iraq and al Qaeda. A senior intelligence officer reportedly made three visits to Sudan, finally meeting Bin Ladin in 1994. Bin Ladin is said to have requested space to establish training camps, as well as assistance in procuring weapons, but Iraq apparently never responded. There have been reports that contacts between Iraq and al Qaeda also occurred after Bin Ladin had returned to Afghanistan, but they do not appear to have resulted in a collaborative relationship. Two senior Bin Ladin associates have adamantly denied that any ties existed between al Qaeda and Iraq. We have no credible evidence that Iraq and al Qaeda cooperated on attacks against the United States.

For a study in desperation, see how Andrew McCarthy managed to twist this paragraph around for National Review Online. "The commission's cursory treatment of so salient a national question as whether al Qaeda and Iraq confederated is puzzling," he sniffs. "Given that the panel had three hours for Richard Clarke, one might have hoped for more than three minutes on Iraq."

Well, of course, the panel did spend more than three minutes on Iraq. This document is the summary, not the investigation itself. It doesn't say much, but maybe that's because there isn't much to say.

McCarthy drops dark hints of contradiction by other public testimony, but isn't specific about what that was. Then he says of the paragraph above,

Just taken on its own terms, this paragraph is both internally inconsistent and ambiguously worded. First, it cannot be true both that the Sudanese arranged contacts between Iraq and bin Laden and that no "ties existed between al Qaeda and Iraq." If the first proposition is so, then the "[t]wo senior Bin Laden associates" who are the sources of the second are either lying or misinformed.

Now, I've been around the block a few times, and I know for a fact that people can have "contacts" and "meetings" without forming a "tie." I'm told this happens in bars all the time, but I wouldn't know about that. However, many times over the years I've interviewed for jobs and spent a lovely couple of hours chatting with interviewers, and never heard from them again. So even though I had "contacts" with those companies, I left the interviews with no "ties" to the companies.

Yet Mr. McCarthy says this is not possible. If there is any sort of contact or meeting of any kind, then there must be a "tie." If that's true, there are a number of companies that owe me back pay. 

Look, there's nothing ambiguous at all about this. A "senior intelligence official" met with al Qaeda, once with bin Laden, in 1994. Bin Laden made some requests; Iraq did not respond. No "collaborative relationship" was formed. I read English pretty durn good; that means they weren't collaborating. That means they weren't working together. That means they did not establish ties.

It doesn't mean they were working together but that Iraq wasn't in control, as Condi claimed. It means they weren't working together. The American Heritage dictionary says that the word "ties" in this context means "To bring together in relationship; connect or unite: friends who were tied by common interests; people who are tied by blood or marriage." As a transitive verb, "ties" means to be fastened or attached.

There was no relationship. There was no attachment. There were no ties.

After a little more obfustication, McCarthy goes on to complain that the panel ignored a 1998 indictment obtained by the Justice Department against bin Laden that accused bin Laden of working with Iraq to develop weapons.

Does McCarthy know what an "indictment" is? It's an accusation; a document that details what crime a person is charged with. By itself, it's not proof of anything. So in 1998 the Justice Department accused bin Laden of collaborating with Iraq. McCarthy doesn't say how the Justice Department came by its suspicions (possibly some of the same bad intelligence that said Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction or was purchasing yellowcake uranium in Africa?), nor does he say that bin Laden was convicted of this.  

McCarthy goes on and on in the same illogical vein, sputtering and dragging the same old, same old, tired complaints that have been debunked so many times before. He even drags up the Mohammed Atta in Prague scenario again, even though that dead horse has been way beaten to a pulp already. The 9/11 panel debunked (once again) the Atta in Prague story in statement 16, but McCarthy will have none of it. Why, the Czech Republic saw Atta in Prague (although they changed their minds in 2002; McCarthy must've not gotten the memo). The FBI has considerable proof that Atta was in Florida when this meeting took place, but McCarthy brushes that off as so much hearsay.

McCarthy has too much invested in the Atta in Prague story to let go of it. A little matter like "overwhelming evidence to the contrary" is not going to pry it loose. Unfortunately, most of the Right Blogosphere is picking up McCarthy's arguments and repeating them in spite of the fact they make no sense.

But let's go back to statement #15. The next paragraph looks at allegations that Osama bin Laden was behind the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center, another pillar of wingnut faith, and says there's no conclusive evidence. No wonder the neocons are unhappy.

I found no more mention of Iraq in statement #15. I'll go on to statement #16 tomorrow. But you can read it yourself, of course.

Related link: Bush Team Tries to Brazen It Out.

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8:35 pm | link

Calling Fox Mulder
 
Former KGB spy and current Russian President Vladamir Putin has stepped forward to cover "president" Bush's bare nekkid butt:

MOSCOW, Russia (CNN) -- Russian intelligence services warned Washington several times that Saddam Hussein's regime planned terrorist attacks against the United States, President Vladimir Putin has said.

The warnings were provided after September 11, 2001 and before the start of the Iraqi war, Putin said Friday, according to the Interfax news agency.

The planned attacks were targeted both inside and outside the United States, said Putin, who made the remarks during a visit to Kazakhstan.

However, Putin said there was no evidence that Saddam's regime was involved in any terrorist attacks.

So are we making sense yet? Russia warned the U.S. that Saddam Hussein's regime planned terrorist attacks on America, but there was/is no evidence of it?

Russia opposed the war in Iraq from the beginning, but Putin said the issue of going to war was separate from a potential Iraqi threat. He said there were international norms that weren't observed in carrying out the war.

Uh huh. What he said in March 2003 was "This military action is unjustified." That doesn't sound like a quibble about "international norms."

The United States never mentioned the Russian intelligence in its arguments for going to war.

Uh huh.

After September 11, 2001, and before the start of the military operation in Iraq, the Russian special services ... received information that officials from Saddam's regime were preparing terrorist attacks in the United States and outside it against the U.S. military and other interests," Interfax quoted Putin as saying.

Despite that information about terrorist attacks being prepared by Saddam's regime, Russia's position on Iraq remains unchanged," Putin said.

Of course, Putin doesn't have to make sense to the Russian people. As dictator president of Russia, he has closed down the independent press, rigged elections, and waged an inhumane war in Chechnya. In other words, he and Shrubbie are peas in a pod, except that Putin can walk and chew gum at the same time.

If this were an X-Files episode, Mulder and Scully would be investigating corroboration between Russia and the U.S. to cover up the conspiracy about oil aliens and killer bees in cornfields and alien abductions.

Instead, we've got Putin inexplicably making up a story to cover Bush's butt. One wonders what quid pro quo was agreed to.  We may have a hint in today's Washington Post. In "Veering from Reagan," a fellow at the Hoover Institution writes,

Bush praises Putin as an ally in the fight against terrorism and a man with a vision for Russia "in which democracy and freedom and the rule of law thrive." Rather than speak the truth about Russia's autocratic drift, Bush seems content to maintain his personal relationship with Putin, even if it comes at the expense of his principles -- not exactly Reagan's approach to foreign policy.

We don't know if today's fib was just Putin returning a favor or if more substantial exchanges were made behind closed doors. But this stinks, people. It stinks out loud.

Now let's count how many nanoseconds pass before the right-wing "pundits" crush former Communist apparatchik Putin to their bosoms and thank him for being a defender of their faith.

Update: we caught one. Glennie took the bait. 

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8:53 am | link

thursday, june 17, 2004

What a Difference 140 Years Make
 
Michael Barone* has the nerve to compare the 2004 election to the election of 1864, in which Abraham Lincoln was re-elected. Barone also drops dark hints of Dire Consequences if Bush is not "re"-elected. He also thinks the Democrats are divided over Kerry. He also is an idiot. The man has no clue what is really going on out here in Voterland, so we can dismiss whatever he says as lunatic ravings.
 
However, Barone's column, plus this review of Mario Cuomo's new book, Why Lincoln Matters, gives me an opening to do some blogging about Lincoln that I've been meaning to do for a while.
 
It's often the case that we remember Famous Dead People as icons or statues rather than people, and we forget George Washington could out-swear most sailors, for example. So it is with Lincoln. Before he was assassinated and became Saint Abraham Who Sits on the Throne of God Next to Jesus, contemporaries described him as an exceedingly ugly and clumsy man who told vulgar jokes (of course, only the clean ones get into history books) in a high-pitched voice, and with a grating backwoods accent. And on some level we must realize he was just a man who had doubts and made mistakes, as we all do.
 
But Lincoln the man is dead, and we are left with Lincoln the Icon. Or Icons, as there are several editions. One version of Lincoln describes him as saintly and wise and always kind to the poor enslaved persons. And another version is Lincoln the Tyrant, who singlehandedly put an end to states' rights and enlarged the power of the federal government and suspended habeas corpus, which is all the proof some people need that he was a tyrant.
 
The truth is somewhere in between. Lincoln was opposed to slavery but, like pretty much all 19th-century white men, he was a racist. Historians today debate whether he would have supported the 15th Amendment, which gave freedmen the vote, had he served his second term. At the time of his election he'd come a long way from the backwoods bumpkin he sometimes pretended to be. In fact he was a prosperous lawyer whose clients included railroad tycoons.
 
And all of the arguments for the Tyrant icon ignore one little context of his actions, which was that there was this Civil War thing going on at the time. (These people also ignore the fact that the real expansion of federal government powers took place much later in the 19th century, but that's another blog.)
 
I can't give the entire argument for why Lincoln was not a tyrant in one blog post. It deserves a book; several, in fact. But here's a highly simplified overview:
 
Five days after South Carolina started the war by firing on the federal territory of Ft. Sumter, and just two days after the secession of Virginia, a Union regiment attempting to march through Baltimore to get to Washington was stoned by civilians waving Confederate flags. The mob turned into a riot. Someone fired a gun, which started a gunfight. Four soldiers and twelve civilians were killed, and 31 more civilians were wounded.
 
In the days that followed, secessionist demonstrations broke out all over Maryland. Marylanders formed militias to fight for the Confederacy. The city leaders of Baltimore destroyed bridges and telegraph lines into the city. Rumors flew that Maryland would seceed, and that the state legisature would arm the state to fight the Union. (A believable rumor considering the governor and legislature of Missouri attempted exactly that.) And mob violence was within hiking distance of Washington, DC. Civil authority was breaking down, in Maryland and elsewhere. At this point Lincoln suspended the writ in an area between Philadelphia and Washington, DC.  
 
The Constitution provides that the writ may be suspended "when in cases of rebellion or invasion the public safety may require it." But this provision is made in Article I, which describes the powers of Congress. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume the Founders intended Congress to have that power, not the President. But Congress was not in session at that time, and in the 19th century it would take a few weeks to call Congress back. By then Washington DC might have been overrun by Confederates.
 
Remember, Lincoln could look out of the White House windows and see Confederate flags waving in Virginia. He had reason to be concerned.  Jefferson Davis had already assembled a Confederate army that by April 1861 was, as I remember, already twice the size of the U.S. Army, most of which was on the Pacific coast or fighting Indians on the plains. Lincoln was in a desperate situation.
 
As someone who learned about Lincoln through study of the Civil War, I am often stunned at the assumptions made by people who look at Lincoln's political actions outside the context of the war. He ordered a naval blockade of the southern states, they wail. Of course he did. There was a bleeping war going on. All Civil War buffs know about the blockade. As I remember, the blockade was recommended by the aging General Winfield Scott, who believed that cutting off cotton exports would force the seceeded states back into the Union with little bloodshed. It didn't quite work that way, although the blockade did have an impact on the cotton states and thereby the war. It's baffling to me how anyone bright enough to tie his shoes can call the blockade an act of tyranny, under the circumstances.
 
The Civil War was not a little skirmish. At least 618,000 Americans died in the war, and some say the toll reached 700,000. I haven't done the math myself, but it's said these casualties exceed the nation's loss in all its other wars, from the Revolution through Vietnam. Nasty business.
 
People today do not appreciate that the Union might have lost. The Union had a military advantage, but the South put up a remarkable fight and very nearly wore the Unionists down to a political settlement that would have split the nation in two. Without the blockade, the Confederacy might have prevailed. Without suspension of the writ, Confederate mobs might have captured Washington.
 
And when Congress finally got back to business Lincoln submitted all of his extra-Constitutional acts, including suspension of the writ, to the legislators for approval, which they gave. With only five Democrats voting no, Congress declared that "all the acts, proclamations and orders of the President ... are hereby approved and in all respects legalized and made valid ... as if they had been issued and done under the previous express authority and direction of the Congress of the United States."
 
My favorite Lincoln the Tyrant claim is that he used the writ only to round up his political enemies. In fact, the people detained were Confederate sympathizers, who incidentally were political enemies of Lincoln. Duh. Historian Phillip Paludan wrote,
Throughout the nation the possibility was woven into demography and politics. Here again the corrupting hand of slavery was ever present. In border states in particular but also throughout the North, who was loyal to the Union? People had migrated from slave states to free and vice-versa, leaving family and friends behind. They shared attitudes about and experiences with slavery, held them deeply, though living in different parts of the country. Would anything counter-balance them? Political loyalty linked Democrats North and South through racism, antipower rhetoric, and memories of anti-Republican struggles. Which Democrats would take that linkage to extremes? In the midst of a civil war, government needed to act when such questions threatened. [Paludan, The Presidency of Abraham Lincoln (Lawrence, KS: University Press of Kansas, 1994), p. 72]
In time the writ would be suspended in a few other areas, mostly in the border states in which mobs of citizens were shooting and hanging each other with great enthusiasm. In some cases the writ was suspended (usually at the request of generals) in places where, on later reflection, it didn't need to be, because civil authority was still functioning. People were taken into custody without the writ who were not guilty, but many of them really were planning acts of sedition. For example, some men taken into custody were in the process of providing arms, machinery, and even ships to the Confederacy.
 
However, no one was cut off from the rest of the world, as Jose Padilla is now. Most were held for only a short time. Even some of the guilty were paroled after they signed an oath of allegience to the Union. And Lincoln's war powers were essential to saving the Union.
 
Now let's scoot ahead to the election of 1864. Early in the year Lincoln sincerely believed he would lose the election, and he made plans with his cabinet for prosecution of the war as a lame duck. Yet he insisted that the election take place. This is not what a tyrant would have done. (The political winds blew in Lincoln's favor only after Sherman took Atlanta in September 1864.) 
 
The essential points are that Lincoln's actions were necessary to save the Union, and that Lincoln never claimed he could usurp the powers given Congress by the Constitution. He acted without their prior approval in exigent circumstances, because not to act would have endanged the Union. Not acting would have been a violation of his solemn oath to protect and defend the Constitution.
 
In no way did Lincoln provide a precedent for G. W. Bush to set aside the will of Congress or to act in secret without consulting Congress.
 
*Michael Barone's point was that if Lincoln had lost to George McClellan, McClellan might have negotiated a peace settlement with the Confederacy. Therefore, says Barone, it would be unwise not to "re"-elect Bush. Is he implying that President Kerry might negotiate a settlement with Osama bin Laden? As I said, Barone is an idiot.
 
OK, D.R. Marvel, have at it. :-) 
 
 
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7:06 pm | link

Nothing to See Here
 
If you are curious about what's being said on the Right Blogosphere about the 9/11 panel's debunking of the Saddam-al Qaeda link, here is a summary:
 
 
I cruised about for quite a while, and the only mention of the 9/11 panel was on Instapundit. Glenn Reynolds is in psychotic denial, but he did mention it. 
 
Glennie clings tightly to his delusions -- there was a Saddam-al Qaeda link, because Prime Minister Blair says so. And he wouldn't have any reason to lie, would he? Naaaah ... Also, the 9/11 Commission is wrong and Stephen Hayes is right. Also, the claim about no Saddam-al Qaeda link is just ONE PARAGRAPH in a TWELVE PAGE DOCUMENT, but the LIBRUHL MEDIA picked out that ONE PARAGRAPH to put in their headlines! [pant pant pant, deep inhale] And anyway, UNSCAM! So there.
 
But give Glenn credit; at least he's not ignoring the 9/11 panel entirely, as is the rest of the Right Blogosphere.
 
Oh, wait, IMAO just posted something ...

So the 9/11 Commission has found no link between Iraq and al Qaeda on attacking on the September 11th attack. So what? Do they expect us to apologize to Saddam now or something? He had what was coming, and everyone should be happy.

So why are we wasting money on a commission like this?

Breathtaking, ain't it? Frank J. of IMAO should explain this to Fernando Juarez, whose son Jesus, a U.S. Marine, stepped on a U.S. cluster bomb and bled to death in a desert so that Frank can be happy. Mr. Juarez should be happy. Everybody should be happy. No problem.  
 
IMAO bills itself as a humor site, so perhaps Frank was writing with tongue in cheek. I don't see the humor, though.
 
Update: The voice of the (Medium) Lobster.
 
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11:52 am | link

Can I Watch TV Now?
 
I've been watching less and less television news for several months now. I managed to miss all of the Reagan funeral coverage. But I see that NBC Nightly News reported last night that Donald Rumsfeld got caught doing something naughty.
Pentagon officials tell NBC News that late last year, at the same time U.S. military police were allegedly abusing prisoners at Abu Ghraib prison, U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld ordered that one Iraqi prisoner be held “off the books” — hidden entirely from the International Red Cross and anyone else — in possible violation of international law.
So I get my hopes up that the blow-dried brigades are doing real journalism again. But then I read:
It’s the first direct link between Rumsfeld and questionable though not violent treatment of prisoners in Iraq. [emphasis added]
deadiraq.jpg
 
So are we to believe the man pictured at left died of natural causes? And that it's perfectly normal for the dead to be gloated over by young women wearing rubber gloves?
 
I believe I will stay tuned in to Law and Order reruns, thanks. They make sense.
 
The hidden prisoner story does have some interesting plot twists. The report says he was flown out of Iraq for interrogation, but then the Justice Department suggested that holding him outside Iraq might be illegal (hiding him from the Red Cross wasn't illegal?) so they brought him back to Iraq, where "nearly one year after his capture, he’s still being held incommunicado."
 
But wait, it gets better.

In fact, once the prisoner was returned to Iraq, the interrogations ceased because the prisoner was entirely lost in the system. ... Tom Malinowski of Human Rights Watch said, “If they thought he was such a threat that he could not get Red Cross visits, then how come such a threatening prisoner got lost in the system?”

And if he's lost in the system, how do we know he is still being held in Iraq? And how do we know he's really "lost"? Forget Law and Order; X-Files reruns make more sense than this. And here's a real knee-slapper: 

Pentagon officials still insist Rumsfeld acted legally, but admit it all depends on how you interpret the law.

But we know Bushies subscribe to the Leona Helmsley school of jurisprudence -- laws are for the little people.
 
For more on how the Bush Administration interprets law, read Alberto Gonzalez v. International Law in Slate.
 
A couple of unrelated hot links:
 
 
 
*Thanks to Hammerdown.
 
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6:22 am | link

wednesday, june 16, 2004

Bush: Biggest Screwup in History
 
The 9/11 Commission says that Saddam Hussein rebuffed Osama bin Laden in the early 1990s when the al Qaeda leader asked for Iraq's assistance.
 
Further, the 9/11 Commission found evidence of corroboration between al Qaeda and Iran as well as ties with Sudan and Pakistan.
The commission found that throughout the decade prior to the September 11 attacks, bin Laden’s organization forged alliances with officials in a number of foreign governments, including Iran, Sudan and Pakistan.
   
Indeed, the commission said there are “strong indications” that “elements of both the Pakistani and Iranian governments frequently turned a blind eye” to a flow of recruiters, travel facilitators, and document forgers who flew in and out of bin Laden’s training camps in Afghanistan throughout the late 1990s.
  
By contrast, the commission found little evidence of any collaborative relationship with Saddam Hussein’s regime in Iraq—which the Bush administration chose to invade last year at least in part because of claimed links to Al Qaeda. [Michael Isikoff and Mark Hosenball, Newsweek, June 16, 2004]
In other words, Bush invaded the wrong country.
 
Now, my question is, is this the biggest blunder in world history? I can't think of anything that even comes close in American history, so we have to take the question global. The only event that comes to mind is Napoleon's invasion of Russia, 1812. But surely, in terms of scale, Bush has Napoleon beat all to hell.
 
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8:40 pm | link

He's Nuts, I Tell You, II
 
Richard Wolffe writes on the Newsweek web site that the "president" is struggling to express himself.
It was only 10 minutes into what was billed as a relaxed “conversation” about prescription drugs. But after leafing through his talking points, perched on a small black box in front of his chair, the president was clearly struggling. “I’m just about running out of air,” he joked, before handing things over to the other four people on stage. “Want me to keep talking?” In less than 40 minutes, the conversation was over. That was about the same time as George W. Bush spent in his motorcade from Kansas City airport to his chit-chat in Liberty, Mo.
Not only could Bush not sustain a conversation about health care, what he did say was odd.
Speaking of next year’s Medicare benefits for preventative medicine, Bush seemed far less interested in the health of seniors than the financial health of the tax base. “For the first time in Medicare's history, we're now going to diagnose problems before they become acute,” he said. “That seems to make sense, particularly if you're worried about taxpayers' money. In other words, if you act early to prevent problems from happening in the first place, it's good for the taxpayers.” ...
 
More tellingly, he couldn’t confine himself to just Medicare. Speaking for only half the 39-minute event, Bush couldn’t resist veering into the war on terror and other assorted parts of his re-election strategy. After a peculiar reference to voluntary work in the community, Bush riffed on the importance of a strong military. “It’s incumbent upon America to lead and work with other nations to spread freedom,” he said in front of a giant sign emblazoned with the acronym "Rx."
And Wolffe says Bush was unable to frame his message to be appropriate for his audience. He used "inside the beltway" jargon, says Wolffe, and spoke of "Medicare Plus Choice, as if his audience knew the technical differences between one part of the program and another."
 
This seems significant to me because it reveals an utter lack of empathy with his audience. Any normal person, especially a politician -- even a lying scoundrel of a politician -- would aim his message in a way that suited his audience. An inability to empathize is a big red flag of narcissistic personality disorder.
 
Also, it seems to me that Bush's performance reveals either a complete lack of interest in connecti