Know Your Enemy

Bill Kristol thinks the Republican Party has flaws, but “at least we have a president who knows we are at war with jihadist Islam.”

Says who?

This week at Time.com Lisa Beyer wrote,

Enunciating a new security doctrine nine days after the 9/11 attacks, President Bush declared that the war on terrorism would be fought not just against al-Qaeda but also against “every terrorist group of global reach.” Hizballah can certainly be said to fit in that category. However grand it may be to fight all global terrorists, though, the simple fact is that we can’t: we don’t have the troops, the money or the political will. That means it may make sense to limit our hit list to the groups that actually threaten us. Hizballah does not now do that. Nor does the other group currently in the spotlight, the Palestinian Islamist organization Hamas. The U.S. has sound reasons for wanting to constrain these groups, principally that they threaten our ally Israel. But those reasons have largely gone unarticulated as Bush falls back on maxims about the need to confront terrorism, as if Hizballah and Hamas are likely to be behind the next spectacular that will top 9/11. They are not, and pretending that they are costs the U.S. credibility, risks driving terrorist groups that aren’t allied into alliance and obscures the real issues at hand in the Middle East: How do you soften up militants who vehemently oppose Israel’s existence? What should the U.S. put on the line for Israel? And does it make sense for Washington to engage in boxing by surrogate with Tehran?

Yesterday I posted commentary on James Fallows’s new article in Atlantic, here and here. Here’s another bit:

How can the United States regain the initiative against terrorists, as opposed to living in a permanent crouch? By recognizing the point that I heard from so many military strategists: that terrorists, through their own efforts, can damage but not destroy us. Their real destructive power, again, lies in what they can provoke us to do. While the United States can never completely control what violent groups intend and sometimes achieve, it can determine its own response. That we have this power should come as good and important news, because it switches the strategic advantage to our side.

On the other hand …

So far, the United States has been as predictable in its responses as al-Qaeda could have dreamed. Early in 2004, a Saudi exile named Saad al-Faqih was interviewed by the online publication Terrorism Monitor. Al-Faqih, who leads an opposition group seeking political reform in Saudi Arabia, is a longtime observer of his fellow Saudi Osama bin Laden and of the evolution of bin Laden’s doctrine for al-Qaeda.

In the interview, al-Faqih said that for nearly a decade, bin Laden and al-Zawahiri had followed a powerful grand strategy for confronting the United States. Their approach boiled down to “superpower baiting” (as John Robb, of the Global Guerrillas blog, put it in an article about the interview). The most predictable thing about Americans, in this view, was that they would rise to the bait of a challenge or provocation. …

…The United States is immeasurably stronger than al-Qaeda, but against jujitsu forms of attack its strength has been its disadvantage. The predictability of the U.S. response has allowed opponents to turn our bulk and momentum against us. Al-Qaeda can do more harm to the United States than to, say, Italy because the self-damaging potential of an uncontrolled American reaction is so vast.

Bill Kristol rants that Democrats are “Anti-war, Anti-Israel, Anti-Joe [Lieberman].” I say neocons like Kristol are anti-American. They seem to have no connection whatsoever to this country, its future, and its historical values. They’re also anti-smart. Let’s face it; your standard neocon is to intelligence what a black hole is to matter. If, after all that’s gone wrong, these people still think they are qualified to dictate America’s foreign policy, they are pathologically dense.

At Haaretz.com, Michael Levy calls for the end of the neocon nightmare.

The key neocon protagonists, their think tanks and publications may be unfamiliar to many Israelis, but they are redefining the region we live in. This tight-knit group of “defense intellectuals” – centered around Bill Kristol, Michael Ledeen, Elliott Abrams, Perle, Feith and others – were considered somewhat off-beat until they teamed up with hawkish well-connected Republicans like Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and Newt Gingrich, and with the emerging powerhouse of the Christian right. Their agenda was an aggressive unilateralist U.S. global supremacy, a radical vision of transformative regime-change democratization, with a fixation on the Middle East, an obsession with Iraq and an affinity to “old Likud” politics in Israel. Their extended moment in the sun arrived after 9/11.

Finding themselves somewhat bogged down in the Iraqi quagmire, the neoconservatives are reveling in the latest crisis, displaying their customary hubris in re-seizing the initiative. The U.S. press and blogosphere is awash with neocon-inspired calls for indefinite shooting, no talking and extension of hostilities to Syria and Iran, with Gingrich calling this a third world war to “defend civilization.”

Bottom line:

An America that seeks to reshape the region through an unsophisticated mixture of bombs and ballots, devoid of local contextual understanding, alliance-building or redressing of grievances, ultimately undermines both itself and Israel.

Levy provides the alternative:

A U.S. return to proactive diplomacy, realism and multilateralism, with sustained and hard engagement that delivers concrete progress, would best serve its own, Israeli and regional interests. …

…Beyond that, Israel and its friends in the United States should seriously reconsider their alliances not only with the neocons, but also with the Christian Right. The largest “pro-Israel” lobby day during this crisis was mobilized by Pastor John Hagee and his Christians United For Israel, a believer in Armageddon with all its implications for a rather particular end to the Jewish story. This is just asking to become the mother of all dumb, self-defeating and morally abhorrent alliances.

Well, yeah.

Be sure to read all of Levy’s article. See also commentary by Brent Budowsky. Billmon and Taylor Marsh discuss the UN Security Council Resolution proposed today by the United States and France.

4 thoughts on “Know Your Enemy

  1. Michael Levy is a wise man. As the Neo Cons and the Christian followers of Hagee, Robertson, and Falwell test their theories on the people of the middle East, the bombs and missiles will cause destruction in Israel, Lebanon, and beyond. No one in Chevy Chase MD , suburban VA, or in East Texas will smell the burning flesh or rotting corpses, hear the ear busting explosions or have to run in panic from crazies with guns or bombs.
    The citizens of Israel and true friends of the Israeli people need to understand how wicked and demented those groups are in order to avoid a regional conflict that could go global and nuclear.
    The followers of Hagee and his cohorts need to separate end times fantasy from the realities of the middle east, and expel Israeli agents in the US who speak at Christian churches on Sundays throughout the south to boost the unholy Christian/Jewish end times senario,(Yes, this IS happening)
    The Neo Con Goal of reshaping the Middle East through “Creative Destruction” is total madness, will benefit only the weapons builders, Bechtel, Halliburton, and the bankers while bringing death and destruction to those caught in the crossfire.
    Innocents throughout the middle east INCLUDING Israel need to understand this.We need to stop this insanity.
    GREAT post Maha.

  2. Hagee is the worst…When I watched his biblical prophecy series with his custom tailored for Bush’s middle east policy interpretation of Daniel’s dream, I experienced a sense of horror. Not by the words that Hagee was speaking, but by the looks on the faces of his audience..they were mesmerized, drinking in every word that told them that Israel could absolutely do no wrong.. Hagee is a very dangerous man… he spins fear into gold.

    I do get a kick watching Hagee get on fire with the holy ghost. Like when he bursts into a holy ghost jig and starts wiggling his pudgy butt and speaking in tongues.. and how he curtails his holy ghost tornadoes with an ending of …Glory to the Lamb!

  3. “He spins fear into gold”
    Ain’t that the truth, he is indeed dangerous, but Harry Potter will kick his ass!
    It’s amazing that a “Preacher” needs body Guards, Hagee has’em.

  4. I sitting here strategizing how to defend America and I’ve come up with a masterful plan…at least in regard to securing our southern border.. First, we find an intolerable offense committed by an illegal immigrant of Mexican nationality and use that as a pretext to launch a shock and awe campaign against Mexico city and the entire infrastructure of the State of Mexico.
    Secondly, we agree to a ceasefire only upon the condition that a 20 mile deep buffer zone on Mexican territory extending from the Gulf of Mexico to the Pacific Ocean be implemented.The United Nations would be responsible to maintain the security of the buffer zone at the United Nations expense.
    The brilliance of my plan is that it would solve our illegal immigration problems, it would give Rumsfeld a chance to redeem himself through a shock and awe spectacular, and the costs would be paid by Mexico’s oil.
    I generally try to safeguard my modesty, but it’s hard to suppress my pride in being a visionary for the defense of America.

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