March 25, 2008

Catching Up

The problem with getting behind in my blogging is that, when I do get back to the blog, so much stuff has happened that I don’t know where to start. And, unfortunately, I have a huge amount of Other work to do today and cannot linger here writing something artful. So I’m just going to sort of free associate for a bit and run through some current items.

Leila Fadel and Nancy A. Youssef write for McClatchy Newspapers, “Is ’success’ of U.S. surge in Iraq about to unravel?” I knew the surge — as a public relations tool, anyway — was in trouble last night, when I was half listening to Hardball. I heard Tweety ask something along the lines of “Is the surge working?” When Tweety’s catching on to something, you know it’s pretty damn obvious. See also Fester at Newshoggers.

The bobbleheads are beginning to write off the Clinton campaign again, for at least the third time. The Vegetable has her chances of winning the nomination at 5 percent, which makes it a near certainty she’s about shoot up in the polls.

Journalist and brother blogger Will Bunch scored a major coup yesterday with this story. (Senator Clinton is exaggerating? Who knew?) See also “Clinton: Pledged delegates are ‘like superdelegates.’ ”

I have to disagree with E.J. Dionne. He writes,

What’s the matter with conservatism?

Its problems start with the failure of George W. Bush’s presidency …

The problems of conservatism are intrinsic to conservatism. Bush’s failed presidency is just a manifestation of the internal failures of conservatism.

I don’t have any problems with what used to be moderately conservative positions, such as being cautious about raising taxes, spending the people’s money, and getting entangled in foreign problems we would do well to leave alone. A moderately conservative perspective needs to be represented in government as a counterweight to some of the flightier impulses of progressivism. By the same token, conservatism needs progressivism and its flightier impulses to keep it from being utterly stuck in the mud. And democratic government itself can only survive when it respects the values of liberalism.

The problem with conservatism is that, when taken to extremes and logical outcomes, it turns into a nasty, brutish thing that destroys everything it touches. And the problem with the Republican Party is that, in the 1970s, it was infiltrated and taken over by hard-core ideologues who were determined to take the GOP and the rest of the country to those extremes and logical outcomes.

And once the extremists had complete control of all branches of government, with no effective counterweights, they proceeded to destroy everything they touched.

You can argue — hell, I’ve argued — that any ideology, taken to extremes, will implode and self-destruct. Ideology is a bit like medicine; a bigger dose is not necessarily a better dose. One pill every four hours might cure you, but four pills every one hour might kill you.

Well, Other duty calls. Gotta go.

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February 16, 2008

Tell Me About It

Filed under: blogging — maha @ 10:43 pm

This year’s flu shot isn’t working. I believe I’d noticed that already.

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February 4, 2008

Announcement

Filed under: Religion, blogging — maha @ 12:45 pm

The big news is that I was recently contracted to be the Guide to Buddhism at About.com. Today it’s official.

The Buddhism section has been without a Guide for about a year, so that part of the About.com site is pretty much dead in the water and rough around the edges. It will take me a few weeks to get it up to standards.

My plan at the moment is to blog politics here but to blog religion and spirituality there. Since I’ll be on probation for the next three months, and since About.com likes very short blog posts, I probably won’t be writing one of my signature 5,000 treatises there anytime soon. However, there is a forum I’ll be riding herd on, and as soon as the About.com techies get some glitches ironed out I’ll set up some new categories. Feel free to start threads on anything having to do with spirituality, though.

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February 2, 2008

Blogroll Amnesty Day

Filed under: blogging — maha @ 9:06 pm

Photobucket

I’m not entirely sure what this is about, but it’s Skippy’s idea. And you know I do whatever Skippy says.

In keeping with the spirit of the day, I want to give a shout out to some blogs on my blogroll that don’t get the attention they deserve. So, give it up for Philosopher’s Playground, the Grumpy Forrester, The 10,000 Things, Fallenmonk, Folkbum’s Rambles and Rants, and Ratiocination by our own Biggerbox.

And I’m adding a new blog: Badtux the Snarky Penguin. I love cute animals.

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January 22, 2008

Hey

Filed under: blogging — maha @ 5:42 pm

I still feel terrible. This morning I entertained notions that I might recover, but I’ve changed my mind.

Stuff to read — Gary Kamiya, “Dead Party Walking” and Eugene Robinson, “What’s Gotten Into Bill?

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January 21, 2008

Sick Day

Filed under: Iraq War, blogging — maha @ 8:14 am

I have the flu. I’m taking a sick day.

Until tomorrow, read –

Andrew Bachevich, “Surge to Nowhere

Jonathan Steele, “A Failure to Think

Carry on.

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January 15, 2008

Numbers and Wingnuts

Filed under: Iraq War, conservatism, blogging — maha @ 3:06 pm

One of Bill Kristol’s New York Times’s columns has been republished on the Guardian web site. You can read it if you like, although to be frank I didn’t get past the blurb — “It is beyond Democrats to concede that Bush’s troop surge has been a substantial success.” Of course, it is beyond a neocon to concede that the principal objective of the surge has not been accomplished. The surge was supposed to buy the Iraqi government some time to pull itself together. Instead, the political situation in Iraq continued to deteriorate, surge or no surge.

But what I really want to call your attention to is one of the comments, which doesn’t have a direct link. “Hotbed” writes,

But let’s do the math:

1) The World Health Organization says that in the three years after the invasion 151,000 Iraqis died in random violence.

2) During Saddam’s 24 years in power, he started the Iran-Iraq and Gulf wars (in which about one million people died) and exterminated at least 500,000 of his own people.

Let’s work out the annual averages:

62,500 violent deaths per year under Saddam
50,000 violent deaths per year under the occupation.

So the latter figure will have to rise substantially, and continue for another 20 years, for the anti-war lobby to have been “right” about Iraq, Bush etc.

Never mind that Hotbed is using a lowball estimate of deaths per year under the occupation and a high estimate of deaths under Saddam. Never mind 3,923 dead U.S. soldiers as of today. Never mind that over 4 million Iraqis have been displaced. Never mind that the Middle East is now less stable than it was before. Never mind that the cost so far is approaching $486 billion. Never mind that the invasion of Iraq served absolutely no vital interest of the United States. Hotbed has the numbers! We’re a success!

In the recent “Morality and Wingnuts” post, I wrote about right-wing blogger reaction to the New York Times article on violent crimes committed by veterans returning from Iraq and Afghanistan. Instead of expressing sympathy and concern for veterans who lacked support for war trauma, the righties went into big-time defensive mode and accused the New York Times of bashing vets.

I wrote,

This blogger (who tags his post “NY Times liars scoundrels scumbags”) calculates that 121 homicides among the number of returned veterans is actually below the national homicide rate of the general population — “one-half to less than one-third as much.” But the blogger calculates that there are 1.99 million Iraq/Afghanistan veterans, and I don’t believe that’s accurate. (Note to wingnuts: By saying “I don’t believe” I acknowledge that I don’t know what the number is and could be mistaken.) …

… I would like to know how the real homicide rate of the vets compares to non-vets of the same age group, particularly among males, who commit nearly 90 percent of homicides. It’s possible that the rate among the vets is pretty close to average.

Michelle Malkin provides a correction. According to the Veterans of Foreign Wars, the actual number of discharged veterans of Iraq and Afghanistan is 749,932, not 1.99 million. If there were 121 homicides among that number of people (the New York Times considers 121 to be a minimum, not the actual total), then the homicide rate would be 16.1 per 100,000. This is lower than the going homicide rate of 20 per 100,000 rate for white males aged 18-24. But some of the vets are older, and some are women, and the 121 is probably a low number. As I said, it’s possible the homicide rate of discharged veterans is pretty close to average for that demographic group.

And numbers don’t show us what individuals are going through. When you look at individual cases as the New York Times did, it does appear that some of those homicides were related to war trauma. The point of the NY Times article was not that veterans by nature are homicidal maniacs, but that there is inadequate screening and support for post-traumatic stress and veterans and their families are suffering for it.

But in Rightie World, pointing out that veterans have all the vulnerabilities normally associated with being human is bashing the troops. Can’t have that.

And if they can produce some numbers to show that there’s no problem, then there’s no problem, never mind the real-world experience of actual flesh-and-blood people. See Malkin’s headline: “Hey, NYT: 99.98 percent of all discharged Iraq and Afghanistan vets have not committed or been charged with homicide!”

From the New York Times story that has Malkin in her usual steaming outrage mode (I swear, that girl is going to wear out her nervous system one of these days) –

About a third of the victims were spouses, girlfriends, children or other relatives, among them 2-year-old Krisiauna Calaira Lewis, whose 20-year-old father slammed her against a wall when he was recuperating in Texas from a bombing near Falluja that blew off his foot and shook up his brain.

A quarter of the victims were fellow service members, including Specialist Richard Davis of the Army, who was stabbed repeatedly and then set ablaze, his body hidden in the woods by fellow soldiers a day after they all returned from Iraq.

And the rest were acquaintances or strangers, among them Noah P. Gamez, 21, who was breaking into a car at a Tucson motel when an Iraq combat veteran, also 21, caught him, shot him dead and then killed himself outside San Diego with one of several guns found in his car. …

The Times’s analysis showed that the overwhelming majority of these young men, unlike most civilian homicide offenders, had no criminal history.

Statistics say these episodes are not a problem, say the wingnuts. Stuff happens.

Update:
Enjoy the video –


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January 13, 2008

Morality and Wingnuts

Filed under: Iraq War, blogging, big picture stuff — maha @ 9:52 am

This relates to the last post, on the psychological and neurobiological factors of morality. It’s also about the psychological defenses people use to see the world the way they want to see it.

The New York Times today has an article on violent crimes committed by veterans returning from Iraq and Afghanistan. It suggests that trauma and stress of war are factors.

The New York Times found 121 cases in which veterans of Iraq and Afghanistan committed a killing in this country, or were charged with one, after their return from war. In many of those cases, combat trauma and the stress of deployment — along with alcohol abuse, family discord and other attendant problems — appear to have set the stage for a tragedy that was part destruction, part self-destruction. …

…Few of these 121 war veterans received more than a cursory mental health screening at the end of their deployments, according to interviews with the veterans, lawyers, relatives and prosecutors. Many displayed symptoms of combat trauma after their return, those interviews show, but they were not evaluated for or received a diagnosis of post-traumatic stress disorder until after they were arrested for homicides.

The writers, Deborah Sontag and Lizette Alvarez, make no personal judgments, but the article overall is sympathetic to the soldiers and suggests that returning veterans could use much more support in their transition back to “normalcy” than they are getting.

Now, let’s look at reactions from some rightie bloggers. Here’s one:

NYT’s Vet Bashing Series (UPDATE)

The New York Times starts a new series, called “War Torn”: “A series of articles and multimedia about veterans of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan who have committed killings, or been charged with them, after coming home.”

The first installment, 6253 words, is a considerable investment of ink, with more to come, by the New York Times to create negative impressions of Iraq and Afghanistan war veterans and by extension the missions they served.

As related to the last post — obviously, the Sontag-Alvarez article triggered the blogger’s loyalty sphere and elicited an emotional, defensive response. Instead of concluding that more could be done to help vets deal with war trauma, the blogger concluded that the New York Times is disloyal to vets. Also as discussed in the last post, this reaction also may be from a strong “mentality of taboo.” I’ve written in the past that some right-wingers think it is taboo to acknowledge that soldiers are flesh-and-blood human beings and not plastic (or galvanized steel) action heroes.

Perhaps this emotional and illogical overreaction comes from wingers having to deny to themselves that their beloved war in Iraq was a big mistake, and lives are being lost and ruined for nothing. That’s some heavy-duty denial, folks. Yet they’ve kept it up all this time. No wonder they’re twitchy (the wingnuts, I mean).

This blogger (who tags his post “NY Times liars scoundrels scumbags”) calculates that 121 homicides among the number of returned veterans is actually below the national homicide rate of the general population — “one-half to less than one-third as much.” But the blogger calculates that there are 1.99 million Iraq/Afghanistan veterans, and I don’t believe that’s accurate. (Note to wingnuts: By saying “I don’t believe” I acknowledge that I don’t know what the number is and could be mistaken.)

This article from March 2007 says that 690,000 veterans had served in Iraq and Afghanistan combat zones (a lower number than the total number deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan, I’m sure). It may be that the higher number represents total deployments, not total individual soldiers. Given the high number of repeat deployments, the deployment number doesn’t tell us how many individual soldiers served.

However, I would like to know how the real homicide rate of the vets compares to non-vets of the same age group, particularly among males, who commit nearly 90 percent of homicides. It’s possible that the rate among the vets is pretty close to average. Even so, that doesn’t mean post-traumatic stress wasn’t a factor in some of the homicides committed by vets. For example, one soldier who killed his two-year-old daughter was recovering from a brain trauma.

The article does not say that all returning veterans are twitching homicidal time bombs. I figured (correctly) that righties would react as if it did.

I’ve noticed over the years that if I make a statement like “some brown dogs have fleas” or even “about half of brown dogs have fleas at some point in their lives,” someone will comment that their brown dog does not have fleas, therefore the statement is wrong. I’ve seen this bit of illogic so many times that I have concluded some people cannot wrap their heads around the concept of some. Some is not all. Some is not necessarily most.

It’s also a common phenomenon for people to hear a couple of sensational news stories about X and extrapolate that X is a new and growing problem, when in fact the rate of X has not increased over the years. I remember after the Andrea Yates episode threw light on infanticide, there was a public perception that the rate of infanticide was growing at the time. But I checked; it was not. If anything, it had gone down slightly.

So, there will be some people who read this article and conclude that all returning vets are twitching homicidal time bombs, which is not true. Still, few is not none. Just because infanticide is rare doesn’t mean it was OK to leave five children alone with a psychotic mother who had just been taken off her meds. Even if the homicide rate among veterans is close to the average for their demographic group doesn’t mean there shouldn’t be better screening and support for the effects of trauma.

And calling attention to the tragic consequences of war trauma is not “bashing vets” to anyone thinking rationally.

Rightie blogger reaction to Friday’s anti-Guantanamo protests was all “loyalty sphere” stuff also. (Malkin called the protesters “unhinged.”) To me, of course, the detention center at Guantanamo is a betrayal to everything this country used to stand for, and opposing it is an act of patriotism. But wingnuts cannot see that; their “loyalty” and “authority” spheres override any other moral senses (including any understanding of the principles of democracy versus totalitarianism) that might yet linger, crushed and ignored, in the depths of their ids.

This confusion of group loyalty and authoritarianism with morality is a big part of why wingnuts are screwing up America. I’m not sure what can be done about that, though.

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January 7, 2008

Evil Liberals Eat Babies and Plot Against Jesus

Filed under: blogging — maha @ 6:35 pm

Too funny. See also xan.

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January 5, 2008

Repudiations

Filed under: Democratic Party, blogging — maha @ 8:12 am

Conventional wisdom is growing among the bobbleheads that Barack Obama’s Iowa Caucus win was a repudiation of us liberal bloggers and the “angry left.”

I guess that’s why there’s been so much jubilation about the caucuses among us liberal bloggers–we enjoy being repudiated. (My blogger buddy LowerManhattanite didn’t exactly feel repudiated, however.)

Time’s Joe Klein, who remains very high on my “people I want to smack real hard” list, wrote,

Iowa’s decision was about style, not substance. Obama didn’t offer many new ideas and precious few that were different from his opponents’. He offered civility. At one point, Clinton tried “Turn Up The Heat” as her slogan and, throughout, John Edwards’ rhetoric was so hot that it eventually burned him to a cinder. Obama’s unspoken slogan was “Turn Down the Heat.” The blogger Daily Kos endorsed Obama at first then, frustrated by the lack of fire, un-endorsed him. The far left wing of the Democratic Party may have to rethink the value of vitriol now.

Putting aside the fact that “Daily Kos” is a site, not a blogger — the blogger Great Orange Satan Kos responds to Klein here. Kos says he never endorsed anybody, and further –

My frustrations with Obama had nothing to do with “lack of fire” from Obama, but from my perception (arguable, of course) that he was directing his fire at progressives and progressive institutions. But again, I’m well aware that expecting the truth and accuracy from you is a fools errand.

A lot of us have been frustrated with Obama these past few months over one issue or another, but his not being nasty enough was never a problem. Ezra Klein wrote last week of the Obama campaign:

On the down side, some of his closing-weeks attacks are a bit, err, worrisome. Going after trial lawyers, for instance? Flooding the radio with ads claiming “Clinton would force people to buy insurance even if they can’t afford it” and “Barack Obama will cover everyone”? Suggesting that nominating Al Gore was a mistake and suggesting, wrongly, that Kerry was a divisive figure when he was nominated? Some of those statements are simply conservative arguments being uttered by a progressive. Some simply aren’t true.

On one level, this is politics, and all these folks are trying to win, and you’re not going to find any candidates pure as the driven snow and innocent as the newly-born. But Obama’s comfort attacking liberals from the right is unsettling, and if he does win Iowa, it will not be a victory that either supporters or the media ascribe to the more progressive elements of his candidacy. Instead, they will search for the distinctions he’s drawn, and, sadly, a number of those distinctions point away from the heart-quickening progressivism of much of this race, and back towards the old politics of centrist caution and status quo bias.

The truth is, our greatest fear is that Barack Obama will turn out to be another Hillary Clinton — all centrist caution and status quo bias. (Note that Clinton now is attacking Obama for being too liberal.”)

Another twit pushing the “repudiation” angle is the ever-brainless Dean Barnett, who says,

Here’s a dirty little secret that the liberal blogosphere will probably try to flush down the memory hole in the coming weeks – they didn’t like Barack Obama. They had reason not to. When they stamped their little feet over Obama doing something like having a Gospel singer with decidedly non-progressive views on social issues campaign for him, Obama ignored them. That particular storm caused Markos Moulitsas to declare the Obama campaign in the throes of a full meltdown.

The gospel singer was a rabidly anti-gay bigot named Donnie McClurkin, and yes, many of us took great offense at an association between McClurkin and Obama. The Obama campaign scrambled to add an openly gay minister to the program to quell the complaints, and Obama issued a statement repudiating (today’s word) McClurkin’s toxic views. It was a nasty blunder on the part of the Obama campaign.

However, these past few months nearly everyone running for the Dem nomination has been hit with criticism from us bloggers. We are equal-opportunity critics.

Obama incurred the wrath of the progressive blogosphere, and good God, a miracle occurred – he won anyway. Unlike his principal contenders who sucked up to the liberal bloggers at every available opportunity, Obama showed indifference or even hostility to their agenda. His success reveals the liberal bloggers’ lack of king-making ability. This particular emperor has no clothes.

The fact is that the liberal blogosphere has most definitely not tried to play at being king-makers in this election. Hardly any of us have endorsed any one Dem candidate. There was much affection for Senator Dodd, and I suspect John Edwards is the first choice for many, but most of us have not endorsed.

A progressive blog-reading audience of roughly 100,000 people has alternately enthralled and frightened the Democratic party for a couple of years now.

A recently compiled list of the top 100 liberal blog sites by traffic (of which this blog came in at number 97, although that was before my site went down for days and messed up my stats) has the top sites getting 600,000 - 300,000 visits a day. But Barnett was never one to let his biases get bogged down by facts.

Obama either saw that foolishness for what it was, or was sufficiently committed to his principles that he refused to pander. If he paid a price at the Iowa caucuses for this “gamble,” it was one he could afford. More likely, he paid no price, as the progressive blogosphere is deeply unrepresentative of the Democratic party rank and file. We learned that much last night.

I’m not sure yet what we’ve “learned” from this campaign — it’s too early — but more than anything else I was thrilled by the young people and independents who came out for Obama. If that amounts to a repudiation of the “Democratic party rank and file,” so be it. The young folks in particular may be showing us where the Dem party needs to go, and it ain’t back to the DLC.

Update: The Weekly Standard needs to get its story straight. The blog post before Barnett’s — in which he chuckled because Obama’s win “repudiated” us — says that we leftie bloggers are furious with Keith Olbermann for “belittling” Barack Obama’s Iowa Caucus win.

I watched the MSNBC coverage, and hadn’t noticed this belittling. Olbermann’s anti-Obama bias seems to exist in the mind of one diarist in desperate need of a reality check. As one commenter said,

some hardcore Obama fans simply cannot let go of the idea that their candidate must not be criticized or anything negative said about him.

Jesus Christ, you WON, get a fucking grip. Calling Olbermann, Krugman and any progressive that has been sticking his neck out for YOU in a sea of Republican media propaganda a “hack” and worse is exactly why people like me could not support Obama in the primaries.

He was just pointing that FACT out to make a point that not all state primaries allow independents; yet fanatic Obama supporters see it as a conspiracy and then try to smear Olbermann like they did Krugman. If there is anything worse than a sore loser, it’s a paranoid gloating winner. Get over yourselves.

Update 2: The Right, of course, is never angry.

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