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saturday, september 13, 2003
Paul Krugman Rocks!
Or, how a tweedy economics
professor may be America's last, best hope.
When did America start marching over a cliff? Was it during the Reagan
Administration, when misguided people made Oliver North a hero for lying to Congress? Was it when Newt Gingrich announced
the "Contract With America"? Was it the Clinton impeachment attempt? Florida 2000? September 11?
Because we sure as hell are marching over a cliff. I see it, now. If
we continue on our present course, the United States will become a has-been nation in my lifetime. It will be ruled
by an oligarchy of the rich, powerful, and corrupt, and the rest of us will feel fortunate if we have access to plumbing.
Someday my children will tell their grandchildren that, once upon
a time, ordinary people working for wages could afford nice little houses and trips to Disney World, and there
were pretty fair public schools children could attend for free, and most folks with jobs could get health care. And people
could say and write whatever they wanted without the Truth Police knocking on the door.
It will seem like a fairy tale. As flawed as America is now, it's a
paradise compared to the place the Bushies are taking us.
But while we still have houses and plumbing and free speech, let us
appreciate these things. And let's appreciate Paul Krugman, Princeton professor, economist, and columnist for the New
York Times. Professor Krugman may have been the first person to speak plainly about where our nation is heading. He saw
the truth before I did, and he's still way ahead of most people.
His new book, The Great Unraveling: Losing Our Way in the New Century,
is mostly a collection of New York Times and other columns. But even if you have read all of these columns, even
if you have them saved in a scrapbook, even if you can recite them from memory, it would be worth your while to get the book
and read the new material, especially the Introduction. In it, Professor Krugman makes the case that our nation
is under attack from within by insurrectionists who wrap themselves in the flag and call themselves Republicans. Right-wing
extremists (hereafter called RWEs) have seized power and are determined to keep it -- one way or another.
They must be stopped.
Revolutions don't always come by way of the gun. People who are accustomed
to political stability don't always recognize revolutionary power when it takes hold of political institutions. They assume
the political processes that have always worked are still working, and that their opponents are reasonable people working
for the common good but with different points of view. It is incomprehensible that self-described patriots really mean to
smash the existing system, and anyone who speaks out is considered an alarmist.
And that's where we are now.
There are still lots of reasonable people who don't want to believe
America has been hijacked by insurrectionists (see this review of Joe Conason's excellent Big Lies for an example). There are also people who don't like the Bush Regime but don't
fully realize how dangerous the Bushies are. These are people who must be reached before the November 2004 election. If you
feel this way too, Unraveling provides plenty of ammunition for the fight ahead.
The Enron-Krugman "Scandal"
Some RWEs still repeat the lie that Professor Krugman took
money from Enron to "puff" the company in the Times, or that he was an "Enron consultant." Here are the facts:
Before he was a columnist for the New York Times, Professor
Krugman augmented his academic salary by speaking and consulting. In early 1999 he was invited to serve on a panel providing
briefings to Enron executives on economic and political issues. He resigned from this panel later the same year when
he became a columnist for the New York Times. He had been offered $50,000 to serve on the panel but received $37,500
because of his early resignation. Krugman never wrote a column for
the Times "puffing" Enron. Nothing about this transaction was "undisclosed" to the Times or anyone else.
And that's it. You can find a lot more information on The Unofficial Paul Krugman Archive.
A Few Words on the Opposition
National Review publishes a regular "Paul Krugman
Truth Squad" column by Donald Luskin, Chief Investment Officer of Trend Macrolytics LLC (impressive, huh?). Luskin is a little
man with a little mind, and his column is nothing but a pathetic attempt to discredit Krugman by "exposing" Krugman's
supposed "errors."
For example, Paul Krugman recently told Tim Russert he
wrote 100 columns a year. Ah-HAH! said Luskin; it was only ninety-three!
This was in Luskin's review of Unraveling, which was actually a review of a Tim Russert interview of Professor Krugman. (Luskin hadn't
read the book; Krugman's publisher, W.W. Norton, had the sense not to waste a review copy on him.) Exactly what was "exposed"
is unclear, although I dutifully groped through Luskin's gaseous rhetoric for something solid (no luck).
According to Luskin, Russert grilled Professor Krugman mercilessly and revealed one
Krugman lie after another, although Luskin is a bit vague as to what these lies actually were. "I think we may have to make
Russert an honorary member of the [Truth] Squad," Luskin crowed.
However, there's a transcript of the Russert interview on the Unofficial Paul Krugman Archive site, and no such revelations occurred. Tim Russert was respectful; the professor stammered a bit; that's about it.
Like most RWEs, Luskin can't make a case on substance so he falls back on reporting
his own prejudices -- for example, he calls Professor Krugman a "nervous, stammering, shifty-eyed, twitching, ill-tailored,
gray homunculus slumping across the table from Tim Russert." Three-fourths of the "review" is filled with such sludge.
Finally, toward the end of the "review" Luskin lists some "lies" cooked
by Luskin's own fevered mind out of Krugman's past columns, including this one that stands out:
In mid-August Krugman wrote that American soldiers in Iraq were only getting two 1.5-liter bottles
of water per day, and were suffering "heat casualties"? I exposed on my blog the fact that this was only the soldiers' bottled water — and that there was
ample water from other sources which, in fact, was part of the Army's "forced hydration" program.
I don't know what Mr. Luskin is smokin', but Professor Krugman and I
both reported on this from the same source -- a letter from a soldier in Stars and Stripes. And that's not the only
source. Here's my article as it appeared in Democratic
Underground, with all citations and links. And, in fact, there has been at least one
heat-related death in Iraq -- Private First Class David M. Kirchhoff, 31, died August 14 of heatstroke.
I googled for "forced hydration program," and the only hit (other than
Mr. Luskin's article) related to pro football training camps. I did a keyword search for "forced hydration" at the Department of Defense information web site and got no hits at all.
As for the mysterious "other sources" of water Mr. Luskin is so sure
of -- This soldier wrote to David Hackworth in mid-June that troops were so desperate for water
they had to purchase water of dubious quality from Iraqis. They also have been short of food. "Soldiers are trying, in vain,
to keep mosquitoes from consuming them nightly, and using hoses from an Iraqi latrine stall to get water enough to maintain
their hygienic needs," he writes. "There are soldiers, to this day, that live in squalor."
I can't tell you how much I want to send Mr. Luskin to Iraq.
On balance, Krugman's record stands up pretty well. On the topics he writes about
most often and most angrily--tax cuts, Social Security, and the budget--his record is nearly perfect. "The reason he's gotten
under the White House's skin so much," says Robert Shapiro, a former undersecretary of commerce in the Clinton administration,
"is that he's right. None of it is rocket science."
Professor Krugman has also drawn the wrath of the Ludwig Von Mises Institute,
which as near as I can tell is some sort of libertarian think tank. Recent anti-Krugman articles include one by a nutjob named David Anderson, who is an adjunct scholar of the Mises Institute and who teaches economics
at Frostburg State University. No, I don't know where Frostburg State University is, either. Another is by Tim Swanson, a college graduate who owns a web hosting company. I'm not going
to waste time analyzing these articles; I bring them up just to show the quality of the opposition -- pretty damn pathetic.
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friday, september 12, 2003
Amazing Grace
In today's Washington Post, Jim VandeHei (who must've read September 10's Mahablog) writes about the Democratic candidates who voted for the Iraq War resolution. These same guys also voted for the Patriot
Act and No Child Left Behind, and Democrats want an explanation.
Kerry, Edwards, Lieberman and Gephardt contend that their votes for Bush's agenda
took place in much different political climates and were predicated on their beliefs the president would carry out each initiative
in a different manner than he has. In Iraq, they say, they believed he would work harder to win U.N. assistance. On the Patriot
Act, they believed the administration would carefully protect citizens' privacy and civil rights. And on education, they believed
Bush would fully fund the program. Moreover, a large number of congressional Democrats voted the same way they did. [Jim VandeHei, "Past Votes Dog Some Democratic Candidates," The Washington Post, September 12, 2003]
Let's be frank, fellas. You all made political calculations that
you'd better go along with Patriot and with Iraq because otherwise the Right Wing would skewer you for being "obstructionist,"
and at the time the Ring Wing held all the political cards. (I don't blame you for No Child Left Behind; it got left
behind because Bush underfunded it. That's his fault, not yours.)
But now it's pretty obvious that you made some really bad choices.
And, it was obvious to a lot of your constituents at the time, as it was to some of your fellow legislators (Senator Byrd
comes to mind). So, you got some 'splainin' to do.
So far you've all said that you think your votes were right but that the way
the White House implemented the Patriot Act and war resolution was wrong. I don't buy that. On Iraq, you should at
least have held out until the language of the resolution put specific limits and obligations on the White House to prevent Bush
from going beyond the saber-rattling stage without real international support. And there's just no excuse for the
Patriot Act.
Stop making excuses. You've got to repent. You've got to throw yourselves
at our feet and beg our forgiveness. And you should weep and wail and admit you are weak and craven and sinful, but now you've
seen the error of your ways.
Then, dry your tears (occasional sobs permitted) and tell us that it was dat
ol' debbil Dick Cheney or maybe Karl Rove, or both, who tempted you onto the path of iniquity. You
thought they could be trusted; you thought you could take them at their word. But once you sold your souls they betrayed you.
They dissed the UN and citizens' rights, and now you see them for what they are.
Now, raise your voices and say, I have seen the face of evil! I once was
lost, but now I'm found! Fool me twice, shame on Bush! If you're doing this right, your Party will respond
with "Say it, brother!" and "Amen!"
Finally, clasp your hands in supplication and say, "I know I let you down,
but if you'll give me another chance I promise I'll make you proud! I will heal America! I will lead it
into the light of righteousness and honor and glory AMEN! And the crowds will stand, and cheer and holler and cry
out, "We forgive you, bro'!" And maybe they will even dig down into their pockets and donate some money. Cue the
choir!
On the other hand, "President Dean" does have a nice ring to it,
don't you think?
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thursday, september 11, 2003
Remember
I wrote this to commemorate the first anniversary of September 11. But a year later
nothing much has changed, except that the Iraq War moved out of the planning stage. So here it is again.
I'm not ready to move on.
This isn't real. That's what we all said. I said
it too, as I watched from a high-rise building on West 17th Street and saw the mighty towers of the World Trade Center collapse
and disappear into dust.
Two days later I was
back in Manhattan, looking for what was real. I walked to Times Square and saw flags and expressions of raw defiance on construction
sites. Lamp posts were festooned with home-made signs: Have you seen this person? Have you seen my wife? My husband? My
child? Please? The faces on the signs were of robust, whole people. The faces were relaxed, full of trust, alive.
I took a 9 train to
Chelsea. I had been on a 9 train Tuesday morning, when someone said a plane had struck the World Trade Center. How awful,
we said. I hope not many people are hurt.
But on Thursday morning
no one spoke, except for a man talking to himself. Its not unusual to find men talking to themselves in the subways, but they
are usually homeless men who smell of urine. This was a clean man in a good suit, and he wore a gold watch, and his hands
shook, and he was talking to himself because he was terrified. He sat and muttered and trembled, and those standing and swaying
around him, hanging on to the bars, left him alone. Whatever was real to him must have been terrible.
In the weeks that followed there was much speechifying and memorializing
of This Terrible Thing, and much glorifying of the dead and the living and the flag. I looked for a transformation from what
we had been before to something better and grander.
But it didn't happen. We pinned flags and ribbons to our clothes,
but they were the same old clothes. We bought bleeping souvenirs like NYPD golf caps and bumper stickers and various
special commemorative editions. We packaged September 11 and put it on our national trophy shelf, with the Alamo and Iwo Jima
and John Wayne. We stood around our backyard grills, beer in hand, and said yeah, that was awful. I hope they get that bin
Laden guy. How do you like your burgers cooked?
After September 11 Americans donated money and blood in record
amounts, because we wanted very much to do something. But although we were ready to make any sacrifice and bear any burden;
our leaders urged us to shop, spend, eat, travel, and enjoy ourselves for America. Don't allow September 11 to interrupt your
life, we were told. Just go on as if nothing had happened. And, on the whole, that's what we did.
On the other hand, politicians
and ideologues made good use of September 11 to support their agendas, whether those agendas had a connection to terrorism
or not. They are the same old agendas from before September 11, just a little more urgent. Cut taxes. Buy guns. Support
our political party. Fear people who are different from you.
A year has gone by, and we are preparing to wallow in remembrance
of that which still doesn't seem real. But instead of passively tuning into All September 11, All the Time, we need to look
at what has not been said and what has not been done and what we are rapidly forgetting.
First, we must look to the war on terrorism. The Bush Administration
wants to invade Iraq, although it has not been able to prove that Saddam Hussein is connected to the September 11 attacks.
At the same time, a number of news stories report that al Qaeda, although wounded, has not died but has gone underground
and continues to be a threat. Most of its leaders, including Osama bin Laden, may still be alive. At the very least, the Bush
Administration must tell us why we are to leave one job unfinished to begin another.
Second, we must have a thorough investigation of September
11. Recently, a BBC special report ("Clear the Skies," presented by Gavin Hewitt, BBC2, September 1, 2002)
said that on September 11 the entire U.S. mainland was defended by only 14 planes, only four of which were in the northeast.
And third, I urge a rededication to the principles upon which
our great nation was founded. Each of us has a duty to our country to be informed and to pay attention to what our government
is doing, both here and abroad. And our elected officials, including the President, are accountable to us. We must not let
them forget that.
On September 11, I intend to walk behind the pipers down to
Ground Zero to pay my respects. Lower Manhattan looks so much smaller and shabbier than it used to. When I close my eyes I
can still see it the way it was, especially on a blue-sky day, when the towers gleamed in the sun and the city all around
was bright and grand. And I can still see the people in the World Trade Center, flowing up and down the escalators and through
the broad corridors, past the pretty shops and the restaurants, past the deli with a long line for coffee, past the flower
and magazine stands, going up to their offices or down into the subways or out into the prosperous streets.
It seems so real.
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wednesday, september 10, 2003
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Joe Lieberman, Will You Please Go Now?
When Senator Lieberman said of Iraq, "This is a battle in
the war on terrorism. Failure and defeat is [sic] not an option," in last night's presidential candidate debate, I wished a giant hook had pulled him off the stage.
The Great Lie killing our soldiers and choking political debate in our
nation is that the invasion of Iraq is connected to the war on terrorism and September 11. That lie must not stand.
Before serious campaigning began, the presumptive Democratic front runners
were Senators Lieberman, Edwards, and Kerry and Congressman Gephardt. But all of them voted for the Iraq War resolution, and today they refuse to admit they made a mistake. For Gephardt and Kerry in particular I believe this refusal is weighing
down their campaigns. For either of them to get back into the first tier, they're going to have to come out and say,
"I'm sorry for that vote. At the very least we should have insisted on
limits to presidential war power. I should have realized that the White House could not be trusted to tell the truth and cannot
be trusted with power. We in Congress must revisit this vote and take back from the President the power to conduct war given to
Congress by the Constitution."
My guts tell me that if one of them -- Gephardt or Kerry or possibly
Edwards -- made that speech today, he'd become the front runner pronto. Lieberman is beyond rehabilitation,
however.
Last night, when asked if the Iraq war was a mistake, Senator Kerry said,
Well, I don't know the answer to that question until we have the full measure of
the investigation into the intelligence and the intelligence failure here. We do know that that exists.
But we need to be successful. People keep asking what's the exit strategy. The exit
strategy is victory. It's success in what we're seeking to do. But it's to be smart about it.
He's still speaking from an assumption that there was and is a worthwhile
objective to be won in Iraq. And later --
JUAN WILLIAMS, NPR: Senator Kerry, you've been saying that you voted to authorize
the president, President Bush, to threaten the use of force in Iraq.
In fact, as Senator Graham pointed out, you voted to authorize the use of force at
President Bush's discretion. To some it may seem that you're trying to get out of a vote that's now unpopular with many in
the Democratic Party. Is that the way we should perceive it?
KERRY: Absolutely not. The vote is the vote. I voted to authorize, it was the right
vote. And the reason I mentioned the threat is that we gave -- we had to give life to the threat. If there wasn't a legitimate
threat, Saddam Hussein was not going to allow inspectors in.
Kerry's got to do better than that if his campaign is to ever
catch fire.
It was Dennis Kucinich who said most clearly what needed to be said:
...when you consider the fact that Saddam Hussein had nothing to do
with 9/11 and the fact that the day after 9/11 there was a meeting in the National Security Council where Donald Rumsfeld
said that the administration ought to use the opportunity to go after Iraq, I think that the attack in Iraq was a foregone
conclusion after 9/11 even though Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11.
So the president misled the nation. And he misled the nation into believing that
there were weapons of mass destruction.
Dick -- who is a good friend of mine -- Dick, I just want to say that when you were
standing there in the Rose Garden with the president and you were giving him advice, I wish that you would have told him no,
because as our Democratic leader, your position...
(APPLAUSE)
As our Democratic leader, your position helped to inform mightily the direction of
the war. And I believe -- I am glad -- and I share your passion now about the direction the administration is taking this
country.
But there is no question, this administration did not have to go to war against Iraq.
There are no weapons on mass destruction have been found. And he basically misrepresented the case to the American people.
Now, Senators Kerry and Edwards, Congressman Gephardt ... would
it be so hard for you to say that, too?
But back to Senator Lieberman -- he's either acting out to get noticed or he's
a shill for the Democratic Leadership Council to take down Howard Dean. His criticism of Dean over Israeli-Palestinian policy
just plain didn't make sense, but it's gotten most of the headlines.
Both Lieberman and Dean said that in order to be an effective negotiator in
the Middle East, the United States must be respected by both Israelis and Palestinians. But Lieberman accused Dean of planning
to withdraw support from Israel, which is not what Dean said. Dean is calling for a more neutral stance, which certainly doesn't
mean abandoning Israel to the wolves. Lieberman seems to think the U.S. can show favoritism to Israel and remain neutral at
the same time.
At this time Senator Lieberman is a liability to the Democratic Party. His
efforts to get himself noticed at the expense of other candidates -- especially Howard Dean, who may well be the nominee -- are
just providing ammunition to Karl Rove.
And, finally, I'd like to know who let the Boneheads for Lyndon Larouche into
the hall. Faux News?
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tuesday, september 9, 2003
No Quiet on the Central Front
What's the next move, Mr. Rove? The armies of darkness await your next spin cycle.
The old spin is losing momentum.
Poor Condi Rice is still spinning weapons of mass destruction, for
pity's sake. Just two days ago she told Wolf Blitzer
...there was no doubt in the minds of three administrations, the United Nations
weapons inspectors, multiple intelligence services around the world that Saddam Hussein had had and probably still possessed
and had used weapons of mass destruction, that he was actively pursuing weapons of mass destruction. That's why he was under
U.N. sanctions for 12 years, that's why the world passed resolution after resolution after resolution telling him to disarm.
There was no question going in that the overwhelming bulk of evidence and intelligence pointed to active weapons of mass destruction
in Iraq. [CNN Late Edition 9/7/03]
Last March, when "President"
Bush decided he couldn't wait another second to start a war, the UN weapons inspectors were not finding weapons of mass destruction
and were not certain there were any. And the overwhelming bulk of evidence and intelligence available to Ms. Rice and her
boss last March did not point to "active" weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.
There are varieties of
potato that are sharper interviewers than Mr. Blitzer, and he didn't challenge Condi's statements. But you'd better get her
some new material fast. One of these days someone's going to remember what it is to be a journalist and challenge
what she says.
Condi did stress that Iraq is now the central battlefield of the war on terror, as
you no doubt instructed her. And she finessed the question:
BLITZER: But fundamentally, if there are enough U.S. troops on the ground right
now, why are you going back to the U.N. presumably, among other things, seeking more foreign troops to join the U.S. forces?
with
RICE: Well, the key here is to get not just the right number of forces,
but to get the right mix of skills. And there are countries that can bring to bear certain kinds of military power, as well
as some additional combat power, to help get the job done.
Not bad; I can imagine
the high-level brainstorming that came up with the "mix of skills" gem. And, if asked why the almighty United States doesn't
have the right "mix of skills," Condi could've blamed Bill Clinton. Neat.
But let's get back
to the "central battlefield" theme.
Lots of people are calling you out on that one, Karl, and I'm not sure it's going to fly.
First of all, you changed it to "central front" in your boss's Sunday night speech. I'm no expert on military tactics, but is there such a thing as a "central front"? And if so, how does it differ from "being
surrounded"?
However, the Wall Street Journal came through for you,
Karl. Today's featured editorial is titled "The Central Front."
"The terrorists are in Iraq, not New York," it proclaims. Ah, yes; the "flypaper"
tactic. But then it says,
Yes, sure, President Bush's remarks to the nation Sunday evening could
have come sooner. But the critics can no longer claim that Mr. Bush hasn't been forthright about either his strategy for victory
in Iraq, or the cost of achieving it.
Can't we, Karl? Sure we can. I read
the dadblamed speech, Karl. The only "strategy for victory" is a plan to get other countries to help clean up our mess. And
I suspect that $87 billion is just a down payment.
To win this war, Americans have been asked to put up with hassles when flying. Other
forms of public transportation also require new precautions. Attorney General John Ashcroft is now touring the country outlining
other efforts to thwart and capture terrorists. Reasonably aggressive law enforcement tactics are essential to achieving victory.
On Sunday, President Bush put a few price tags on some of these sacrifices--$87 billion over the next year. That price is
a comparably easy one to pay. Washington will cut a check.
Oh, no problem! Washington will just
cut a check! Of course, when I am running a $500 billion deficit (or whatever it is now) the bank bounces my checks. How embarrassing!
But maybe Congress has a bigger check overrun limit.
Still, ultimately somebody (my grandchildren) will have to make good
that check. And not a penny of that money will go toward transportation security
or law enforcement; nor will it go toward Mr. Ashcroft's crusade to gut the Bill of Rights. The Department of Homeland Security
has a separate, and smaller, budget.
No, the $87 billion will
go down a rat hole in Iraq. Not a penny of that money will make us safer.
The fact is, Karl, that citizens and journalists and even Democrats are getting
bolder about calling a lie a lie; and the Big Lie you're still trying to sell is that the Iraq War has some connection to
September 11 and terrorist threats to the United States.
It doesn't, Karl. And lots of us realize it doesn't. So you'd better
get to work, Karl; your colleagues need new talking points.
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monday, september 8, 2003
Say It Loud, Say It Proud
If there was ever a time for standing up and speaking out, folks, this
is it.
Last night President Bush defended the Iraq invasion with the fiction that it
had something to do with "homeland security" and the "war on terrorism." He's still tying Iraq to September 11. But these
were not the real reasons he chose to invade Iraq, and it is vitally important that we make this clear as we speak out against
the Bush Regime and its war. If we tacitly support the regime's premise, we lose the argument.
From the "President's" speech:
America and a broad coalition acted first in Afghanistan, by destroying the training
camps of terror, and removing the regime that harbored al Qaeda. In a series of raids and actions around the world, nearly
two-thirds of al Qaeda's known leaders have been captured or killed, and we continue on al Qaeda's trail. We have exposed
terrorist front groups, seized terrorist accounts, taken new measures to protect our homeland, and uncovered sleeper cells
inside the United States. And we acted in Iraq, where the former regime sponsored terror, possessed and used weapons of mass
destruction, and for 12 years defied the clear demands of the United Nations Security Council. Our coalition enforced these
international demands in one of the swiftest and most humane military campaigns in history.
This is a paragraph that deserves to be picked over in fine detail, but for how here's
just a quick take:
- Regarding Afghanistan, the Taliban is coming back. We could lose that war yet.
- Regarding the "sleeper cells" uncovered in the United States -- has the Regime uncovered
any sleeper cells for certain? Hasn't it just been suspected sleeper cells?
- Is it true that "two thirds" of al Qaeda's known leaders have been captured or killed? I
was under the impression it was more like one fourth.
- The Saddam Hussein regime did sponsor terror, but not al Qaeda or other terrorist
groups planning actions against America. He was sending money to Palestinians.
- Regarding "possessed and used weapons of mass destruction" -- yeah, ten years ago.
I don't have the stomach for any more of "the speech" right now. Some other time,
maybe.
Bottom line, the invasion of Iraq has to be the dumbest thing any American administration
ever did. There was no valid reason for it, and the costs of it amount to dumping money and blood down a rat hole. Wasting
resources in Iraq is making us weaker, not stronger. And whenever apologists for the regime imply that to
be against the war is to be soft on terrorism or unpatriotic -- don't let them do it.
Because, the fact is, just the opposite is true.
Real patriots understand that a pre-emptive, imperialistic war betrays American principles.
Real patriots believe that defending America means making us stronger, not weaker. Real patriots know that citizens deserve
the truth about the wars we are asked to fight.
In recent blogs I've been discussing the real reasons for the war in Iraq. I hope
you won't mind a bit more --
Paul Krugman writes in his new book The Great Unraveling:
This
is a general principle for understanding what’s happening: do some homework to find out what these people really want.
I’m not talking about deeply hidden motives; usually the true goal is in the public domain. You just have to look at what
the people pushing the policy said before they were trying to sell it to the broader public. When you learn that the official
now in charge of forest policy is a former timber industry lobbyist, you can surmise that the “healthy forests” initiative,
under which logging companies will be allowed to cut down more trees, isn’t about preventing forest fires. When you learn
that the House majority leader has said that his purpose in office is to promote a “biblical worldview,” you can surmise that
“faith-based” initiatives aren’t mainly about delivering social services more effectively. When you learn that the architects
of the Iraq war have wanted to topple Saddam Hussein for a decade, you can surmise that the war has nothing to do with September
11. [Paul Krugman, The Great Unraveling (Norton, 2003), p. 15]
If you know that a disproportionate number of people in the Bush Administration
have ties to oil and defense industries you can surmise that the war has something to do with making money for the oil and
defense industries. But there's more to it that that.
The Neocons. It's true that the neocons have been planning
to invade Iraq for a decade. Their plan, as expressed by the Project for a New American Century, is to turn Iraq into a base of American power and influence in the Middle East. Having such a base makes
strategic sense; but, as the song says, you can't always get what you want.
Although the neocons believe that America has enough money and military power to
reshape the planet any way it likes, most of us understand that all material things are finite. We learn to set priorities
to do the best we can with the resources we have. But to neocons their vision of world domination is the priority.
Everything else -- including the citizens of the United States; including democracy itself -- is just
a resource to be exploited for that end.
Go here for more information on the neocons.
The politicos. I don't know if Karl Rove cares one way
or another about global domination. The fact remains that during fall the 2002 campaign cycle he played those war drums like
a virtuoso. War in Iraq was the perfect wedge issue to divide the Democratic Party against itself while drowning out issues
(e.g., the economy) on which the Republicans were weak.
The subconscious. As discussed in the Saturday mahablog, the Bush Administration is over-populated with men whose careers and fortunes grew out of the first Gulf War. Deep inside
their uncontemplative minds must lurk ids that emanate warm and fuzzy feelings about war in Iraq.
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