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saturday, july 9, 2005

Being Afraid
 
I suspect that among those who have not had the opportunity to fight a war there are always a few who regret not being able to prove themselves on the battlefield. War does seem hardwired into the human experience; the battle cry is a pretty primal thing. So, I can understand the excitement of the twenty somethings like Pat Tilman who joined up after 9/11, driven by a strong desire to test his mettle and physical courage. (Hell, that was the reason Oliver Stone joined up in Vietnam, Kerry too --- it has little to do with politics.) Young men being excited about war is nothing new --- and having their illusions shattered by the reality of it is nothing new either. The literature of the ages can attest to this.

That is not what we are dealing with here, however. We are dealing with a group of right wing glory seekers who chose long ago to eschew putting themselves on the line in favor of tough talk and empty posturing --- the Vietnam chickenhawks and their recently hatched offspring of the new Global War On Terrorism. These are men (mostly) driven by the desire to prove their manhood but who refuse to actually test their physical courage. Neither are they able to prove their virility as they are held hostage by prudish theocrats and their own shortcomings. So they adopt the pose of warrior but never actually place themselves under fire. This is a psychologically difficult position to uphold. Bullshitting yourself is never without a cost. ...
...  Playing laptop Pattons at full volume, supporting the president and the entire power structure of the government is their only way of proving to themselves that they are warriors. They are damaged by their own contradictory past and as a result they cannot see their way through the haze of emotional turmoil to seek out and find real solutions to the problem of terrorism. They lash out with trash talk and threats and constant references to their own resolve because they are afraid. They've always been afraid.
This week many Americans have expressed wonder and admiration for the stoicism of Londoners after the terrorist attacks, as if such stoicism were a strictly British attribute. As I wrote earlier this week, Manhattanites also were remarkably calm on 9/11 and the days after. I'm not sure news coverage reflected that calm; I suspect it didn't. I guess you'll have to take my word for it.
 
But just as the experience of 9/11 was different for New York and Washington than it was for the rest of the nation, so too is the point of fighting terrorism. New Yorkers wanted--still want--security. New Yorkers want to be able to ride trains and buses without fear of being gassed or bombed. We want high-rise office buildings, bridges, and landmarks not to be destroyed.
 
Seems to me the rest of the country want something else. Some want revenge, but a lot just get off on the thrill by proxy that the "war on terror" provides for them. As James Wolcott wrote of the punditocracy this week,
When all of these "terror experts"--many of them affiliated with rightwing think tanks--pontificate and speculate (based on no real information) about who the perpetrators were and the nature of the long struggle we're in, they look and sound keyed-up, keen with anticipation, eager to entertain the worst. Look how little time it took for CNN to point the finger of suspicion at al-Zarqawi as mastermind of the attacks--al-Zarqawi, the all-purpose shadowy villain, here, there, everywhere, and nowhere. Visually, this scare talk complemented with commando porn images of security patrols packing enough firepower to retake Stalingrad. What are those weapons for? It's not as if terrorists engage in running gun battles in the West. They plant explosives, and once those explosives go off, guys standing around with machine guns looking like an army of Bernie Keriks don't make a whole lot of difference.  
If the Good Fairy of Homeland Security told us she could keep American soil completely free of terrorism, but in return we had to stop fighting/punishing/torturing Muslims and forsake storming around the world with our armies and planes and bombs, would we take the offer? I think New Yorkers would in a heartbeat. But I suspect much of the rest of the nation would not. They'd rather not give up whatever glory trip they're on.
 
... yesterday's bombings will likely lead to a spirited global debate about different ways of responding to a terror attack. Do you feed your nation's fears or refuse to be terrorized? Do you erode your citizens' freedoms or aspire to greater acts of altruism? Do you lash out at people who had nothing to do with it, or hunt down and destroy the thugs who are responsible? And what, when all is said and done, makes you safer?
It frustrates the hell out of me that we never had that debate in America.
 
There were a number of stories in the news today about our allocation of "homeland security" resources. See, for example, "Security Clash May Be Brewing in Congress," "Our Faith-Based Train Rides," "Defending America," and  "We Are Still Not Ready." Bottom line: We are allocating anti-terrorism and defense resources in the most damn stupid, wasteful, ineffective way possible. We might actually be better off if we took our entire national security budget and dumped it into an ocean.
 
Update: See also "America's Vulnerable Railways" by Thomas Oliphant in today's Boston Globe:

This action by the Senate's appropriators, reducing next year's budget to $100 million from $150 million this year, might have made some sense if there were evidence that it would have no impact on security.

However, the opposite is the case and has been for more than three years of inexcusable neglect and conniving between the Bush administration and its corporate buddies....

...Among the 50 percent of the 9/11 Commission's specific recommendations a year ago that Congress and Bush have yet to act upon was the sensible notion that there should be a national transportation security strategy based on known threats and dangers.

Instead, there appears to have been not only inaction and delay, but unholy alliances between industry and government to avoid taking measures to protect against potentially catastrophic terrorism that is not difficult to imagine.

8:51 pm | link

IOKIYAR
 
Proving once again that righties hold other people to higher standards than they hold themselves ... via Daou Report, via World o' Crap, we find that Hindsniffer of Power Line is outraged that someone on DU message board wrote something cynical about Karl Rove vis a vis the recent bombings in London. "The posters at Democratic Underground represent the heart and soul of the left, and, arguably, of the Democratic Party," Hindsniffer sniffs.
 
Let's take a look at the heart and soul of the right ... World o' Crap found these on Lucianne:
Nuke the entire Muslim world, especially the oil fields. Without oil money they go back to sitting around mudholes in the desert subsisting off dates, and making for quaint touristic photos.

Another typical comment from the same thread:

Did we ever finish developing and deploying the neutron bomb? Use it around the oilfields, use the conventional nukes on Mecca and Medina and Riyadh and Qom. We can argue about which type to use on some pestholes in Phillipines and Malaysia and Indonesia and Pakistan. Islam is the enemy. Muslims are the enemy. There. It needed to be said. Muslims are the enemy. Time to act accordingly.

There are even worse in other threads, but like Mr. Hinder said, "Warning: this is only for those with strong stomachs."

Chris Bowers at MyDD found these comments on Little Green Footballs:
  • "IMHO, they should go house to house interrogating every Muslim about what they know and when they knew it. And then kick every last one of them who is there illegally out of the country. And then decide if any of the rest of them deserve to stay. Now, if only Israel would do the same thing after its terror attacks.... "

  • "Can we eradicate Islam now, please?"

  • "If there are no Arabs there are no attacks. How many more need be sacrificed?"

  • "It is now time to force muslims to make a choice: Live peacefully or die. I prefer the latter."

  • "We need to stop fucking with these people and kill every one involved. I mean anyone with prior knowledge, anyone who payed for it, and anyone who supported it. Regardless of nationality."

  • "If its Islamic it will probably blow up. All Islamic get full body searches with VERY high intensity X-rays ."

  • "The best way to deliver those high intensity x-rays is through some W76 warheads at around 100 kt a piece. It will be easier to give a full body search after that."

  • "Britain should END ALL ISLAMIC IMMIGRATION NOW....Continuing to welcome the enemy into your country is insane."

  • "subhumans, first time on 2 feet...round em all up, every friggin' last one of them...unfortunately, I still think it will take even more violence from the Arabs before the West wakes up and goes savage on em"

  • "Martyring Muslims doesn't seem to make much of a difference to the fanatics. What is needed is to take their human capital out their hands - their children. No more warped children, no more jihadis. "
Nice. And be sure to read Chris's analysis of why Power Line was Time magazine's blog of the year.
 
Jesus' General has a roundup of gentle comments from several rightie blogs, also not for the faint of heart.
 
My buddy Orrin Judd says that Europeans (including, I assume, Brits) deserve to be bombed because they aren't Christian enough:
As Europe has drifted out of the West and lost touch with its Judeo-Christian culture it has left itself with nothing to integrate such young people into. The Media Matters folks are apparently upset that Brit Hume said one of his first thoughts yesterday was to buy futures but the reality is that terrorism is a growing threat to Europe in a way that it isn't to us.
Commenters believed Britain shouldn't have allowed Muslims to immigrate. I joined in the comments to mention that there are more Muslims living in America than in Britain. I also wrote that "Various sources also estimate that in ten years or so there will be more Muslims in America than Jews," to which one person responded,  "And as well assimilated as Jews are, just as Europe never assimilated its Jews."    
 
You can't make this shit up.
 
10:14 am | link

Confusion
 
A new Harris Poll of opinions on evolution vs. creationism reveals that Americans are confused.
 
Only 38 percent of those polled believe that humans "developed from earlier species," yet 46 percent believe that apes and humans "have a common ancestry" and that "Darwin's theory of evolution is proven by fossil discoveries."
 
Even more remarkable, when challenged to make a choice between "humans beings evolved from earlier species" and "human beings were created directly by God," only 22 percent went with evolution.
 
So, you've got a substantial chunk of the population believing that humans were created directly by God, but at the same time have a common ancestry with apes.
 
Maybe this is telling us that many people sorta kinda believe that man evolved but are afraid they will be struck by lightning if they deny God, even to a pollster.
 
Slightly more people (49 percent) than not (45 percent) believe that all plants and animals evolved from earlier species. Does this reflect a belief God only makes humans, but not other critters? Or, is it telling us that lots of people really haven't thought out this evolution stuff? Or, is it telling us that humans need to evolve a little more?
 
 
8:08 am | link

friday, july 8, 2005

Imagination
 

Amid the carnage today, Home Secretary Charles Clarke is talking about the people who carried out "these terrible criminal acts." That's an understandable reaction — and we shouldn't quibble too much over a choice of words by people who have been stellar allies, who are in the middle of a rescue effort, and who are unsure the bombing has actually stopped. But it is worth repeating that what happened today is not mere crime.

This is war. It can't sensibly be separated from Bali or Mombassa or Istanbul or Madrid or Baghdad or Virginia or lower Manhattan — or any of the other places where the enemy has attacked.

The only security — and an imperfect security it is — is to acknowledge that this is a war and fight it like a one. Prime Minister Blair has been a staunch ally after 9/11, but many in his country, and throughout Europe, have not grasped what we are up against.

Let's think about semantics and reality. Many on both the Left and the Right argue about whether 9/11 or M11 or 7/7 were crimes or acts of war. To me, this is an absurd and pointless argument, because mass terrorist attacks by stateless organizations don't fit either category. Trying to shoehorn 9/11 into an old classification system is a bit like finding a new species of critter and calling it a "dog" because it wags its tail and barks, even though it also flies and lays eggs.  
 
The point of the semantic argument is, of course, to figure out what to do about terrorism. If it's a crime we'll send out the cops; if it's war, we'll shoot at it. And we'll put our new critter in a dog pen and be astonished when it flies away.
 
The moral is, sometimes you need to put semantics aside and deal with things as-they-are.
 
The Right made up its mind that terrorist attacks are acts of war, and the proper response to an act of war is to go to war--with armies, ships, artillery, bombs, etc. But these are instruments of old-fashioned, fighting-over-territory war, and terrorism is not constrained by terroritory or national boundaries. We're shooting flies with a shotgun.
 
Truly, when Bush first starting talking about a "war on terror" I assumed he was using the word war in a metaphorical sense, like war on cancer.  Fighting terrorism by means of conventional war is absurd. But, of course, the Bush Administration amounts to one absurdity after another, so I should have known better. And the Right, stuck in conventional-war mindset, assumes that those of us who think their approach is absurd are "soft on terror" and have not "grasped what we're up against."   
 
Angry Bear responded to McCarthy's last sentence:
At the risk of repeating myself – most of us in this nation and in Europe have realized there is a war against Al Qaeda, which was not an ally of Saddam Hussein. 
At this point it may be that al Qaeda isn't much of anything but a name adopted by multiple Islamic factions, but that's part of our cognitive problem. Wars against nations are wars between definable, finite entities with geographical locations, whereas a war against al Qaeda, whatever it is, is a war against something without definite form or mass or location. We're dealing with multiple leaderships and multiple groups that form and unform and reform, and with "troops" of ever-shifting identities and loyalties and numbers.  
 
But the Right, heaven help us, is still thinking in terms of fronts and geographical objectives. Might as well dress our troops up in knee pants and three-corner hats and arm them with muskets.
 
You want to see Flaming Stupidity? Matt Yglesias caught this one:
Sometimes you read things that make you wonder. For example, Rich Lowry's apparent endorsement of this sentiment: "There should be retaliation. Find a terror camp somewhere and hit it. Terrorists should, for these purposes, be treated as one nation, and all should be held responsible for any one attack." So maybe we round up some MEK guys (I think they're still in our custody, or maybe in Richard Perle's office somewhere), shoot them in the back of the head, and that will improve things?
Lowry et al. can't wrap their heads around the fact that we aren't dealing with a nation, or anything like a nation. They can't grasp terrorism as-it-is.
 
And dealing with terrorism as if there were just one big global terrorist organization, when in fact there isn't, is stupid. Dealing with terrorism as-it-is means developing multiple strategies to deal with multiple terrorisms, because that's reality. To do otherwise is to fight a fantasy enemy instead of a real one.
 
Come to think of it, "fighting a fantasy enemy instead of a real one" pretty much sums up our involvement in Iraq, huh?
 
This cognitive rigidity is pervasive on the Right. In 2001 the Bushies appeared to ignore clear warnings of impending terrorist attacks* This was often attributed to a "lack of imagination." (Dick Armitage to 9/11 panel: "I just don't think we had the imagination required to consider a tragedy of this magnitude.") But the real problem was mental rigidity. The Bush White House had its head full of Cold War reality and couldn't see the new reality.
 
Here's one of my favorite "memory hole" items. This is from a CNN transcript of April 30, 2001:
The State Department officially released its annual terrorism report just a little more than an hour ago, but unlike last year, there's no extensive mention of alleged terrorist mastermind Osama bin Laden. A senior State Department official tells CNN the U.S. government made a mistake in focusing so much energy on bin Laden and "personalizing terrorism." ...
...POWELL: The results are clear: state sponsors of terrorism are increasingly isolated; terrorist groups on under growing pressure. Terrorists are being brought to justice, we will not let up. But we must also be aware of the nature of the threat before us. Terrorism is a persistent disease.
The Bushies were still thinking in terms of enemy states. They failed to grasp that terrorism is stateless. The Right still doesn't seem to grasp that. Or, maybe they grasp it, but they can't make the connection between reality and strategy, or between facts and formula, or between process and goals.
 
The Left isn't free of some mental rigidity of its own. Some lefties seem to think that if only we could send out the cops to arrest bin Laden and other al Qaeda leadership, the terrorism problem would melt away. But terrorism isn't about bin Laden. At this point bin Laden may be no more than a figurehead. Removing him would have no real impact on the majority of jihadists. I'm not saying I don't want him brought to justice for 9/11; just that a "law enforcement" approach alone is inadequate to address the terrorism problem.  

I don't even pretend to know precisely what strategies we should pursue. Formulating intelligent strategies requires a thorough understanding of how the various terrorisms came to be and the myriad factors that sustain them. By willfully remaining ignorant of terrorism, however, we might unwittingly apply strategies that make the problem worse instead of better.

And, considering the major increase in worldwide terrorism, it's obvious that's exactly what we're doing.

See also: Chris Bowers, "The Hawks Have Failed."
__________________
 
*I do not eliminate the possibility that the Bushies knew something was about to happen and willfully chose to let it happen. However, IMO the notion that Bush was the true mastermind behind 9/11 is absurd, because he's not that competent. Also his behavior in the hours immediately after the attacks reveals clearly that he was caught flatfooted.
 
8:37 am | link

thursday, july 7, 2005

Those Righties Sure Know How to Fight Terrorism
 
Via Atrios, 

U.S. reports major increase in worldwide terrorism

Brilliant. If we continue to fight terrorism the righties' way, in five to eight years we'll all be living in caves.

Lots of chest thumping on the Right today, of course. That's what they're good at. If only boasting and posturing and being obnoxious could combat terrorism ...

I mostly agree with Public Theologian --

All the tanks, all the bombers, all the ships all the hundreds of thousands of soldiers about which the president likes to boast  he has deployed in the war on terror did not save a single soul in London today.  All we are doing in Iraq is creating a giant zone of recruitment and training ground for more America-haters.  We aren't stopping anybody from anything, but are rather pouring gas on an already burning fire.

We have got to fight this war smarter, rather than harder.  This will not be won with armies, but with accountants, translators, detectives, and informants-- -- namely the kinds of resources at which the president sneers.  We must get out of Iraq as soon as possible, not as a capitulation to terrorism, but as the first positive step to defeating it.  Once we're out, the giant recruiting zone and training ground for world terrorism that Iraq has become will immediately go out of business.  The fledgling government will undoubtedly have difficulty maintaining some stability, so other countries in the world who have some credibility with the Iraqi people as countries not interested in world domination will have to step up and take a role.  But we simply have to get out as soon as possible, because our presence there is endangering everyone on the planet.  Although there is no end to the number of people who want to come to Iraq and kill Americans, once we are gone It will be hard for the terrorists to recruit people to come and murder Brazilians [and/or] Norwegians.

The president still doesn't get this.  He still thinks in only one direction, which is namely that the United States can deploy its power and over time it will prevail.  He has not wised up to the fact in a system, power can flow in multiple directions . even simultaneously, so that he is oblivious to the ways in which US actions, although displaying tremendous force,  have dramatically strengthened the hand of people who hate America.  I'm sure he is sincere in wanting to protect our citizens, but his simplistic heavy-handed approach ignores the reality of what is actually happening.  We simply have to do something else.

My only quibble with the above is that I think military force should be used against terrorism in some circumstances. As I've said before, the military action in Afghanistan right after 9/11 was necessary, and I only wish it had been quicker and harder. But the invasion of Iraq was just flaming stupid and counterproductive.

A primarily military response to terrorism is like shooting at flies with a shotgun; you'll do a lot of damage, but most of the flies will still get away.

The Right just doesn't get it. They're still talking about fronts, for pity's sake. There are no fronts. We may be putting all of our resources into a specific geographical area, but the enemy is not contained there. The irony of the "flypaper theory" is that we're the ones stuck in the flypaper. And thanks to Iraq, we lack the money and resources we need for real homeland security.

Just after 9/11, I remember reading that people outside New York City were flocking to gun dealers to stock up on firearms for protection against terrorism. Now, it's OK with me if they want to buy firearms, but it's delusional to think a firearm is any kind of protection against terrorism. Guns are about as much use as duct tape.

But I think this exemplifies the Right's response to terrorism. It's emotional, not rational; it's a knee-jerk, shoot-it-if-it-moves reaction, not well-informed, smart strategy. Indeed, the Right misunderstands attempts to understand terrorism--socio-psycholgical profiling, if you will--as blaming America. This is nothing but willful ignorance; an inability to face geopolitical realities with honesty and maturity.

If knowledge is power, then ignorance is weakness. No matter how many guns you have.

Update: What I love about blogs-- Garance Franke-Ruta posts at TAPPED:

News reports are in about the location of the Tube bombs, and the stations picked for the horrific rush-hour assaults are especially chilling. These attacks were not just attacks on our closest ally, but on the very idea of Arab and Muslim integration into the West. Among the targets in the worst attack on London since World War II was the Edgware Road station, located in the heart of wealthy, assimilated Arab London. Middle Easterners of a variety of religions and South Asian Muslims are a substantial minority of the population in London, and the Edgware Road area is the pre-eminent Arab neighborhood in the city, with a fantastic variety of Lebanese coffee shops, Saudi grocery stores, and Persian restaurants. Some even call it "Little Lebanon," though the residents and shop clients come from all over the Middle East and North Africa, and the area especially attracts a young, hip crowd that compares it to Amman or Dubai. Edgware Road is Arab London's main street.

Though we have no idea yet whether the stations or train lines that were bombed were specifically targeted, it's hard to imagine that whatever terrorist organization or cell was behind the attacks failed to consider the symbolic power of an attack on Edgware Road.

I've had the TV on all day and hadn't heard that. Blogs rule.

Steve Soto writes,

What good is an anti-terror policy if your only consolation is that everyone else in the world suffers except you? And when will Tony Blair confront George W. Bush for his administration's shortsighted role in what happened in London today? ...

... Lastly, as Tony Blair oversees the carnage and anger in his country, he may want to ask his good buddy George W. Bush why his administration crippled Blair’s domestic anti-terror efforts to track down and stop Al Qaeda cells inside Great Britain by exposing a known Al Qaeda asset at a time when the Brits were very close to nailing a ring of Al Qaeda cells inside the country? With today's tragedy in front of them, don't you think that British intelligence would have wanted to finish their work last fall in smashing London's Al Qaeda cells before the Bush Administration blew a covert operation just so Bush could be reelected?

But as the Plame case shows, the Bush Administration has never let national security here or abroad get in the way of their Number One priority anyway, have they?

I hadn't heard that on television, either.

As I keyboard, some guy on MSNBC is saying that he doesn't think Islamic terrorists are responsible for today's attacks. If not, what was the significance of bombing Edgeware Road?

Update: Read Digby.

Update update: Steve M. reads Free Republic so you don't have to.

3:07 pm | link

News from London
 
MSNBC is reporting that more than 40 people were killed in today's terrorist attacks in London, and as many as 300 were wounded.
 
Has President Bush issued a statement yet? Or is he still changing his pants?
 
Update: Lots of people are proclaiming the London attacks to be a "wake up call." But there is little agreement as to what we're supposed to wake up to.
 
I endorse Demagogue's version (via Daou Report):
So far the most interesting, honest thing I've heard anyone say was on NPR this morning, from a former CIA-agent who used to work on the Osama Bin Laden team. He pointed out that if it's al-Qaeda that this is mutually embarassing for both British and American intelligence operations because no one had any warning whatsoever. He said he hopes it's a significant wake-up call for America, that this summer had started shaping up like the summer of 2001-- with the news obsessed with missing girls, shark attacks, etc. He said he was worried about our complacency most of all because people aren't paying attention to how little things have really changed since the War on Terror began. He also had some heavy criticism for the way the war on terrorism has been fought thus far, but I'll try to find the transcript of his interview before I summarize what he said. (I wish I knew his name, I've tried looking for it but haven't found it thus far.)
On the other hand, I take issue with this:
Watching the interviews with British folks who had been directly affected by the bombings was interesting-- they were calm, almost placid, just so very British. One man described how the top of the bus just blew off, as though that kind of thing happens everyday. It was just so mature and dignified. As a Washingtonian who rides the metro everyday I certainly do fear something like this happening here, although in many ways I fear the actual attack a lot less than I fear the panicking of other people-- we are not a stoic people. (See duct tape, area schools closing for predicted snow and for heat.)
Especially given the enormity of the event, New Yorkers were remarkably stoic about 9/11. Even after both towers had collapsed, and even though the phones and servers were down, several of my colleagues remained busy at their jobs and planned to spend the rest of the day working. (Not me.) And even though the evacuation of New York was very slow, I saw no panic or hysteria. On the Upper West Side people were still shopping and dining at sidewalk cafes as if nothing had happened, although I also saw long lines around hospitals as people lined up to donate blood. It would turn out that little of the blood was needed, since most people either escaped whole, or they died.
 
People who had escaped walked up 8th Avenue, covered with dust, faces blank. More numb than hysterical. There may be something in our physiology that causes emotion to shut down in the face of horror. It really does take some time for reality to "sink in." Most of the hysteria came from people who were far away and watching on television, IMO.
 
The President did manage to issue a coherent statement without undue delay. He assured Americans he had been in contact with "our homeland security folks" and had instructed those folks to  be "extra vigilant as our folks start heading to work." He also criticized terrorists who would "take the lives of innocent folks." He managed to refrain from calling the terrorists "folks." 
 
Update: Juan Cole comments 
I heard Michael Scheuer, the former CIA Bin Laden analyst, a couple of times this morning, once on NPR's Morning Edition and once on the Diane Rehm show. I thought his comments compelling.

He found the statement issued by a "secret jihad" web site similar in form and content to typical al-Qaeda communiques, including the threats against other countries (Italy and Denmark). He was sure this was an al-Qaeda operation.

He noted that Bin Laden had called off any ceasefire and had several times threatened to hit the United Kingdom.

He said that "chickens were coming home to roost" for US and UK politicians who had obscured the nature of the al-Qaeda struggle by maintaining that the organization attacks the West because "they hate our values."

Scheuer believes that al-Qaeda is an insurgent ideology focused on destroying the United States and its allies, because its members believe that the US is trying to destroy them. Al-Qaeda members see the Israeli occupation and oppression of the Palestinians, backed by the US; US support for military regimes like those of Pakistan and Egypt; and US military occupation of Afghanistan and Iraq as evidence of a US onslaught on Islam and Muslims aimed at reducing them to neo-colonial slavery. That is, specific Western policies are the focus of al-Qaeda response, not a generalized "hatred" of "values."

Scheuer opposes any attempt to configure the struggle against al-Qaeda as simple crime-fighting. He believes that they must be addressed through a thorough-going counter-insurgency effort.
 
10:01 am | link

Terrorist Attack in London
 
Tony Blair said today's explosions in London were an apparent terror attack, according to Reuters.  

Witnesses saw the top was ripped off a double-decker bus near Russell Square close to King's Cross train terminal and the twisted wreckage of another in Tavistock Square nearby.

Several underground subway stations also were hit.

"It is reasonably clear that there have been a series of terrorist attacks in London," Blair told reporters at the [G8] summit. He said he would return to London.

Various news sources report that least two people were killed and many more wounded. There is no official determination of who is responsible.

However, AKI just reported:

A European-based militant group believed to be linked to the al-Qaeda network has said it was responsible for Thursday's multiple bomb attacks in Londoon. The Group of the Secret Organisation of al-Qaeda in Europe issued a brief statement posted on the Internet claiming responsibility for the blasts and warning Italy and Denmark to pull out their troops from Iraq or receive similar treatment. Authorities have yet to establish the message's credibility.

Donald MacLeod of The Guardian writes,

The explosions in London look like an attempt to recreate the Madrid bombings and would have been planned for months, a leading terrorism expert said today as the capital began to come to terms with an apparently coordinated attack.

Michael Clarke, director of the Centre for Defence Studies at King's College London, said six bombs would mean at least 24 people involved in planting them in a targeted operation. The fact that London had been hit when the resources of the security forces were focused on the G8 summit at Gleneagles indicated some clever thinking by terrorists.

"It will have been quite a big plot and months in the planning," said Prof Clarke, who declined to speculate who was behind the attacks at this stage.

I don't know if any Brits drop by this blog, but if so, you have my heartfelt condolences.

But if Islamic terrorists are responsible, it rather blows a hole in the "flypaper" theory, eh?

Update: Several bloggers have pointed out that the perps might be from the anti-globalization movement. If this turns out to be so, the cause of anti-globalization will be irreparably damaged. You might as well send Wal-Mart an engraved invitation to open slave labor camps in China. 

Update: CNN has a timeline of the blasts. The BBC corroborates the AKI account above "An Islamist website has posted a statement--purportedly from al-Qaeda--claiming it was behind the attacks." The Associated Press reports, 

A group calling itself "The Secret Organization of al-Qaida in Europe" posted a claim of responsibility for the blasts, saying they were in retaliation for Britain's involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan.  The Web statement, republished on the site of the German magazine Der Spiegel, could not be immediately confirmed.   

The flaming idiots weigh in--Scott at Powerline titles a post, "Another Front Opens." When will the fools get it in their heads that there are no "fronts"? You can only have a "front" when armies are fighting over specific territory. A "front" assumes a theater of war with geographical parameters. That is not the case with terrorism.

Another flamer: The ever clueless Orrin Judd sniffs "Similar to 3-11 in Spain and obviously tragic, but is this really all al Qaeda can pull off these days?" Spoken like a true weenie who has never faced terrorism himself but thinks he understands it 'cause he saw it on TV.

7:54 am | link

Anybody Else See This?
bushbirthday.jpg
 
Last night I caught a bit of a TV news clip of Bush blowing out the candles on a birthday cake. At one point he stood up, visibly disoriented, and stumbled backward a step. Then he stepped forward and finished blowing out the candles.
 
Reuters reported that Bush "jokingly" stumbled, but it didn't look "jokingly" to me. Maybe he was just dizzy from blowing out candles. He does seem to stumble a lot, though, doesn't he?
  
7:44 am | link

wednesday, july 6, 2005

Roe v. Republicans
 
On some parts of the Left there's been much hand-wringing over Roe v. Wade of late. Some make the argument that abandoning Roe would make the Democratic party more palatable to moderate voters.
 
I say the Dems should wait and watch what opposition to Roe does to the GOP in the next couple of years.
 

In the three decades since Roe v. Wade, pro-lifers have marched, prayed, and licked envelopes in the hope that a pro-life president might change the Supreme Court. Friday morning, they got their wish: Justice Sandra Day O'Connor announced she would retire. Pro-lifers rushed to their computers to declare … defeat. If an anti-Roe justice replaced O'Connor, "there would still be a pro-Roe majority" on the court, said the National Right to Life Committee. "Replacing her will not challenge Roe's core," agreed the Committee for Justice. "Abortion Would Still be Legal in 43 States Even if Roe Overturned," added Americans United for Life.

It's a strange message: Abortion kills babies—but don't worry, Roe and legal abortion are secure. Why the reassurance? Because pro-lifers know that if the public thinks abortion might be criminalized again, a lot of voters will start to worry less about Osama Bin Laden and more about Tom DeLay. Some pro-life politicians will lose their jobs. Others will defect and beg for re-election. Pro-lifers know these things will happen, because they happened the last time voters panicked over Roe. That was in 1989, when George H.W. Bush was president. Not until three years later, when O'Connor and her colleagues reaffirmed Roe, did the backlash subside.

According to Gallup, 65 percent of Americans want the Roe v. Wade decision upheld. In our 50-50 nation, 65 percent is a substantial majority. So how come a pro-Roe position is seen as a political handicap?
 
Abortion is one of those issues--like gun control and gay marriage--that causes a substantial minority of voters to stampede to the polls to vote for whatever vertebrate organism the GOP placed on the ballot. On the other hand, relatively few pro-reproductive rights voters choose candidates based on that one issue.
 
However, if abortion became illegal in most parts of the U.S., that could change. And the Republicans don't want that to change. They need the issue of abortion to dangle in front of the "values" voters. They don't need abortion to actually become illegal, because that would piss off the rest of--a majority of--the electorate.
 
Because the SCOTUS would still have a pro-Roe majority if O'Connor's seat is given to an "anti," Saleton thinks Bush will throw a bone to the Fetus People and appoint an "anti" justice to replace O'Connor. However, it's possible a future appointment would be more moderate.  It's not in the best interest of the GOP for the SCOTUS to have an anti-abortion rights majority.
 
But if Roe were overturned, would abortion remain legal in 43 states? Sure--for a couple of weeks. Only seven states have laws that would ban abortion immediately if Roe is overturned. But you know that the moment Roe is overturned, every statehouse in every "red" state will be cranking out abortion bans faster'n you can say "Alan Guttmacher."
 
And it could be worse. Michael Dorf argues in TAP that the Right will not stop with state law, but will push for a national abortion ban.
Today’s Republican Party pays at most lip service to the notion of limited national power. The Justice Department was all too eager to interpret federal statutes to override Oregon’s law permitting physician aid in dying and California’s medical marijuana law. Likewise, Congress (including many Democrats) brushed aside the obvious federalism objections to its extraordinary intervention in the Terri Schiavo case.

Thus it is not alarmist to predict that within weeks -- if not days or hours -- of a Supreme Court decision overruling Roe v. Wade, Congress would enact legislation outlawing most abortions nationwide. At that point, the fate of legal abortion would depend on the justices’ views about the limits of congressional power.

In spite of the fact that opinions on abortion have remained remarkably static for these past thirty years, many on the Right have an abiding faith that support for legalized abortion is shrinking. For example, check out what flaming idiot James Taranto wrote for WSJ. Taranto argues that abortion has been a winning issue for the GOP and a losing issue for Democrats.  How does he know? "Polarization over abortion coincided with a period of Republican ascendancy," Taranto says. "Since the parties split on abortion, the GOP has won five of seven presidential elections, and no Democrat has had a majority of the popular vote."