It’s a tea party versus GOP establishment smackdown in Delaware. Tea party candidate Christine Oâ€™Donnell, dubbed by Tbogg a Palin 2.0 Bimbot, could win the GOP primary contest against the Establishment choice, Mike Castle, a former governor and congressman.
Nate Silver says O’Donnell has something like a 17 percent chance of winning the general election, which of course is why he establishment is in a panic.
However, that’s just one Senate race. The bad news is that Nate projects the GOP has a 2 in 3 chance of taking the House in November.