Click only if you have the stomach — Mark Steyn responds to Sandra Fluke’s speech at the DNC with some misdirected verbiage suggesting that the oppression of women is necessary for the good of the economy.
Ann Romney wants you to know that reproductive and marital rights are not what this election is about, so you people had better stop asking her about it.
We now know that the Romney campaign is targeting eight states — Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and New Hampshire. Per Nate Silver, the only one of those currently leaning toward Romney is North Carolina. Jonathan Chait writes,
The reason this looks worrisome for Romney is that heâ€™s pursuing an electoral-college strategy that requires him nearly to run the table of competitive states. The states where Romney is not competing (and which arenâ€™t obviously Republican, either) add up to 247 electoral votes. The eight states where Romney is competing add up to a neat 100 electoral votes, of which Romney needs 79 and Obama just 23. If you play with the electoral possibilities, you can see that this would mean Obama could win with Florida alone or Ohio plus a small state or Virginia plus a couple small states, and so on.
Unless Iâ€™m missing something badly here, Romney needs either a significant national shift his way â€” possibly from the debates or some other news event â€” or else to hope that his advertising advantage is potent enough to move the dial in almost every swing state in which heâ€™s competing.
IMO the targeting makes sense if you have been following Nate Silver’s data. Polling in most states is remarkably lopsided, heavily favoring one candidate over the other. Even if you had all the money in the world to burn, it wouldn’t make a lot of sense to advertise in those solid red or blue states. In less than 60 days, barring some unforeseen event, no way the needle is going to move that much.