The Mahablog

Politics. Society. Group Therapy.

The Mahablog

Why “Anarchist” Is Not a Synonym for “Leftist”

Yesterday I wrote that right-wing websites objected to calling the Michigan kidnap plotters “right wing.” At least one was on record as being opposed to Donald Trump, after all. More than anything else, the righties argue, the Michigan Meatballs are opposed to government authority, which makes them anarchists, and anarchists are all lefties.

Actually, there are all kinds of anarchists, and you can find anarchism across the political spectrum proposing many different perspectives. And they aren’t always violent. The definition of anarchism as nihilistic, chaotic destruction of existing orders is a minority view in academia. See the entry on anarchism in the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.

But if we are talking about anarchy as nihilistic, chaotic destruction of existing orders, why is that automatically a “leftie” position? The Right in the U.S. has, over the past several decades, perpetrated a knee-jerk campaign against all things “liberal” by equating liberalism with Big Government and over-reaching, coercive do-gooder programs that restrict their freedoms. Yet the American Left is also associated with anarchy? How does that work?

It’s certainly true that in world history, anarchism has been associated with left-wing extremists such as the French socialist Pierre-Joseph Proudhon (1809-1865). But IMO the 19th century European anarchists have to be understood in the context of 19th century European politics and society, in which hereditary monarchies and titled nobilities were still in charge, and in which capitalism was just a newfangled way to exploit the powerless and oppressed masses.

However, right-wing rhetoric to the contrary, the huge mass of American leftism today is no where close to Marxism, and the huge majority of American lefties are in no way interested in abolishing private property. Instead, they are all about using the power of government to protect ordinary people from the predations of the powerful, not tearing down the government for whatever reasons people tear down governments.

Let’s unpack things a bit. Anyone paying close attention to street violence this year will have noticed that a lot of violence being blamed on the Left is being perpetrated by right-wingers.  (See Who caused the violence at protests? It wasn’t antifa at the Washington Post.) We’ve had a problem going back years in which much right-wing terrorism, such as abortion clinic bombings, isn’t recognized as terrorism. On the other hand, if anyone in a leftie demonstration so much as scribbles graffiti on a sidewalk, it’s a “riot.” A lot of our problem with definitions is that they are inconsistently applied.

Terrorism is defined in the Code of Federal Regulations as “the unlawful use of force and violence against persons or property to intimidate or coerce a government, the civilian population, or any segment thereof, in furtherance of political or social objectives” (28 C.F.R. Section 0.85).

Further, the FBI defines domestic terrorism as “the unlawful use, or threatened use, of force or violence by a group or individual based and operating entirely within the United States or Puerto Rico without foreign direction committed against persons or property to intimidate or coerce a government, the civilian population, or any segment thereof in furtherance of political or social objectives.” These guys fit that definition:

Yet we don’t call them terrorists, do we?

I am not saying that no one who identifies with “the Left” ever commits acts of terrorism or violence. Of course that happens. But the overwhelming majority of real violence associated with political views is coming from the Right in the U.S.  This month a DHS report came out and said White supremacists remain the deadliest U.S. terror threat, for example.

But we don’t address right-wing violence comprehensively because powerful conservative politicians find the rightie terrorists useful. You might remember that back in 2009 a DHS report on the threat of right-wing violence was met by hysterical shrieking from Republicans and conservative media personalities who called it a “hit job” on conservatism. The DHS eventually withdrew the report, which turned out to have been prescient.

Right-wing anarchy and terrorism have been festering in the U.S. for a long time, a lot longer than Donald Trump has been in politics.  The Know Nothings of the antebellum 19th century were nativist terrorists who attacked and burned Catholic churches, schools, and convents, and who engaged in violent riots that left immigrants — mostly German and Irish — dead in the streets. The Know Nothings were not anarchists, but they were definitely terrorists, and hyper conservative. Not lefties. Know Nothingism faded during the Civil War, but after the war the leftover threads of it were woven into another terrorist organization, the Ku Klux Klan.

At Slate, Fred Kaplan has a point when he says the Michigan kidnap plot was not about Donald Trump. The plotters are a type of anti-government radical who have been around for at least a few decades. They represent a dumbed-down version of Ayn Rand’s objectivism taken to extremes. These radicals deny any authority to government, except maybe local government, unless local government does something they don’t like. Back in the 1980s and 1990s a branch of this crew formed the “sovereign citizens” movement, and if you don’t remember them do read this article at the Southern Poverty Law Center. A snip:

In the early 1980s, the sovereign citizens movement mostly attracted white supremacists and anti-Semites, mainly because sovereign theories originated in groups that saw Jews as working behind the scenes to manipulate financial institutions and control the government. Most early sovereigns, and some of those who are still on the scene believed that being white was a prerequisite to becoming a sovereign citizen. They argued that the 14th Amendment to the Constitution, which guaranteed citizenship to African Americans and everyone else born on U.S. soil, also made black Americans permanently subject to federal and state governments, unlike themselves.

I ran into some of these specimens on the old pre-web USENET. They genuinely believed this. They also believed they were not obligated to pay federal taxes if they didn’t volunteer to do so and that the United States has secretly been under martial law  either since Lincoln was president, or possibly since Marbury v. Madison was decided in 1803. I’m serious.

The sovereign citizens were interconnected with the militia movement that arose in the 1990s, and there’s a good archive article on that crew at the ADL website.  And you can draw a straight line between the 1990s militia movement, Timothy McVeigh, and the Bundy family.

But where did all this anti-government hysteria come from? IMO a lot of it got fired up during the desegregation era of the 1950s and 1960, when government decided that separate but not equal would no longer do. I’ve said before that the modern libertarian movement took off in the U.S. after President Eisenhower sent troops to Little Rock to enable black teenagers to enter the public high school. And then in the 1960s Lyndon Johnson kept enacting Big Government Programs like Medicare, which the Right feared put us on the road to Communism, and the Great Society, which the Right saw as a transfer of wealth from White people to Black people. And then came Nixon’s Southern Strategy and Reagan’s crusade to make “government” a dirty word. And you can draw a straight line from all that to the Michigan kidnap plotters.

So, it may very well be that the Michigan crew are not Donald Trump fans, but that sure as hell doesn’t make them lefties. They are solidly in the American tradition of right-wing extremism.

And it’s also the case, as the SPLC article notes, that some of the current right-wing anti-government groups have done such a good job of tamping down white supremacist rhetoric that they occasionally attract Black members who are unaware of the group’s origins. But that doesn’t make them lefties, either.

Although I know there are some pods of left-wing anarchists out there, the enormous majority of left-wing demonstrations are about reform, not chaos and destruction. Most of the progress toward economic and civil equality for more than a century has come through government reform and government programs. This year’s BLM and other leftie demonstrators are not anarchists. They want a government and society that protects their rights and works for all citizens, not just the wealthy, and they see democratic government as an essential part of that effort.

But the Michigan plotters do not want to reform government. They want to end government. Government is slavery, one said in a video. And mandatory mask orders are tyranny, which makes Gov. Gretchen Whitmer a tyrant.

There’s a lot in the mashup of sovereign citizens and private militias that doesn’t add up to coherent ideology. It’s like someone calling himself a patriot while flying a Confederate flag. Many of these people fancy themselves to be great patriots who practically worship the Constitution even though they don’t recognize the legitimacy of the government the Constitution establishes. I suspect most of them aren’t terribly bright, although that doesn’t mean they aren’t dangerous

I sincerely hope that if Democrats re-take the White House and the Senate,  right-wing terrorism in all its forms finally will be taken seriously as terrorism and no longer tolerated. No more goons allowed to terrorize abortion clinics. No more armed thugs allowed in government buildings. I’d make open carry illegal for people not working in law enforcement, and then eventually maybe we can start disarming police. Cops in a lot of other countries don’t carry guns, you know.  Well, I can dream.

Rabbit Hole News

Item One. The New York Times has a new expose on Trump’s taxes. His taxes show a $21 million profit from sources that make no sense. This was while he was running for POTUS and his campaign funds were dwindling.

The bulk of the money went through a company called Trump Las Vegas Sales and Marketing that had little previous income, no clear business purpose and no employees.  …

…Experts in tax and campaign-finance law consulted by The Times said that while more information was needed to assess the legitimacy of the payments, they could be legally problematic.

“Why all of a sudden does this company have more than $20 million in fees that haven’t been there before?” said Daniel Shaviro, a professor of taxation at the New York University School of Law. “And all of this money is going to a man who just happens to be running for president and might not have a lot of cash on hand?”

Unless the payments were for actual business expenses, he said, claiming a tax deduction for them would be illegal. If they were not legitimate and were also used to fund Mr. Trump’s presidential run, they could be considered illegal campaign contributions.

The article goes into Trump’s business relationships in Las Vegas in depth, but it appears that one of Trump’s business partners, casino mogul Phil Ruffin, just dumped that money into the company where Trump had access to it. It doesn’t appear to have been earned through any business venture. There were other transactions that look fishy and seem to have been aimed at transfering large payments directly from corporate accounts into the Trump campaign.

Item Two: The Washington Post reports that in 2014 Trump got a $21 million tax break — $21 million seems to be a magic number today — on a property in New York. The tax break looks hinky and is being investigated by New York Attorney General Letitia James.

Item Three: Paul Waldman writes that Trump’s campaign is in a death spiral, and all of his frantic efforts to pull out of it are just making it worse. Refusing to do a virtual town hall is just the latest example.

So Trump is spending his time calling in to Fox programs, rage-tweeting madly, berating members of his own cabinet, and trying to convince people that Hillary Clinton framed him for the Russia scandal in 2016. He’ll be holding a “virtual rally” on Rush Limbaugh’s radio program Friday, then that evening he will go on Tucker Carlson’s show to get an on-air “medical evaluation” from a Fox News “doctor” best known for spreading misinformation on the pandemic.

How many swing voters do you think Trump is going to find that way?

Waldman points out that Trump is, bascially, running the same way he ran in 2016 — “His formula in that race was to capture the nomination by appealing to the ugliest impulses within his party, then win the general election by continuing to play on fear and resentment. Instead of working to win voters across the center, he found a latent Trump vote to activate.” The old formula just isn’t working this time. And, as many have pointed out, it was a lot easier to demonize Hillary Clinton than to tarnish Joe Biden.

BTW, Biden’s chances continue to improve at FiveThirtyEight. The nerds now give Biden an 85 in 100 chance to win, and Trump 15 in 100.

Item Four: It will not surprise you that in TrumpWorld, the terrorists who plotted to kidnap Gov. Whitmer are left-wing anarchists. Seriously. That’s because one of the plotters is in a video expressing opposition to Donald Trump. Apparently Trump isn’t fascist enough for him. One problem with this theory is that several other plotters were photographed in April taking part in the anti-covid-restriction demonstration at the Michigan capital. Remember this?

There’s two of them, first and third from the left.

I understand a couple other of the plotters are in other photos taken that day.

Some people don’t fit neatly into left-right boxes. I don’t doubt there are people out there with extremist right-wing views who don’t care for Donald Trump for various reasons. There are a few people who supported Bernie Sanders and then switched to Trump when Sanders wasn’t nominated. That makes absolutely no sense, but it happens. But if the meatballs who wanted to kidnap Gov. Whitmer are lefties, I’m Jason Momoa.

Lord of the Fly

It says something about last night’s debate that today there is more discussion of the fly on Mike Pence’s head than about whatever it was they discussed.

Jeff Darcy, Cleveland.com

I confess I wasn’t totally knocked out by Harris’s performance, but she won (IMO) mostly because Pence — who lied his ass off — assumed he was entitled to talk over the women, Harris and moderator Susan Page. And because hardly anything about the debate was memorable except for the fly.

Right-wing media today are hooting that Pence “destroyed” Harris. Everybody else says Harris did what she needed to do. It was a debate that won’t move any needles; if you support Trump you still support Trump; if you support Biden you still support Biden. But since Trump is way behind right now, Pence’s efforts on his behalf were a waste of time.

And I don’t believe Republican men grasp how bad it makes them look when they disrespect women by talking over them. Maybe someday they’ll figure it out.

The big news this morning is that the mostly worthless debate commission declared the next debate will be virtual, and Trump promptly declared he wouldn’t do it.

“It’s not acceptable,” Trump said on Fox Business in his first interview since he announced one week ago on Twitter that he had tested positive for the novel coronavirus.

“I’m not gonna waste my time in a virtual debate. That’s not what debating is all about — you sit behind the computer and do a debate, ridiculous. And then they cut you off whenever they want,” Trump said.

Trump assumes a “debate” is something like a WWF cage match and all about physical dominance. If he can’t be allowed to talk nonstop for 90 minutes,  he’s not interested.

Biden, of course, accepted immediately and suggested Trump would change his mind.

“We don’t know what the president is going to do. He changes his mind every second, so for me to comment on that now would be irresponsible,” Biden said. “I’m going to follow the commission’s recommendations. If he goes off and he has a rally, I don’t know what I’ll do.”

Yes, children, the Disgusting Orange Blob wants to resume in-person rallies because, according to him, he’s not contagious any more. And yesterday his Twitter account was full of ALL CAPS SCREAMING like this:

And did I mention that Trump’s declared his covid infection a gift from God? They’d better yank him off that steroid before he climbs on the White House roof and tries to fly.

And for that matter, Mike Pence shouldn’t have been in Utah last night. He should be in Washington, quarantined. Nancy Pelosi is talking 25th Amendment. About time.

I should mention a lot of people noted that Pence lacked energy last night. I couldn’t tell; Pence never struck me as Mr. Dynamo. He seemed fairly standard Pence to me. There was also talk that one of his eyes appeared red, which I couldn’t see on the screen I was watching. Note that conjunctivitis sometimes turns up in covid patients. Pence really ought to be quarantined.

David Frum:

We saw a vice president with a pale face, his mouth cankered by a cold sore, his eyes pink. He looked unwell, which evoked the pandemic that has gripped America—a pandemic through which the Trump White House has modeled the most irresponsible and unsafe behavior. That irresponsible and unsafe behavior has sickened the president and the first lady, forced the Joint Chiefs of Staff into quarantine, and spread infection though the West Wing. This White House is notorious for non-transparency and untruthfulness. The president evaded a COVID-19 test before the September 29 debate in Cleveland—a date by which he very probably knew he was infected and infectious. Everybody watching tonight’s debate had to wonder: What’s going on with the vice president? At one point, Pence was at least the titular head of the White House COVID-19 response. He defied safety protocols too. He notably refused to wear a mask on a visit to the Mayo Clinic in April, despite the hospital’s clear rule that he must.

We saw a vice president who had internalized the Trump White House’s culture of disrespect, and especially disrespect to women. He talked over Kamala Harris and the moderator, Susan Page; he ignored the rules of the debate to which he agreed. At the core of the Trump political project is the reassertion of dominance over the historically dominated by the historically dominant. That reassertion of dominance was Pence’s supreme project at this debate too. Pence did not imitate his boss’s manic and undisciplined—and ultimately catastrophically unsuccessful—style of dominance. Instead, he brought to this debate the more measured and controlled disdain of a man who had considered the matter carefully—and decided that the woman in front of him had no right to control him and that the woman to his right did not deserve to be onstage with him. With the sound on, you heard Page trying and failing to summon Pence to order with a repeated, “Mr. Vice President, Mr. Vice President.” With the sound off, you saw Harris—a vice-presidential nominee, a U.S. senator, a former attorney general of the largest state in the nation—obliged to smile and smile in an effort to assert herself without seeming … well, you know, without seeming something that might offend somebody. Pence never worried about offending anybody. And he did not feel the need to smile when asserting himself.

Pretty much sums it up. See also James Fallows, Where Harris Succeeded and Pence Failed.

And now the debate has moved off the headlines, because six right-wing yahoos have been arrested for plotting to kidnap Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer.

The court filing also alleges the conspirators twice conducted surveillance at Whitmer’s vacation home and discussed kidnapping her to a remote location in Wisconsin to stand “trial” for treason prior to the Nov. 3 election.

“Several members talked about murdering ‘tyrants’ or ‘taking’ a sitting governor,” an FBI agent wrote in the affidavit. “The group decided they needed to increase their numbers and encouraged each other to talk to their neighbors and spread their message.”

Here’s the court filing, if you’re interested.

27 Days to Go

This might cheer you up — here is the “chance of winning” chart from FiveThirtyEight’s presidential forecast today (blue is Biden, red is Trump).

FiveThirtyEight.com, showing presidential election chances from June 1 to October 7. Biden is blue, Trump is red. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

The nerds also are forecasting that Biden will get 342 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 196. Works for me. Of course, that all depends on votes being counted.

The Hill reported yesterday that the Trump campaign canceled planned television ads in Ohio and Iowa “to instead focus funding in states where polls show the president trailing Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.” However, both the nerds (Biden 52%, Trump 48%) and the RCP average (Biden up by 0.6) are calling Ohio a tossup. The nerds have Trump slightly favored to win Iowa, but the RCP average has Biden up by 1.4. The Trump internal polls must be showing something very different, or else Trump is still running out of money. “Meanwhile, the Biden campaign will spend $1 million on ads in Ohio and $565,000 in Iowa over the next week while the president’s ads will not air,” says The Hill.

Democrats are slightly favored to win the Senate. Fingers crossed. The trajectory is encouraging.

October 7, 2020, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/

See also the Cook Political Report, The South Carolina Senate Race Moves to Toss Up.

Dems are clearly favored to keep the House and might increase their majority. The House odds have changed very little over the past several weeks.

Republicans have expressed concern. The Hill:

Republicans are growing increasingly concerned about poll numbers that show a rising Democratic wave just four weeks before Election Day as President Trump suffers one of the most brutal two-week stretches of his first term at precisely the wrong moment.

For months, Republicans and Democrats alike have confidently predicted that former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead in national and battleground state polls would tighten.

But after a new string of jarring numbers, some Republicans are beginning to fear that voters hesitant to say they will back Trump are not coming home and that the few remaining undecided voters are breaking decidedly against him — and the Republican Party as a whole.

Aw, poor babies. Yes, everyone had expected the race to tighten after labor day. But then the New York Times got the tax returns. And then we passed 200,000 dead from the pandemic. And then Trump refused to say he would cede power if he lost the election. And then there was the debate, which increasingly is looking like a worse bomb than the time Gerald Ford misplaced Poland. And then Trump turned into a virus superspreader.

Plus, the Hill continues, “There are growing signs that Trump’s dismal polling is beginning to impact down-ballot Republican contests.” Heh. See also Sam Stein and Lachlan Markay, Republicans: Ditch Trump, Save the Senate at Daily Beast.

Trump’s move yesterday to cancel relief/stimulus negotiations was labeled “the single greatest political blunder in the history of presidential elections” by Jonathan Chait. More soberly, Nate Silver writes,

But it’s still a hard move to comprehend, especially at a time when the president’s numbers were already declining — mildly in some polls, and sharply so in others. And the way Trump went about it makes matters worse for him, politically. Up until this point, House Majority Leader Nancy Pelosi had faced at least a little bit of a risk: Though the stimulus might have helped Trump, she could have been partly blamed if talks collapsed. But now, Trump’s tweets make it clear that he was the one who pulled out of the talks.

This move was stupid even by Trump standards, and with Nancy Pelosi I do wonder what the dexamethasone is doing to him. For whatever reason, a slight majority of the electorate still preferred Trump over Biden to run the economy. Nate Silver says he might have blown that one advantage yesterday.

Within hours, Trump had partly shifted, calling for a deal to rescue the airline industry. He also tweeted yesterday about another paycheck protection program and a stand-alone bill to hand out another $1,200. The chances of any of this happening before the election seem low to me. See also Trump Just Killed the Stimulus Talks. Is He Out of His Mind? by Jim Newell and Jordaon Weissmann at Slate.

Tonight is the Veep debate. Should be more watchable than that mess last week.

The South Portico Stunt

What happened at the White House last night was, basically, the Bible Stunt without the Bible. Let’s call it the South Portico Stunt.

If you were watching television yesterday evening during the news hour, you must have seen it. NBC Nightly News covered the move from Walter Reed to the White House door to door. Trump walked from the helicopter to the South Portico wearing a mask, but at the door he took it off and posed for pictures — waving, saluting, sticking his thumbs up, affecting a heroic scanning-the-horizon pose. In close-up videos he appeared to me to be fighting to breathe.

I have read that a video of the South Portico Stunt with thunderous and triumphal orchestral music was quickly posted to Trump’s Twitter account. I didn’t look.

Trump and his infection return to the White House.

It is entirely possible they’ll be hauling him back to Walter Reed on a stretcher by the end of the week, but we’ll see.

Greg Sargent points out that the South Portico Stunt appears to have been designed to help Trump sell the idea that there will be a vaccine available by election day.

The true goal of Trump’s theatrical treatment of his arrival at home after three days in the hospital with the coronavirus becomes a lot clearer when you view it alongside this New York Times scoop:

Top White House officials are blocking strict new federal guidelines for the emergency release of a coronavirus vaccine, objecting to a provision that would almost certainly guarantee that no vaccine could be authorized before the election on Nov. 3, according to people familiar with the approval process.

Trump portrayed his return as a moment of extraordinary personal valor. One video displayed his arrival by helicopter as akin to that of a conquering hero. The other showed him addressing (prematurely, perhaps) his vanquishing of the virus, declaring: “Don’t be afraid of it.”

But, crucially, Trump also insisted that we will “beat it” because “we have the best medicines,” and “the vaccines are coming momentarily.”

The subtext to this is that Trump is losing. He is really, really losing. With less than a month to go, today the FiveThirtyEight nerds have his chances to be be reelected at 17 to 100. That’s the worst the odds have been for Trump since ever. The debate hurt him, and he is not getting a sympathy bump for getting sick. He doesn’t know how to be president, so all he’s got are stunts.

And it may be that he really is doing very well and doesn’t need to be at Walter Reed, but it’s much more likely his condition is worse than everyone is letting on, and he was the only one who thought leaving Walter Reed was a good idea. If his physical condition were that remarkably good, one suspects the White House doctor would be posting lung x-rays and blood test results and whatever on Twitter instead of refusing to answer direct questions about them.

The reviews:

Monica Hesse, WaPo:

To everyone grieving a covid-19 loss — to everyone who clung to an iPad to watch an intubated father or grandfather struggling for a final breath, ending a good life as bravely as one can in the face of such loneliness and pain — to every person who loved one of the more than 200,000 Americans who have died so far in seven months of pandemic, I hope you took some comfort in President Trump’s Monday message to his citizens in conjunction with his own diagnosis, which was, essentially: Avoiding the virus is for suckers.

“Don’t be afraid of Covid. Don’t let it dominate your life,” wrote the man who had been airlifted to a hospital to receive experimental drugs from the country’s best doctors at taxpayer expense. “We have developed, under the Trump administration, some really great drugs & knowledge. I feel better than I did 20 years ago!”

The reaction from some public servants in the Republican Party fixated, predictably, on the president’s transcendent strength and power.

“President Trump won’t have to recover from COVID. COVID will have to recover from President Trump,” Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) wrote in the tweet equivalent of a Chuck Norris GIF.

“COVID stood NO chance against @realDonaldTrump!” tweeted Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-Ga.). She accompanied the message with a Wrestlemania GIF in which Trump attacks a man whose head had been replaced by a cartoon coronavirus. After punching the virus-head to the ground, he walks away grinning.

Robin Givhan, WaPo:

Trump’s response to his covid-19 diagnosis has reeked of disregard for human life. But he has given his image loving, obsessive attention.

On Sunday, the highly contagious commander in chief demanded that Secret Service agents risk their own health to feed his hunger for adulation. He climbed into the back of an SUV so he could ride by the crowd of supporters that had assembled outside Walter Reed. Agents are well prepared to face the dangers inherent in protecting the president. But requiring agents to seal themselves inside a vehicle along with the president’s personal viral load simply because he needed an ego boost should not be part of their job description. …

… Yet the man who fancies himself the ultimate showman has proved to be terrible at choreographing these bids for attention. His law-and-order posturing in front of St. John’s Church this summer had him looking like a confused would-be strongman manhandling a Bible. And over the weekend, as Trump waved to his devoted followers from behind the tinted windows of the black Chevy Suburban, he looked like the caged ringmaster in a circus of his own creation.

Marina Hyde, The Guardian:

A rare moment of unity in the US election, as Donald Trump marked his return to the White House by gasping along with his detractors. On Monday night, the president puffed up the front staircase of his residence, his face coated in several more gallons of paint than the front elevation of the building. “Don’t let it dominate your lives,” he panted of the virus, a bad case of which tends to dominate your death.

Yet there he was, this hideous kink in the arc of history, giving the most dangerous balcony performance since Michael Jackson had his baby crowdsurf off one. The American people are all Blanket now.

David Graham, The Atlantic:

The mask is off. After months of flirting with the notion, Trump is now explicit about his plan for the pandemic: He has none. He wants Americans to take the punch, take the deaths, and pretend all is fine. Trump is acting as though he has triumphed over the virus, and thus the rest of the country can too. But with his words and acts, he is making it likely that more Americans will die.

Josh Marshall, TPM:

President Trump seems to be knocking off iconic (and not in a good way) moments in rapid succession now: the Lafayette Park church stunt in June, the slow speed base runabout in his armored SUV two days ago, and then last night’s Triumph of the Will manque set piece with Trump, bathed in light but also clearly struggling to breathe, triumphantly reentering the White House and confidently tossing off his mask. While the June incident long predated Trump’s personal health crisis, each moment shares a common theme: Trumpian efforts to demonstrate strength and dominance which fail because they claim too much, because Trump is in fact weak. And it shows.

We may say that Trump is a weak man in general. But here I speak specifically of political weakness. Trump is weak. He’s losing his reelection battle. He has tried for months to reverse his political decline with sometimes cartoonish abuses of powers. While he has largely gotten away with the abuses in legal terms (so far) they’ve failed politically. The St. John’s Church photo op was part of Trump’s effort to shift the tide of the election into a referendum on “Law and Order,” hearkening back to Richard Nixon’s campaigns in 1968 and 1972. Many Democrats feared this would work. But it hasn’t. In general it hasn’t worked because most Americans believe the George Floyd protests on balance have merit and because most see Trump as a source of chaos and disorder rather than a protector from it.

Also, I think most Americans realize by now that Trump is an asshole. And the only people who like assholes are other assholes.

Trump Can’t Even Get Being Sick Right

I take it they’re sending Trump back to the White House today. My impression is that this is at his insistence. I’ve read in a number of places that he thinks being in a hospital makes him look weak.

Since I’m not a doctor and I have no idea what the status of his health is, I can’t say whether sending him home is a good idea or not. Here it says patients with severe infections may not feel completely awful for the first four to seven days, and then they get slammed. Depending on when Trump’s symptoms began, he may not have hit the slammed stage yet. Or it may be that they’ve loaded him up with enough steroids and who knows what that he won’t be as slammed as a regular patient who isn’t getting super-duper care.

It’s also possible that they’ve set up an ICU in the White House and plan to give him the same treatment there he would have gotten in the hospital. It’s also possible the White House physician, Sean Conley, is an incompetent hack. I don’t know the man personally and cannot say.

And it’s also possible the crew at Walter Reed is exhausted with trying to deal with him and just want to get rid of him.

Gabriel Sherman has a fascinating bit at Vanity Fair:

Donald Trump’s erratic and reckless behavior in the last 24 hours has opened a rift in the Trump family over how to rein in the out-of-control president, according to two Republicans briefed on the family conversations. Sources said Donald Trump Jr. is deeply upset by his father’s decision to drive around Walter Reed National Military Medical Center last night with members of the Secret Service while he was infected with COVID-19. “Don Jr. thinks Trump is acting crazy,” one of the sources told me. The stunt outraged medical experts, including an attending physician at Walter Reed.

According to sources, Don Jr. has told friends that he tried lobbying Ivanka Trump, Eric Trump, and Jared Kushner to convince the president that he needs to stop acting unstable. “Don Jr. has said he wants to stage an intervention, but Jared and Ivanka keep telling Trump how great he’s doing,” a source said. Don Jr. is said to be reluctant to confront his father alone. “Don said, ‘I’m not going to be the only one to tell him he’s acting crazy,’” the source added.

One of the drugs he is taking, dexamethasone, is known to be dangerous and only given to the most severly infected patients. It is also known to have various mind- and mood-altering effects, and many have suggested that if the POTUS is on it somebody really ought to turn the keys to the car over to Mike Pence. However, given that it’s Trump we’re talking about, I don’t see that it matters. It’s not like he could do the job anyway. Just don’t let him nuke anybody.

More about Trump’s covid treatment:

Some experts raised an additional possibility: that the president is directing his own care, and demanding intense treatment despite risks he may not fully understand. The pattern even has a name: V.I.P. syndrome, which describes prominent figures who receive poor medical care because doctors are too zealous in treating them — or defer too readily to their instructions. …

… Using multiple drugs at once could have an impact on their effectiveness, and it increases the risk of harmful drug interactions, said Dr. McGinn.

“You’re giving remdesivir, you’re giving dexamethasone, and you’re giving monoclonal antibodies,” he said, referring to the experimental treatment by Regeneron. “No one’s ever done that, not to mention famotidine and some zinc and a mix of cocktails, or whatever else he’s on.”

Maybe he’ll grow feathers. That would be fun.

Marian Kamensky

Paul Waldman and Greg Sargent:

Because of Trump’s recklessness, we’re only just beginning to see how far the virus is spreading among Republicans. Press secretary Kayleigh McEnany just announced that she has tested positive, bringing the total number of senior Republican officials and lawmakers who have recently announced contracting the virus to over a dozen.

With Republicans tied to Trump’s utter contempt for social distancing and his cultlike command that all Republicans treat the virus as largely a nonissue, they have to hope it won’t spread much deeper into their own ranks.

I see now that Attorney General Bill Barr has decided to self-quarantine after all. I still expect him to announce he’s been infected some time this week. But Mike Pence, who also was sitting in the front row at the Amy Coney Barrett Nomination Announcement and Virus Spreading Event, is traveling around the country campaigning, I understand. Maybe he’ll get sick, too. Hello, President Pelosi.

See also:

Elaine Godfey and Adam Harris, The People Trump Is Coming Home To: The president’s behavior threatens the very employees charged with taking care of him.

Timothy Noah, Why Won’t the White House Let the CDC Contact Trace Its Rose Garden Event?

Let’s Talk About Personal Responsibility

Trump’s medical team says Trump is doing just grand and that Trump might be discharged tomorrow. Whatever. The only thing I know for certain is that we don’t know anything for certain. The White House and Trump’s doctors can’t be trusted to tell us the truth. So we’ll see what happens.

But I want to talk about personal responsibility. Remember when Republicans called themselves the “party of personal responsibility”? They’re still doing it for all I know. What they meant by that is that ordinary people are supposed to take care of themselves without depending on government so that government can focus on taking care of rich people. But really, the whole concept of “personal responsibility doesn’t seem to be something they grasp.

Let’s review: In the age of covid-19, personal responsibility looks like this:

Figure One: A Biden Press Conference. July 2020. The Independent (UK) photo

Personal responsibility does not look like this:

Figure Two: Amy Coney Barrett nomination announcement and virus spreading event, the former White House rose garden, September 26, Voice of America photo

All the people at this event other than Trump who have tested positive this past week were in the first two rows. You may not be able to make him out, but Attorney General Bill Barr is in the first row. And Attorney General Bill Barr has decided he doesn’t need to quarantine himself. Where do they find these people? I hope somebody starts a betting pool on when Barr announces he’s positive. I’m taking Thursday, October 8, 11;36 pm.

At Vanity Fair, Gabriel Sherman writes that some Trumpers are having a hard time understanding the whole virus spread thing.

Inside Trumpworld, the shock of Trump’s hospitalization is giving way to despair about his prospects in the upcoming election. “They all know it’s over,” a Republican close to the campaign said. “This is spiraling out of control,” a former West Wing official said. Some Trump allies are entertaining conspiracy theories that the White House outbreak was caused by someone with political motives. “It’s weird that all these Republicans are getting it,” a prominent Republican told me. “I don’t know what the fuck is going on. But one thing I’ve learned is: when something major happens thirty days before an election, it usually has to do with the election.” (There is no evidence for this wild claim).

It’s not weird at all that a cluster of Republicans are getting the virus. Just see Figure One and Figure Two, above. That explains it all.

Also at Vanity Fair, see Charlotte Klein:

Despite being at least the third Republican senator to test positive for COVID-19 within the last 24 hours, Ron Johnson of Wisconsin still doesn’t think mask mandates are a good idea. On Saturday, hours after announcing he had contracted the coronavirus, the GOP lawmaker reportedly said that masks may help reduce the risk of infection but are “certainly not a cure-all” and should be an “individual responsibility.” Johnson’s comments come a day after Republicans who control the legislature moved to strike down Democratic Governor Tony Evers’ statewide mask mandate. Meanwhile, the swing state has seen a surge of COVID-19 cases in recent days, surpassing daily records for new cases and deaths and raising concerns over Wisconsin’s hospital capacity.

Many things should be an individual responsibility, Senator. But since too many people lack the sense God gave turnips, somebody has to set rules.

Charlotte Klein goes on to explain that while a senator may participate in hearings virtually, when the time comes for a floor vote on something — like, say, Amy Barrett’s nomination to the Supreme Court — senators have to be there in person. That means having a bunch of Republican senators out with the covid could interfere with Mitch McConnell’s quickie nomination process. Heh.

Going back to whatever shape Trump is in now — we really don’t know. He released a short video that at least shows us he’s not on a ventilator, and he has released a couple of photographs that make it appear he is doing presidential stuff, but the photos are being slammed as being staged. And I don’t much care if Mike Pence is standing by to resume command or not, because Trump never did the job of POTUS, anyway.

See also Little evidence that White House has offered contact tracing, guidance to hundreds potentially exposed.

Update: The toddler-in-chief briefly left the hospital so he could be driven around to wave at supporters. Seriously. If the driver gets covid, he should sue.

The Virus vs. the GOP

I confess I spent way too much time this morning trying to find out if Mitch McConnell was present at the Amy Coney Barrett Nomination Announcement and Virus Spreader Event. Alas, I could not confirm that he was. But he might have been. (Please, oh please …)

I need a running list of the high-level Republicans who have tested positive since the Trump announcement. The most recent victim is Sen. Ron Johnson. Oh, no, wait .. now it’s Chris Christie. So hard to keep up. Before that, after Trump and Melania, it was senators Mike Lee and Thom Tillis, Kellyanne Conway, campaign manager Bill Stepien, Hope Hicks, and RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel.  Am I leaving anyone out?

The only thing I’m hearing about McConnell is that he’s doubling down on getting Barrett confirmed ASAP, possibly before too many Republican senators become utterly incapacitated. Tillis and Lee are on the Senate Judiciary Committee, and I believe most if not all of the Republicans on that Committee were at the Rose Garden nomination/spreader event.

Lee was in the White House Rose Garden, without a mask, on Saturday for Trump’s official announcement that Barrett would be the nominee for the Supreme Court vacancy, and was seated near other Republican members of the Judiciary Committee: Mike Crapo of Idaho, Thom Tillis of North Carolina, Ben Sasse of Nebraska, Josh Hawley of Missouri and Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee.

Note that it can take as many as fourteen days between exposure and a positive test result, according to a random medical page on the Web. This is why having had a recent negative test result is not an excuse for not wearing a mask. Someone might explain that to Mark Meadows.

See also Invincibility punctured by infection: How the coronavirus spread in Trump’s White House at WaPo:

The ceremony in the White House Rose Garden last Saturday was a triumphal flashback to the Before Times — before public health guidelines restricted mass gatherings, before people were urged to wear masks and socially distance….

… Spirits were high. Finally, Trump was steering the national discussion away from the coronavirus pandemic — which had already killed more than 200,000 people in the United States and was still raging — to more favorable terrain, a possible conservative realignment of the Supreme Court.

Attendees were so confident that the contagion would not invade their seemingly safe space at the White House that, according to Jenkins, after guests tested negative that day they were instructed they no longer needed to cover their faces. The no-mask mantra applied indoors as well. Cabinet members, senators, Barrett family members and others mixed unencumbered at tightly packed, indoor receptions in the White House’s Diplomatic Room and Cabinet Room.

You know, I honestly don’t believe all of these people are stupid. They are certainly capable of understanding the basics of how a virus spreads. Apparently they simply don’t want to understand the basics of how a virus spreads. I’ll come back to this in a bit.

Right now it’s looking like the people at most risk were on Trump’s debate prep team and/or at the Barrett nomination announcement. (Two members of the debate prep team who haven’t yet tested positive, as far as we know, are Jared Kushner and campaign adviser Jason Miller. Stay tuned.) And it’s possible some coronavirus got spread around at the debate, especially considering the Trump attendees refused to wear masks.

A little more than two days before she reported testing positive for the coronavirus, first lady Melania Trump — as well as the president’s sons, daughters and several guests — violated safety protocols at the first presidential debate by taking off their masks after being seated in a live studio audience in Cleveland.

Several in the president’s entourage continued without masks after an official from the Cleveland Clinic, which co-hosted the debate, offered them masks in case they didn’t have any, according to debate moderator Chris Wallace. “They waved them away,” Wallace said on Fox News on Friday morning.

It was a violation of rules that both campaigns agreed to, Frank Fahrenkopf, head of the Commission on Presidential Debates, said in an interview with The Washington Post.

Several people have noted that the White House virus protocols have been sloppy for some time. Peter Nicholas, The Atlantic, yesterday:

On the White House grounds this morning, senior West Wing aides walked around without masks. They spoke with the press without masks. They huddled privately with one another and didn’t wear masks.

When I visited the White House in August, no one checked to see if I was running a fever or suppressing a hacking cough as I passed through the security booth. The ritual was the same today: I showed up hours after we’d learned that President Donald Trump had tested positive for the coronavirus, yet no one asked about my health. Instead, I was simply searched for weapons and allowed in.

I’ve written twice in recent months about the dangerous conditions around the president—about lax testing of journalists flying with him on Air Force One, about troubling working arrangements inside the executive mansion itself. Trump’s illness seems an outgrowth of the administration’s flagrant disregard for public-health precautions. And yet, there’s no sign of a real course correction: The practices today seemed every bit as lax.

CNN reports that back in February masks were delivered to the White House by the National Security Council, but word came out of the Oval Office that somebody didn’t want the White House staff wearings masks all the time because “it wasn’t a good look.”  So that was that.

This brings us back to the question of why did all these people refuse to face reality? A lot of it was that they were taking their cues from Trump, of course, and Trump is a walking assemblage of psychiatric malfunctions. But what about the rest of the White House staff and apparently the entire Washington Republican Party establishment? Was it peer pressure? Or did they genuinely believe they were charmed?

This is something the social psychologists need to look into. Amy Wilentz writes that they thought the rules applied to suckers. Maybe. They also seem to associate the foreign virus with foreign, or other, people. There’s a fascinating bit by the Associated Press that talks about how Mike Pence fought with the CDC last March over closing borders. Pence wanted the CDC to use its emergency powers to seal the borders to stop the virus, and the CDC kept explaining that sealing the borders wouldn’t stop the spread of the virus because it was already spreading here. But Pence got his way.

Yes, the virus was being used as an excuse for something they wanted to do anyway. But I wonder how much all these issues just run together in their heads. Xenophobia is about maintaining some idea of racial and national purity. Somewhere in the murky depths of consciousness these people must associate anything impure with those other people; people who are not white and Republican and just like them. Impure.

Note also the weird thing Trump said after he heard Hope Hicks was positive —

Just a few hours before he and first lady Melania Trump tested positive for COVID-19, President Donald Trump suggested that interactions with the military and police were to blame for a member of his staff falling ill.

After news broke Thursday evening that senior aide and presidential adviser Hope Hicks had tested positive for COVID-19 after traveling with the president, Trump told Fox News’ Sean Hannity that she might have caught the virus from a member of the military or someone from law enforcement.

“She wears masks a lot, but she tested positive,” Trump told Hannity before saying that he and the first lady had gotten tested because they spent a lot of time with Hicks.

“It’s very hard when you’re with soldiers, when you’re with airmen, when you’re with the Marines, and the police officers,” he added. “When they come over to you, it’s very hard to say, ‘Stay back, stay back.’ You know, it’s a tough kind of situation. It’s a terrible thing.”

“It is very, very hard when you are with people from the military or from law enforcement and they come over to you,” Trump said. “They want to hug you, and they want to kiss you because we really have done a good job for them.”

“You get close, and things happen. I was surprised to hear with Hope, but she’s a very warm person with them,” he said. “She knows there’s a risk, but she is young.”

Like I said, weird. It’s like he automatically assumed the virus reached his staff from the help.

And of course there are questions about whether Trump can function as POTUS now, but when did he ever function as POTUS? I don’t see what difference his being stuck at Walter Reed makes. If anything, the government may work a bit better if he’s out of commission.

Martin Rowson, The Guardian

Trump: A Walking Superspreader?

Those who have been retracing Trump’s steps over the past few days have noted with alarm that he’s been in maskless, not-socially-distanced contact with much of the upper echelon of the Republican Party. This includes Ronna McDaniel, the RNC chair, who  tested positive on Wednesday. See Sam Brody, Daily Beast:

The web of those exposed by President Donald Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis reads like a who’s who of his peripatetic campaign: his campaign manager, the chair of the Republican National Committee, the leader of the House GOP’s campaign arm, and several high-profile members of Congress.

Now, those officials—not to mention countless supporters of the president—have either contracted COVID-19 or are at high risk for it after a week in which an infected Trump has criss-crossed the country. It also means a wide swath of the GOP’s formal campaign apparatus could be sidelined a month before a pivotal election in which the party is losing ground in its efforts to hold onto the White House, keep the Senate, and recapture the House.

Go on to read the rest of the article to see where he’s been and who he has been in contact with.  For example, at least two other people at the Amy Coney Barrett nomination announcement on Saturday have tested positive — Republican Utah Sen. Mike Lee and the Rev. John Jenkins, the president of the University of Notre Dame. Trump was not exactly exercising caution at the event; Sam Brody writes that “video taken of the event by a CNN reporter shows him hugging and greeting other attendees without wearing a mask.” I don’t suppose there is any way to know if Trump was the infector or infectee at that point.

Amy Coney Barrett herself says she already had the virus and recovered.

There are some hints here and there that Trump was not feeling well as early as Wednesday. His speech at a rally in Minnesota was short, by Trump standards, for example. But sources in the White House are saying that Trump feels just fine or has only mild symptoms or has a fever and a cough. Given how the White House clearly lies about the state of Trump’s health, my guess is that he’s sicker than they’re letting on.

Erin Banco and Asawin Suebsaeng of the Daily Beast say that the White House has been plain sloppy about virus protocols for a long time.

News that President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump had contracted the coronavirus may have sent shockwaves through the nation’s capital as it awoke Friday morning. But for those who worked for the president, the surprise was that it had taken this long to get to this point.

The White House may house some of the most important figures in government. But for months, the testing protocols to screen potentially infectious individuals have been more lax than the president’s aides present to the public.

It’s a wonder he didn’t catch it sooner. Joe Biden is still negative, he says, although that doesn’t necessarily mean he’s in the clear.

Paul Waldman writes that Trump thought he could beat the virus with spin. Obviously, he failed.

Charles Pierce has questions, including “Do they have to disinfect the nuclear ‘football’?” and “Does the White House have enough roosts for all these returning chickens?”

The Probable Outcomes of Trump’s Diagnosis.

Update: CNN reports that Trump is on his way to Walter Reed.

A Brilliant Plot Twist

If we were all living inside a novel, this is the exact moment a savvy author would give Trump the virus. The timing couldn’t be better. Here’s the latest:

White House chief of staff Mark Meadows told reporters that the president was experiencing “mild symptoms,” but remained in “good spirits and very energetic.”

The president is expected to conduct official and political events from the residence — including a call Friday with senior citizens about the coronavirus.

The diagnosis is a jolt for the country’s leadership and had some advisers early Friday discussing the continuity of government should the president’s condition grow worse. Vice President Pence tested negative for the virus Friday morning, a spokesman said.

Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel tested positive for the virus Wednesday but didn’t reveal her diagnosis until after Trump announced he had the virus. McDaniel was last with Trump a week ago at a Sept. 25 fundraiser.

The announcement of Trump’s infection was soon followed by a torrent of speculation that he is faking covid to get out of the next debate. I doubt that, because the next debate is a couple of weeks off yet. Also, too:

More sage posters, like author and self-described conspiracy-theory debunker Mike Rothschild offered this: “The galaxy brain take is that Trump is faking COVID to get out of the debates or distract from the tax stuff. But his image depends on being a bull god street fighter Adonis who outworks men half his age. He wouldn’t pretend to be sick and weak. If anything, he’d cover it up.”

Indeed, yesterday before the announcement Scott Lemieux of Lawyers, Guns and Money speculated that Trump already was infected and was covering it up. .

Philip Bump at WaPo also speculates that if the news of Hope Hicks’s infection hadn’t been leaked, would we have learned about Trump?

One has to wonder what would have happened had Bloomberg News not uncovered Hicks’s positive test, which was conducted Thursday morning. The president continued his schedule as normal despite her diagnosis — and despite perhaps not feeling 100 percent himself, according to Bloomberg’s Jennifer Jacobs. That included a closed-door fundraiser at Trump’s private club in New Jersey on Thursday. Business as usual, as best he could.

If the Hicks diagnosis hadn’t become public, when, if ever, would we have learned about Trump’s?

Bump reminds us of all the times the Trump and his people have issued obviously phony reports of his robust good health, so if Meadows says he’s experiencing “mild symptoms” he’s probably not doing well at all.

Now, let me say now that I don’t want him to die. I want him to lose. I want him indicted and convicted. I want him wrung out to dry by the legal system. Death at this point is too good for him.