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The Mahablog

There’s the Smart Way, and There’s the Trump Way

This is from the Wall Street Journal, republished elsewhere

Three powerful businessmen—two Americans and a Russian—hunched over a laptop in Miami Beach last month, ostensibly to draw up a plan to end Russia’s long and deadly war with Ukraine.

But the full scope of their project went much further, according to people familiar with the talks. They were privately charting a path to bring Russia’s $2 trillion economy in from the cold—with American businesses first in line to beat European competitors to the dividends.

At his waterfront estate, billionaire developer-turned-special envoy Steve Witkoff was hosting Kirill Dmitriev, head of Russia’s sovereign-wealth fund and Vladimir Putin’s handpicked negotiator, who had largely shaped the document they were revising on the screen. Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law, had arrived from his nearby home on an island known as the “Billionaire Bunker.”

Dmitriev was pushing a plan for U.S. companies to tap the roughly $300 billion of Russian central bank assets, frozen in Europe, for U.S.-Russian investment projects and a U.S.-led reconstruction of Ukraine. U.S. and Russian companies could join to exploit the vast mineral wealth in the Arctic. There were no limits to what two longtime adversaries could achieve, Dmitriev had argued for months: Their rival space industries, which raced one another during the Cold War, could even pursue a joint mission to Mars with Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

the apt title for this is “Make Money, Not War.”

For the Kremlin, the Miami talks were the culmination of a strategy, hatched before Trump’s inauguration, to bypass the traditional U.S. national security apparatus and convince the administration to view Russia not as a military threat but as a land of bountiful opportunity, according to Western security officials. By dangling multibillion-dollar rare-earth and energy deals, Moscow could reshape the economic map of Europe—while driving a wedge between America and its traditional allies.

Dmitriev, a Goldman Sachs alumnus, had found receptive partners in Witkoff—Trump’s longtime golfing partner—and Kushner, whose investment fund, Affinity Partners, drew billion-dollar investments from the Arab monarchies whose conflict with Israel he had helped mediate.

The two businessmen shared President Trump’s long-held approach to geopolitics. If generations of diplomats viewed the post-Soviet challenges of Eastern Europe as a Gordian knot to be painstakingly unraveled, the president envisioned an easy fix: The borders matter less than the business. In the 1980s, he had offered to personally negotiate a swift end to the Cold War while building what he told Soviet diplomats would be a Trump Tower across the treet from the Kremlin, with their Communist regime as a business partner.

And then a bit later it says,

A question for history will be whether Putin entertained this approach in the interest of ending the war, or as a ploy to pacify the U.S. while prolonging a conflict he believes is his place in history to slowly, ineluctably win.

I have read that Putin is no genius, but it doesn’t take a lot to be smarter than Trump. I’ve said before that Trump assumes all kinds of messy conflicts and problems could be easily solved because he doesn’t understand them. It was obvious in his first term that he has absolutely no concept of, for example, strategic alliances. Like NATO. He just sees a cost drain, not the purpose. That goes along with his abysmal ignorance of history. It has been credibly reported that when he visited the Pearl Harbor memorial someone had to explain to him what happened there. Most American boys his age spent their childhoods listening to their dads talk about the war and playing at being combat soldiers with their buddies in their back yards. Somehow, he seems to have missed that. Trump’s only drivers are power, money, and racism. That seems to be all he’s got.

And don’t miss All the President’s Millions: how the Trumps are turning the presidency into riches by Tom Burgess at The Guardian.

Pentagon Pete is in trouble for something reported by WaPo:

The longer the U.S. surveillance aircraft followed the boat, the more confident intelligence analysts watching from command centers became that the 11 people on board were ferrying drugs.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth gave a spoken directive, according to two people with direct knowledge of the operation. “The order was to kill everybody,” one of them said.

A missile screamed off the Trinidad coast, striking the vessel and igniting a blaze from bow to stern. For minutes, commanders watched the boat burning on a live drone feed. As the smoke cleared, they got a jolt: Two survivors were clinging to the smoldering wreck.

The Special Operations commander overseeing the Sept. 2 attack — the opening salvo in the Trump administration’s war on suspected drug traffickers in the Western Hemisphere — ordered a second strike to comply with Hegseth’s instructions, two people familiar with the matter said. The two men were blown apart in the water.

Hegseth’s order, which has not been previously reported, adds another dimension to the campaign against suspected drug traffickers. Some current and former U.S. officials and law-of-war experts have said that the Pentagon’s lethal campaign — which has killed more than 80 people to date — is unlawful and may expose those most directly involved to future prosecution.

What’s remarkable to me is that even Republicans in Congress are getting concerned about the boat bombings.

A top Republican and Democrats in Congress suggested on Sunday that American military officials might have committed a war crime in President Trump’s offensive against boats in the Caribbean after a news report said that during one such attack, a follow-up strike was ordered to kill survivors. …

… “Obviously if that occurred, that would be very serious, and I agree that that would be an illegal act,” Representative Mike Turner, Republican of Ohio and a former chairman of the Intelligence Committee, said on “Face the Nation” on CBS.

The lawmakers’ comments came after top Republicans and Democrats on the two congressional committees overseeing the Pentagon vowed over the weekend to increase their scrutiny of U.S. boat strikes in the Caribbean after the report. Mr. Turner said the article had only sharpened lawmakers’ already grave questions about the operation.

“There are very serious concerns in Congress about the attacks on the so-called drug boats down in the Caribbean and the Pacific, and the legal justification that’s been provided,” he said. “But this is completely outside of anything that’s been discussed with Congress, and there is an ongoing investigation.”

The investigations by both the House and Senate Armed Services Committees are the sharpest scrutiny to date by Congress of Mr. Trump’s escalating military offensive, undertaken without congressional approval or consultation, which he says is aimed at taking out drug traffickers.

They constitute a notable step by Republican lawmakers who have spent much of the year deferring to Mr. Trump and refraining from exercising oversight of his actions.

And it is all so unnecessary. There’s nothing going on that the Coast Guard couldn’t handle in the usual manner. But maybe some of the Republicans are realizing they need to start being legislators.

5 thoughts on “There’s the Smart Way, and There’s the Trump Way

  1. Some Republicans are recognizing that their jobs are at risk in the next election, along with maintaining a majority anywhere in the federal government in 2028. As I've said before, Nixon was popular with the GOP in Congress, until he wasn't. And I don't think most Republicans were motivated by principle (Some were.)

    The boat strikes are popular with the Republican voter. Pair it up with the pardon for the ex-president of Honduras, a huge narco-trafficker. Murder the little fish, while you pardon the big-money winners in the drug trade. MAGA likes easy answers, like they see Clint Eastood produce with perfect accuracy between the eyes.  The contradiction stinks of a sellout to the elite.

    Maxwell will be the bridge too far. That won't make MAGA woke. But they are going to look for a 'true' leader. It will get ugly fast, because there are plenty of wanne-bees waiting in the wings, many in the Administration. IMO, some Republicans in Congress want to get some message discipline because the wheels are starting to come off.

    The GOP Congress is hemmed in on Health Care. Eliminating subsiidies will cost them everywhere. People who were in denial and believed GOP leadership are gonna get the bill in the mail and folks will suffer. Some will die. There's no cohesive plan in the GOP to stave off the disaster that's just waiting. (The shutdown was NOT a failure. We got our message out first, before the GOP rolled out their talking points. Voters who believed that nothing bad was gonna happen will feel betrayed.) 

    Trump thinks he can just buy off voters with 11th-hour 2K 'stimulus" checks from  free tariffs. Congress has other plans for that money if it survives a review by the USSC. (Soon) Voters will take the money, but there's no way Trump can make cashing the check conditional on voting for Republicans. 

    The other thing that's gotten shakey is the loyalty of the military for TRUMP. The Constitution, yes. Trump, not so much. We may get a preview if/when Congress starts calling witnesses from the military regarding the boat strikes. It's entirely posssible there have been significant retirements by top brass. Trump will try to block their testimony but will the USSC decde the military doesn't have an obligation to answer questions from Congress? 

    Trump will throw Whisky Pete under the bus but who will volunteer to be Trump's fascist in the Pentagon if you will get betrayed as soon as you get caught following Trump's orders?  A military coup was always Trump's go-to if everything else fails. That's in jeopardy.

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  2. I have read that Putin is n genius,….

    I doubt it.

    He is very intelligent, has a law degree and a PH.D plus I think he is a graduate of the old KGB "international affairs" school. Think Georgetown U but with the advantage that one likely had access to secret archives plus both diplomats and spies would be able to speak more freely since the students would be under the Soviet equivalent of the Official Secrets Act.

    He also is diligent, listens carefully to his advisors and occasionally will do a bit of a "field trip" to hear from the rank and file of the military, the civil service and the general population, partly PR but a bit of a check on what he is hearing from his people.

    Trump seems to know very little of anything except how to make money in shady deals and how to go bankrupt. Given that he can use a teleprompter and a sharpie we do know he is  functionally literate. 

    We know from various sources that he may listen to an intelligence briefing once a week. The last I saw, Trump had designated Vance to hear the daily briefings.

     

    He is also showing worrying signs of mental decline. I watched a bit of an interview with him in 2017 yesterday.  The decline in verbal ability was striking.

    Also the "Shut up piggy" line is a bit worrying. Trump was never exactly polite but that response seemed to indicate a loss of impulse control rather than his earlier insulting names habit.

     

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    • I'm sorry that I mis-typed. Instead of "I have read that Putin is n genius" I meant to type I have read that Putin is no genius." I left out the o. I have corrected this. 

  3. When Trump flew to Saudi Arabia on Air Force One, he cut deals with the Saudis for himself and his family, and the media reported on these deals, as if they were foreign policy accomplishments, when they had nothing to do with US foreign policy, but everything to do with the enrichment of Trump.  This was blatant corruption — using the office of the Presidency to enrich himself.  But instead of reporting that, mainstream media cast it in dulcet tones, how Trump is "changing how Washington works" with a "new approach to foreign policy." So now these billionaires have literally taken control of US government foreign policy, leveraging it to make business deals, for themselves.  If this deal were to be put together, it would not benefit the US government or foreign policy, as much as it would the wealth of those involved.

    And just think how they all wailed about the imaginary $2 billion "The Biden Crime Family" supposedly got from China.  That's chump change compared to what the Trump mob is raking off the top.

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