Trump’s War on the Future

One of my Facebook friends posted this —

Yes, Trump wants to open this protected wilderness to oil drilling.  Canada is burning, but we need more oil. Meanwhile the Trump Administration is paying billions to abandon wind farm projects, because he hates wind farms.

I thought of this when I read Paul Krugman’s latest Substack column, Trump’s War on the Future, Monetary Edition. Krugman discusses a digital payment system initiated by the government of Brazil called Pix that is very popular among Brazilians. It works like Apple Pay or Google Pay, but Pix payments are official currency and not transfers from private accounts. It’s free to use, and it sounds like Pix payments that you can make from your phone are the same as cash. I can see why that would be very handy. So when do we get something like that here?

Oops, not anytime soon, because Trump doesn’t like it. Krugman writes that “the Trump administration will try to punish Brazil for this success. It will do so by imposing tariffs on Brazilian exports under Section 301 of the 1974 Trade Act, which permits such tariffs to counter ‘unfair trade practices.'”

This doesn’t sound like any of our business, frankly. If this is working for Brazilians, I’m happy for them. Krugman says that what should worry us is if the European Union established a similar system for euros. Goodbye supremacy of the U.S. dollar.

But let’s be clear: the reason people might switch to digital euros will be because the US won’t be offering an equally good means of payment. Why won’t there be a digital dollar? Not because it’s a bad idea — as Brazil has shown, it would be a very good idea. But there are powerful special interests that oppose any such move.

Last year Republicans in the House passed a bill that didn’t just forbid the creation of a U.S. central bank digital currency; it prohibited any study of the issue by the Federal Reserve. “Don’t even think about parking here creating a digital dollar.”

Proponents of this ban claimed to have concerns about how a central bank digital currency would work. But it’s obvious that their real concern is that it would work too well. Crypto interests, in particular, are very worried that consumers who had access to digital dollars would lose interest in stablecoins and other cryptocurrency products, because these products, being risky and awkward to use, would not be competitive with a system that simply lets people make electronic payments in dollars.

And, gee, who was it who took in about $1.2 billion from crypto businesses last year? Some guy. It’ll come to me, I’m sure. Oh, yeah …

Finally, the furious opposition to central bank digital currencies reminds me of the Trump administration’s all-out efforts to block development of wind and solar power. In both cases we see political players beholden to special interests — crypto when it comes to money, fossil fuels when it comes to energy — who claim to favor technological progress, but scream “not like that” when a superior technology doesn’t take the economy where they want it to go.

This reminds me also of Trump’s canceling of policies that encouraged people to buy EVs, like the tax credits for EV purchases and leases. Yes, let’s let China get way ahead of us in EV development. If this were 1903 I can see trump trying to kill off automobiles to protect the horse and buggy industry (which made a big contribution to his presidential “library”).

As Krugman writes, “The Trump Administration has declared war on the future.” Well, he’s declared war on a future that is hospitable to humans, anyway. The future he’s taking us too may not be.

5 thoughts on “Trump’s War on the Future

  1. Maybe I'm dense. An example to explain my simple-mindedness. On Friday, my employer direct deposited to my checking account just over $1000. On the same day, I made my house payment, which wiped out my balance. I can see taxes and withholding on my employer's website – no paper. I received my pay – no cash. I pay my bills almost entirely by computer, which means the digital balance in my account goes up and down, likewise with my employer and creditor(s). No actual money changes hands. How is this not a digital currency?

    The only thing I can see is that I CAN demand paper cash. It hasn't been abolished. I can pay with the green stuff, kinda. I could buy a Postal Money Order with cash and mail that paper to Rocket Mortgage. They'd never convert my payment to to green stuff. 

    If you want to put a serious crimp in crime, eliminate cash. Make all transactions digital and traceable. 

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    • The last thing the Uber-Con(job)-Con(vict) wing of the republican party wants is all transactions to be traceable.  

      Krugman's article had this priceless comment from Erik Bruun:

      This is just one of Trump's wars on the future.

      Borrowing hundreds of billions of dollars for future generation to repay, stripping environmental protections, trying to hold back the tide of ethnic diversity in the United States are also on the list.

      He is the fat, demented, criminal, racist Don Quixote of our time without the literary romance or love of humanity.

      Trump's only interests are here, now and him.

      How near perfect can a comment be?

       

    • I saw an interesting theory:  Melania is behind this. She's alarmed by Barron's admiration of the Tates, and so she put pressure on her husband to not interfere with their extradition.  She wants them put away so her son has no further contact with them.

      This is just an online theory, but it makes about as much sense as anything else in these crazy times.

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      • I've heard similar. I can't imagine how screwed up a kid like Barron must be. A couple psychics I follow said he's heading toward a lot of trouble – including prison – in a few years.

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