The Mahablog

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The Mahablog

Can the Dems Capitalize on the Texas Insurrection?

Following up the last post — at Popular Information, Judd Legum points to The Second Insurrection.

Texas is continuing to interfere with the federal government’s access to Shelby Park, in clear violation of the Constitution and federal law. On January 23, the Department of Homeland Security wrote a letter to Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), demanding “the ability to access the border in the Shelby Park area that is currently obstructed by Texas.” In a January 26 response, Paxton rejected the Department of Homeland Security’s request and informed the federal government that Texas will continue “to protect its southern border against every effort by the Biden Administration to undermine the State’s constitutional right of self-defense.” 

The conflict that Texas is creating with the federal government will almost certainly end up back at the Supreme Court. And Texas is inviting a constitutional crisis by signaling that it is prepared to ignore the Supreme Court if it does not get its way. 

Do read the whole thing; it’s very informative. But this does look more and more to me like another insurrection. The Meatballs for God convoy is scheduled to arrive at Eagle Pass on February 3, and then it’s all going to get a lot more dangerous. Depending on how many Meatballs there are, I really do think Biden should federalize the Guard to keep the peace and to keep the Meatballs from killing anybody.

At Politico, see Can Dems Flip the Border Script? I was thinking this yesterday also. The Republicans may be handing the Dems an issue on which Biden is vulnerable. The Dems need to be coordinated and assertive to capitalize on this.

For months now, polls have shown voters putting the migrant crisis at the southern border among their top concerns — and blaming Democrats for the mess.

Could that be about to change?

With bipartisan legislation hanging in the balance and the Homeland Security secretary on the verge of impeachment, Democrats are readying to play offense on border politics, for once. They are undertaking a campaign to upend public opinion in the coming weeks by casting Republicans as being more interested in theatrics than solutions.

They’ve got a lot of material to work with: Trump and his allies are pressuring Republicans to abandon any border deal the Senate might reach — with some openly admitting that they don’t want to hand Biden a win before November.

As top Senate negotiator JAMES LANKFORD (R-Okla.) put it yesterday on “Fox News Sunday,” after months of pushing for border security, “it’s interesting … when we’re finally getting to the end, [Republicans are] like, ‘Oh, just kidding, I actually don’t want a change in law because of presidential election year.’”

That’s just one of the sound bites that Democratic admakers have been collecting in recent weeks as an insurance policy of sorts if Republicans end up tanking the still-to-be-unveiled Senate border deal.

“There’s a real opportunity here, where Dems around the country can raise their hand and be like: ‘It turns out they were bluffing. They weren’t serious. It was a sound bite for them,’” one plugged-in Democratic campaign operative told Playbook last night. “They’ve been talking about it, highlighting it and freaking everyone out — then when there’s a bipartisan deal, with a lot of Dem compromises in it, they went running for the hills.”

Update: See also The Border Is Now Becoming a GOP Crisis.

Update: Greg Sargent, GOP Senator Reveals the Sick Truth About the Trump-MAGA Border Scam

In other news: Barbara Jones is a retired federal judge who was appointed by Judge Arthur Engoron to keep an eye on Trump’s New York assets during the fraud trial brought by NY AG Letitia James. Basically, she’s making sure Trump doesn’t try to transfer anything out of state to keep it out of the reach of the court.

On Friday Jones informed the court that the Trump financial information provided to her is a mess. It’s incomplete, inconsistent, riddled with errors. Among other things, a $48 million loan Trump has been claiming as a liability on his taxes apprently never existed. Tax evasion, anyone?

Today’s headline at Daily Beast: Trumps Throw Tantrum Over Court Monitor’s Financial Bombshell.

Now that the retired federal judge babysitting the Trump Organization has uncovered potential tax fraud at the company, the Trumps responded over the weekend by tasking their own accountant as a monitor that monitors the court monitor.

In an indignant court filing Monday morning, a lawyer for the Trumps for the first time launched an all-out attack on Judge Barbara S. Jones—calling her latest report on the family company an absolute lie, a cheap attempt to justify her government-mandated job, and a last-minute ploy to bolster the New York Attorney General’s bank fraud case that just wrapped up.

All they would have had to have done is cough up some records to verify that this $48 million loan was real. I take it they can’t.

AG James is asking for a $370 million fine. The decision could come as early as this week.

Stuff to Read: David French, When the Right Ignores Its Sex Scandals. No paywall.

Wackadoos with Guns Head to the Border

The situation at the Texas border is getting more bizarre, and more dangerous. Now there’s a bunch of wackadoos with guns heading for the border to “help.”

A trucker convoy of “patriots” is heading to the U.S. border with Mexico next week, as the standoff between Texas and the federal government intensifies.
The organizers of the “Take Our Border Back” convoy have called themselves “God’s army” and say they’re on a mission to stand up against the “globalists” who they claim are conspiring to keep U.S. borders open and destroy the country. 

“This is a biblical, monumental moment that’s been put together by God,” one convoy organizer said on a recent planning call. “We are besieged on all sides by dark forces of evil,” said another. “Blessed are the peacemakers, for they shall be called the sons of God. It is time for the remnant to rise.” (The remnant, from the Book of Revelation, are the ones who remain faithful to Jesus Christ in times of crisis).

Yeah, this is not good. On top of that, Texas is calling for “volunteers” to “defend” the border as well as National Guard from other states, and some states have sent Guard already. And they’re doing this in defiance of the Supreme Court and the federal Border Protection agents. I believe this really is as close to civil war as we’ve been since that little misunderstanding over Fort Sumter. See also Texas’ Border Stunt Is Based on the Same Legal Theory Confederate States Used to Secede.

The wingnuts want to see the Supreme Court overturn Arizona v. United States (2012), which you can read about here. As I understand it, the Court decided that states can’t enact their own laws regarding immigrants that conflict with federal laws. See also a good overview of the current mess at Vox and a timeline of the conflict so far at CNN.

I appreciate that President Biden is in a hard place here. How aggressive should he b here? He’s being told to federalize the Guard in order to neutralize them. There also are arguments (coming, I assume, from the Right) that he can’t federalize the Guard unless he can declare a national emergency. Seems to me Greg Abbott is creating a national emergency. Remember Hans von Spakovsky? I wrote about him back in 2007. Now Spakovsky is opining that President Biden doesn’t have the legal authority to federalize the Guard.  Current statutes require the president to seek the consent of a state governor to federalize the Guard, he says. But there are exceptions to that.

Under 10 U.S.C. § 252, the president can “call into Federal service the militia of any State” when “unlawful obstructions, combinations, or assemblages, or rebellion against the authority of the United States, make it impracticable to enforce the laws of the United States in any state by the ordinary course of judicial proceedings.”

Clearly, there is no insurrection going on in Texas as defined in that law. 

Nor is Texas violating any court order issued in “the ordinary court of judicial proceedings.” The state has been placing barbed-wire fencing on state-owned and private property, and no court has ordered Texas to remove or cease installing that fencing.

Didn’t the Supreme Court say otherwise? SCOTUS last week vacated an injunction that barred the feds from removing the razor wire Texas has installed in the Rio Grand. But the feds are still not being allowed access to the razor wire, which seems to me to defy the SCOTUS. And what Abbott is doing seems to me to fit the definition of “unlawful obstructions, combinations, or assemblages, or rebellion against the authority of the United States, mak[ing] it impracticable to enforce the laws of the United States in any state by the ordinary course of judicial proceedings.”

President Eisenhower federalized the Arkansas Guard ito prevent Gov. Orval Faubus from using them to stop nine Black students from attending Little Rock High School in 1957, and he also deployed the 101st Airborne to Little Rock. In 1963 President Kennedy federalized the Alabama Guard to enable the integration of the University of Alabama. If that was legal, surely Biden’s federalizing the Texas and whatever else Guard is in Texas is also legal. Biden could order them to allow the feds to have access to the entire border and also keep the peace when the Meatballs for God show up in their trucks.

In what might prove to be a brilliant move to turn the tables — or not — President Biden is offering to shut down the border if Congress passes a bill currently in the Senate.

President Joe Biden urged Congress on Friday to pass a bipartisan bill that he argued would address an escalating immigration crisis, vowing to “shut down the border when it becomes overwhelmed.”

“What’s been negotiated would – if passed into law – be the toughest and fairest set of reforms to secure the border we’ve ever had in our country,” Biden wrote in a statement. “It would give me, as President, a new emergency authority to shut down the border when it becomes overwhelmed. And if given that authority, I would use it the day I sign the bill into law.” …

… The agreement would give the Department of Homeland Security the authority to expel undocumented migrants if the number of daily border encounters passes 4,000. That authority would become mandatory if the daily number surpasses 5,000 over the course of a week. 

Biden’s statement also called for more funding for “an additional 1,300 border patrol agents, 375 immigration judges, 1,600 asylum officers, and over 100 cutting-edge inspection machines to help detect and stop fentanyl at our southwest border.”

“For everyone who is demanding tougher border control, this is the way to do it,” Biden wrote. “If you’re serious about the border crisis, pass a bipartisan bill, and I will sign it.”

But Trump doesn’t want to make a deal, because he wants the border to remain an issue for the general election. So he’s ordered Republicans in Congress to not make the deal.

Republican front-runner Donald Trump said he wants to be held responsible for blocking a bipartisan border security bill in the works in the Senate as President Biden seeks emergency authority to rein in a record surge of unauthorized border crossings.

“As the leader of our party, there is zero chance I will support this horrible open borders betrayal of America,” Trump told a rowdy crowd of supporters at a rally in Las Vegas on Saturday, ahead of the state’s presidential caucus on Feb. 8. “I’ll fight it all the way. A lot of the senators are trying to say, respectfully, they’re blaming it on me. I say, that’s okay. Please blame it on me. Please.”

Um, okay. Works for me.

Trump’s opposition follows Biden’s statement on Friday praising the deal and pledging to use its new authorities to “shut down the border when it becomes overwhelmed” — a striking shift as he signaled openness to asylum restrictions and other enforcement measures that were previously unacceptable to Democrats.

Trump’s remarks are being thrown back at him by the White House.

“Donald Trump demonstrated tonight he’s campaigning against solutions for the American people, and is actively rooting against America,” campaign spokesman Ammar Moussa said after his speech. “President Biden is the only candidate focused on governing and addressing the issues the American people demand action on.”

So we’ll see how this goes. But now every Democrat in the Western Hemisphere needs to be pointing out that Biden offered to close the border and Trump opposed it.

The Verdict: $83 Million

So will he learn to shut up now? The jury took less than three hours to deliberate. I want to know if the three hours included lunch Just curious.

Nicole Lafond at Talking Points Memo:

After deliberating for less than three hours, the jury in the E. Jean Carroll civil trial against Donald Trump has determined that the former president must pay the writer $83.3 million in damages for defaming her in 2019 when she came forward accusing him of sexually assaulting her in the 1990s. 

Broken down, the jury determined Trump must pay $11 million in compensatory damages for a reputation repair program, $7.3 million in compensatory damages outside of the reputation program and $65 million in punitive damages. …

… The $83.3 million is in addition to the $5 million in damages a separate Manhattan jury awarded Carroll in May 2023 when the jury found Trump liable for sexually abusing and defaming Carroll —  $2 million in damages for her civil battery claim and nearly $3 million for successfully proving her defamation claim against the former president. Today’s damages verdict is related to a separate lawsuit the writer filed against Trump for defaming her in 2019.

Trump is pissed. More to come.

Update: I’m learning that in order to file an appeal, Trump has to come up with the money to pay the penalty. From the New York Times —

Mr. Trump can pay the $83.3 million to the court, which will hold the money while the appeal is pending. This is what he did last year when a jury ordered him to pay Ms. Carroll $5.5 million in a related case.

Or, Mr. Trump can try to secure a bond, which will save him from having to pay the full amount up front.

A bond might require him to pay a deposit and offer collateral, and would come with interest and fees. It would also require Mr. Trump to find a financial institution willing to lend him a large sum of money at a time when he is in significant legal jeopardy.

So this is going to hurt him now. It’ll be fun to see what he does. On MSNBC somebody pointed out that Trump Tower was appraised at just about $83 million.

 

Trump Is Terrified Out of His Wits

After his New Hampshire win, which was a solid win but not quite as big a win as polls projected, Trump’s “victory speech” was mostly a temper tantrum aimed at Nikki Haley. Haley had spoken first and had delivered a pretty good “we really won by coming in second” address, which is practically traditional after New Hampshire primaries. But where a traditional politician who had actually won would have delivered something rousing to his audience, Trump spat venom at Haley. Steve Benen, who also noted the irony —

Reflecting on his reaction to the former ambassador’s remarks, Trump told supporters, “I said, wow, she’s doing a speech like she won. She didn’t win. She lost. Let’s not have somebody take a victory when she had a very bad night. She had a very bad night.

It was quite a speech. During relatively brief remarks, the likely GOP nominee not only slammed Haley for appearing pleased about the primary results, he also referenced unnamed Haley scandals that “she doesn’t want to talk about” and even took aim at her attire.

“You can’t let people get away with bull—-,” Trump added. “And when I watched her in the fancy dress that probably wasn’t so fancy, I said, ‘What’s she doing? We won.’”

The former president concluded, “I don’t get too angry, I get even.”

On his social media platform, he was every bit as agitated, condemning Haley as “DELUSIONAL!!!” for sticking around after losing. He added, “Could somebody please explain to Nikki Haley that she lost — and lost really badly.”

For good measure the former president wrote, “NIKKI CAME IN LAST, NOT SECOND!”

Like the man said — oh, the irony. Note that polls had put him up by 20 points, and instead the margn of victory was about 11 points. Most politicians would have accepted the victory without having an emotional meltdown, though.

Today CNBC is reporting that Trump let it be known he will “blacklist” all Haley campaign donors. He wrote on “Truth Social,”

When I ran for Office and won, I noticed that the losing Candidate’s “Donors” would immediately come to me, and want to “help out.” This is standard in Politics, but no longer with me. Anybody that makes a “Contribution” to Birdbrain, from this moment forth, will be permanently barred from the MAGA camp. We don’t want them, and will not accept them, because we Put America First, and ALWAYS WILL!

Somehow I think he will still take the big checks, but whatever. And then he turned on Kayleigh McEnany because she very mildly and obsequiously suggested that he needs to pay attention to the Republicans and independents who didn’t vote for him before the general election. Huffpost:

McEnany, now a Fox News host, had offered Trump some compliment-laden advice during the network’s primary analysis. She suggested he should think ahead to the general election and recognize that there is a segment of Republican and independent voters that he has not captured.

“President Trump, I would go home tonight, I’d go to my victory party, I would celebrate, I’ve made history yet again. But then I’d go home and I’d look under the hood,” she said.

Trump threw a fit.

“I don’t need any advice from RINO Kayleigh McEnany on Fox,” Trump wrote in a post on his Truth Social platform late on Tuesday, using an acronym for “Republican in name only.”

“Just had a GIANT VICTORY over a badly failing candidate, ‘Birdbrain,’ and she’s telling me what I can do better. Save your advice for Nikki!” he added.

I’m looking at this behavior and seeing an outraged, and terrified, six-year-old. Trump doesn’t seem to know how to hide his feelings. Most people his age — indeed, a third his age — have learned how to smile their way through a rough patch when it’s called for. Trump has always gotten his way by being the biggest asshole in the room, and that’s all he knows. And his behavior tells me he’s scared out of his wits. I’d love to know what his blood pressure has been up to lately.

I’m even reading that Trump’s rallies are getting tired and monotonous. People who waited on line in freezing temperatures to be there are walking out early. His groupies aren’t going to leave him for not updating his act, I don’t think. But he’s not going to bring anybody on board who wasn’t there already. See also Josh Marshall, Swagger and Menace: The Story of Mr. 50%. And see also Chris Hayes —

There’s also a new Biden campaign ad featuring Trump gaffes, which seem to be happening more frequently. More indication of mental/emotional deterioration, I say.

The E. Jean Carroll trial resumed today, and Trump is in the courthouse. Carroll’s lawyers have rested their case, so now it’s the defense turn. There is talk of Trump testifying, but that hasn’t been decided.

Update: Trump took the stand very briefly. This is from the New York Times —

A lawyer for Mr. Trump, Alina Habba, asked the former president whether he stood by his remarks, in which he called Ms. Carroll a liar.

“100 percent, yes,” Mr. Trump said. “She said something I considered a false accusation.”

The judge struck that statement, and Ms. Habba asked Mr. Trump whether he intended to hurt Ms. Carroll. He said no. “I just wanted to defend myself, my family and, frankly, the presidency,” Mr. Trump added.

The defense quickly rested.

The sole issue facing the nine-member civil jury is how much money, if any, Mr. Trump must pay Ms. Carroll in damages for defaming her in June 2019 after she first publicly accused him, in a book excerpt in New York Magazine, of attacking her. She has already won a civil verdict over her assault claim.

The cross-examination was similarly brief: Ms. Carroll’s lawyer, Roberta Kaplan, asked only a couple of questions. She asked if this was the first trial he had attended where Ms. Carroll was the plaintiff. He said yes. She then asked if he listened to the advice of counsel at the last trial, prompting an objection from the defense.

Mr. Trump’s testimony came only after the judge in the case, Lewis A. Kaplan, quizzed Ms. Habba on what he would say — an effort to ensure he did not stray beyond the scope of the case at hand. Mr. Trump appeared upset with the limitations; at one point before the jury entered the courtroom, he raised his hands and said, “I never met the woman. I don’t know who the woman is.”

The former president appeared calm during his brief testimony, but after Judge Kaplan dismissed the jury, he loudly complained, “This is not America.”

Also, too: I guess lots of people beside Nikki Haley are confused about the cause of the Civil War. Some of these people don’t seem to have heard of the Civil War.

Update: Peter Navarro sentenced to four months.

Well, Now We’re Past New Hampshire

I’ve been waiting to see if anything interesting might happen in New Hampshire, but it doesn’t seem Haley is making it close enough to be interesting, and Trump is projected the winner just 16 minutes after the polls close. Haley is speaking now and is saying  I’m not losing as much as they said I would, so I am staying in the race. We’ll see. She’s an empty suit if there ever was one, but it would have been nice if Trump’s march to his coronation had hit a speed bump.

Meanwhile, here’s some good news — No Labels Sued by New York Donors Claiming ‘Bait and Switch’ by Maggie Haberman at the New York Times (no paywall).

Two members of the powerful Durst real estate family in New York have sued the centrist group No Labels, accusing it of pulling a “bait and switch” by seeking donations for a bipartisan governing group and then moving to fund a third-party presidential candidacy.

The breach of contract and “unjust enrichment” suit was filed in New York State Supreme Court on Tuesday by the chairman and president of the Durst Organization, Douglas and Jonathan Durst, who are cousins. It seeks damages and reimbursements after the Dursts donated $145,000 years ago, when No Labels was founded on the promise of finding governing solutions.

No Labels has been getting ballot access on behalf of a third party presidential ticket yet to be named. I keep hearing that Joe Lieberman is behind this. Once a weasel, always a weasel. Maybe this lawsuit will slow them down.

See also The New Republic, New Transcript Blows Up James Comer’s Entire Hunter Biden Argument. Comer has had so much blow up in his face it’s a wonder he still has a head.

Greg Sargent is now writing for The New Republic. Here he shreds Elise Stefanik. Enjoy.

How Late-Stage Capitalism Eats Itself

Here’s something completely different — the parent company has laid off the entire staff, or most of it, of Sports Illustrated, apparently.  SI is the most widely read sports publication in the U.S., with an average audience of 40.86 million, and it’s about to go under. The cause seems to be massive incompetence on the part of the publisher. See Greed Killed Sports Illustrated at New York Magazine.

The publisher is a company that bought the magazine in 2019 and, as they say, ran it into the ground. For example:

In February, management laid off the magazine’s sports editors, one employee told me. “Genuinely, everyone looked around at each other and said, ‘What do we do when one of the NBA writers files something when the editor was just fired?’ And that repeated over and over, in every sport. Like, you guys, I don’t know if you’ve read the title of our publication.” 

It’s certainly possible SI could be resurrected, but not without a staff. But this is an old, sad story. I saw variations of it when I was in publishing. What essentially happens is that the people who occupy the big offices and make the big decisions that impact how the work gets done are nearly always people with backgrounds in finance or marketing but no hands-on experience making the product. And they make stupid decisions that hobble productivity. The problems caused are not necessarily bad enough to sink the company, but it does hold the company back. And nearly always everybody who has worked for very long in the production, editorial, and manufacturing departments could tell you how workflow and cost efficiency could be improved, but the Big Shots don’t listen. From time to time they’d hire consultants who’d swoop around for a day or two and then make more stupid decisions that had to be undone eventually because deadlines were being missed. I saw it over and over again in the industry.

Boeing has been back in the news lately, and that’s another example. I wrote back in 2019,

Basically, the 737 Max is the plane built by MBAs and financial experts instead of engineers; the fruit of popular business theory. The flaws are bigger than just glitchy software. The creation of the plane from inception to crash was marked by corner-cutting and disregard for engineering and production skill.

For more, do see Will Bunch at the Philadelphia Inquirer. I had not realized that the Great Honking Idiot Elon Musk had publicly blamed the Boeing door plug incident on diversity hiring. Musk hasn’t noticed what a joke he is now, I take it. Will Bunch:

But then, you don’t need to be some kind of corporate Sherlock Holmes to sleuth out the real culprit at Boeing: the surrender of an engineering-driven, safety-oriented culture to one dominated by cost-cutting and a quarterly profit mentality aimed at boosting shareholder value above all else. Since the dawn of the 21st century, Boeing has been led by protégées and acolytes of the legendary and also notorious late GE boss Jack Welch, who pioneered the managerial philosophy of steering dollars toward investors and away from other stakeholders — including customers like the hapless souls who clung to their dear lives aboard Flight 1282.

The 346 people killed aboard Lion Air Flight 610 and Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 were not so lucky. Despite Boeing’s initial attempt to blame the pilots, it soon became clear that an engineering flaw led to the twin crashes, and that shoddy practices and a penny-wise and pound-foolish decision to redesign its old 737s, instead of spending the $20 billion on designing a new class of jetliners from scratch, was largely to blame. And yet Boeing seems to have learned little from that fiasco.

After the Alaska Airlines door plug landed in an Oregon family’s backyard earlier this month, the Lever reported that the subcontractor that made the faulty part and had been spun off from Boeing, Spirit AeroSystems, is facing a federal lawsuit from former employees. They charge that cost-cutting, including major layoffs in 2020, triggered production problems, yet executives ignored their warnings of “an excessive amount of defects.”

Simply put, it wasn’t “a Black guy” — or a slew of Black guys, or women, or any other nonwhite hires — behind the new wave of airline safety concerns. It was the shortsightedness of late-stage capitalism.

Do read the whole article. And speaking of diversity programs, do read ‘America Is Under Attack’: Inside the Anti-D.E.I. Crusade by Nicholas Confessore at the New York Times. And then read Inside the Heritage Foundation’s Plans for ‘Institutionalizing Trumpism’ by (no paywalls).

Update: Rhonda Santis dropped out of the race, ABC says.

Texas and the Second Nullification Crisis

Texans are fantacizing that Biden is about to wage war on Texas. Someone produced an audio clip purported to be the President caught on a “hot mic” saying “We’re going to make sure those cowboys don’t stop the surge of military-aged men from entering. If we have to send F-15s to Texas there and wage war against Texas, so be it.” This was, of course, fake. But it went viral anyway. Other rumors about Biden punishing Texas are flying fast.

This is about Texas taking over control of part of the border with Mexico and not allowing federal Border Patrol access to it. Greg Abbott should be happy that nice-guy President Joe Biden is in the White House now, and not Andrew Jackson. When South Carolina threatened to nullify a tariff it didn’t like, President Jackson considered it treason. “Tell … the Nullifiers from me that they can talk and write resolutions and print threats to their hearts’ content,” Jackson said. “But if one drop of blood be shed there in defiance of the Laws of the United States I will hang the first man of them I can get my hands on to the first tree I can find.”

South Carolina met in convention and voted to not collect the tariff. The state passed an Ordinance of Nullification that prohibited the collection of federal tariffs at South Carolina ports, to go into effect on February 1, 1833. The state also authorized raising an army and appropriated money to do so. Jackson let it be known he would have 50,000 troops ready to march on South Carolina in a little over a month. At the same time, he also asked Congress to lower the tariff a bit more to avoid violence.

Congress began to debate a modified tariff, but it also passed a Force Bill that authorized Jackson to do whatever it took to collect tariffs. Jackson let it be known he could have 200,000 troops in South Carolina by February 1. South Carolina appealed to neighbor states for support, but got no help. In the end Congress did modify the tariff, and South Carolina stopped the nullification before it went into effect.

Andrew Jackson did some dispicable things in his life, but one imagines that another president — I’m thinking Franklin Pierce or James Buchanan — would have flapped about helplessly and allowed South Carolina to nullify federal law. And by now the nation would have crumbled to pieces. But let’s get back to present-day Texas.

The latest:

The Biden administration has given Texas until the end of Wednesday to stop blocking the US Border Patrol’s access to 2.5 miles along the US-Mexico border that includes the area where a woman and two children drowned after state authorities last week barred federal agents from the zone, according to a Department of Homeland Security letter Sunday exclusively obtained by CNN.

The letter to Texas’ Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton says the state’s actions “have impeded operations” and are unconstitutional, and it cites the deaths – among the latest in the ongoing migrant crisis – near a city park abutting the Rio Grande in Eagle Pass where state authorities have erected fencing and kept out federal agents.

“Wednesday” was this past Wednesday, January 17. Texas did not comply. As I understand it, Abbott is using Texas National Guard as well as law enforcement officers in this mess.

CNN today:

Texas authorities arrested migrants at Shelby Park in Eagle Pass, Texas, late Wednesday evening and charged them with criminal trespassing, marking the first arrests of migrants since the state took control of the area at the US-Mexico border last week, an official said.

Mark Joseph Stern at Slate:

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott is inciting a conflict between Border Patrol and the state’s National Guard that is inching closer and closer toward a violent clash between armed agents of state and federal law enforcement. The governor, as commander in chief of the Texas Guard, has directed his soldiers to block Border Patrol’s access to migrants, physically preventing federal officers from performing the duties assigned to them by Congress and the president. Abbott has received key assistance from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit, which cleared the way for him to obstruct federal border enforcement.

Tensions on the ground are escalating by the hour, as the Texas Guard—emboldened by the 5th Circuit—is wiring off an ever-greater portion of the border. The Guard is refusing entry to all federal law enforcement and to active duty service members. Even in an emergency, like the potential drowning of a migrant, the Texas Guard will not let federal officers or service members through to the border. If the Supreme Court does not reverse the 5th Circuit very soon, there is a real possibility that Abbott’s partisan stunt will spiral into open battle between the state and federal governments.

The current dispute is yet another consequence of Operation Lone Star, Abbott’s cynical effort to usurp authority over immigration from the Biden administration. It’s also symptomatic of the failure of our judiciary and the Supreme Court’s inability, or lack of desire, to check radical Trump-placed judges below it that issue far-right rulings with devastating consequences for democracy and human rights. The multibillion-dollar “operation” in question here directs Texas Guardsmen and state troopers to police the southern border and arrest migrants who cross over without authorization. It has utterly failed to reduce unlawful border crossings, though it has produced egregious acts of cruelty toward migrants; guardsmen have tried to drown these individuals, deprived them of water, and left them to suffer heat exhaustion in the tangle of razor wire set up by the state.

Unlike Andrew Jackson, President Biden can’t count on help from Congress. The Senate has been working on a bill to provide funding for more border security as well as for Ukraine and Israel. This bill has bipartisan support. But of course the wackadoos in the House are already against it. They’ve all talked to “the President,” by which they mean Donald Trump. Trump doesn’t want them to pass a border bill that might make Joe Biden look good.

Trump has recently told confidants in influential conservative media and political circles that “stupid” Republicans, particularly “RINOs” in the Senate, seem eager to hand Biden a win as he’s sunk in 2024 polls, and that GOP lawmakers shouldn’t be doing Biden any favors right now, a source familiar with the matter and another person briefed on it tell Rolling Stone. In essence, Republicans are concerned that approving a border deal could potentially benefit Biden in an election year when he’s expected to face off against an ascendant Trump.

Late Wednesday night, Trump wrote on Truth Social that Republicans should reject a border deal “unless we get EVERYTHING needed to shut down the INVASION of Millions & Millions of people, many from parts unknown, into our once great, but soon to be great again, Country!” 

Some Republican politicians are echoing Trump’s sentiment that the party shouldn’t be doing anything to benefit Biden, all but openly saying that a bipartisan deal for harsher asylum and border restrictions is a bad idea because it would deliver a vulnerable president a political victory. 

Earlier this month, Rep. Troy Nehls (R-Texas) told CNN that he’s “not willing to do too damn much right now to help a Democrat and to help Joe Biden’s approval rating. …I will not help the Democrats try to improve this man’s dismal approval ratings. I’m not going to do it. Why would I?” Nehls also shouted “Trump 2024, baby!” when asked last month what he hoped to gain from impeaching President Joe Biden, in a video obtained by Rolling Stone last month. 

Senate Republicans have been trying to tell the House Republicans that even if Donald Trump gets back into the White House, they won’t get everything they want.

“To those who think that if President Trump wins, which I hope he does, that we can get a better deal — you won’t,” Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., told reporters Wednesday. “You got to get 60 votes in the United States Senate.” 

“To my Republican friends: To get this kind of border security without granting a pathway to citizenship is really unheard of. So if you think you’re going to get a better deal next time, in ’25, if President Trump’s president, Democrats will be expecting a pathway to citizenship for that,” he said. “So to my Republican colleagues, this is a historic moment to reform the border.”

Miz Lindsey: You might as well teach physics to a duck. I’m not sure Johnson-Greene-the rest of them have more than two brain cells to rub together. And here we are.

 

Trump’s Courtroom Stragegy

Commentary on Trump’s juvenile performance at the E. Jean Carroll trial yesterday has mostly focused on how much it’s going to cost him in damanges. But as Emptywheel points out, this performance was planned. He wasn’t behaving like a spoiled brat because he lacks self-control. It was part of a pre-arranged strategy. One suspects it is a colossaly stupid strategy, but it’s a strategy nonetheless.

Clue: On Monday Trump’s fast-talking lawyer Joe Tacopina abruptly withdrew from this case and from the the criminal “hush money” trial. Tacopina has not said why he did this. I suspected that Trump was demanding he do something in court that would shred the rest of his legal career. That appears to be the case.

Clue: Emptywheel noticed that “Truth Social” posts in Trump’s name were being posted while he was sitting in the courtroom. Without his phone. These were either pre-written and scheduled to post during the trial, or someone on his staff was authorized to write and post them. The “truths” all defamed Carroll some more and griped about Judge Kaplan.

One assumes that Trump thinks this is helping him in his presidential campaign, to persuade his groupies that he is being unfairly prosecuted/persecuted. They were alread persuaded, I suspect, but Trump thinks he needs to keep this scam going. He’s clearly not viewing his legal problems as legal problems but as campaign opportunities. He’s already burned any hope of being treated leniently in the E. Jean Carroll case.

With Tacopina gone, Trump was represented by the hopelessly bumbling Alina Habba. The judge rebuked her fourteen times yesterday. See also Alina Habba’s 5 Worst Horror Show Moments in Court. Some of this bumbling may be incompetence, but I’m betting some of it is her just following Trump’s orders. See, for example, Did Alina Habba Pay Attention in Law School? at The New Republic.

On Thursday, Habba got into another kerfuffle with Kaplan when she flubbed a line of questioning against Carroll, asking the columnist if she “makes a good amount of money” from her Substack.

“What’s ‘a good amount of money?’” interjected Kaplan, stopping Habba. “This is Evidence 101.”

The outburst is the result of days of questioning by Habba that has at times been redundant, unfounded, or inappropriate, leading to countless objections by Carroll’s legal team and interruptions by Judge Kaplan himself.

In another exchange on Thursday, Kaplan blew past a line of questioning pushed by Habba over Carroll’s Substack subscriber count.

“That was definitely asked yesterday,” Kaplan said.

“Number of subscribers?” Habba insisted.

“Eighteen hundred. Move on,” Kaplan retorted.

So while she may also be incompetent, I suspect she is following Trump’s orders to paint Carroll as an opportunist who is benefiting from the trial somehow. Only Trump is allowed to benefit from trials. And Tacopina resigned from the case rather than make a public fool of himself.

In other news: The most genuinely alarming thing yesterday was that the Supreme Court is getting ready to kneecap the ability of executive branch agencies to set and enforce regulatory policies. Federalist Society dollars at work, folks.

See also: WTF? Or, The Latest on Fani Willis. I don’t want to spend time on the Fani Willis allegations until there is someting resembling fact-based evidence.

Republicans: The Party of Magical Thinking

While we’re waiting to see if anything interesting happens in Iowa tonight, I want to call your attention to something Josh Marshall wrote today.

Keep an eye on how the national press covers this. The White House, as you know, has been under immense pressure to offer concessions to address the continuing large number of migrants coming to the U.S.-Mexico border. Now there’s a bipartisan compromise bill in the Senate. Last night Majority Leader Steve Scalise said that bill is DOA in the House. But Speaker Johnson said something more specific and revealing. He refused to bring up the bill and according to Jake Sherman of Punchbowl said “Congress can’t solve border until Trump is elected or a republican is back in the White House.”

Two things to note here. First, Johnson isn’t saying they won’t consider this bill. He’s saying they won’t consider any bill until Trump is elected. Sherman  appears to have accepted the GOP wording — that “Congress can’t solve [the] border until Trump is elected.” But there’s more here. Johnson is saying openly that they won’t pass any bill until Trump is elected. In other words, however out of control they claim the border is they want to keep it that way through November to use it as a political issue. There’s a bipartisan deal but House Republicans are rejecting it out of hand. That’s not terribly surprising. But your political opponents seldom state it so openly. It’s an opening for the White House. Let’s see if they take it.

I’ve been saying for some time that if Republicans don’t like what’s happening at the border, there is absolutely nothing that’s stopping Republicans in Congress  from writing whatever laws and appropriating whatever money needed to create a better system for border security. I suspect if the plan isn’t too crazy a lot of Democrats would sign on. But nope. The House Republican plan is to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas. Yeah, that’ll fix it.

It appears a faction of House Republicans (and we know who they are) sincerely believe it is their duty to be sure the government doens’t do a dadblamed thing that requires negotiating with Democrats. Which means Congress is frozen. A tiny House majority by itself cannot pass anything. They are already grumbling about dumping Mike Johnson, I understand. See also Why The World Is Betting Against American Democracy at Politico.

What Happens to Women When the State Decides

Here’s a headline for our sick times.

The Supreme Court is hearing a challenge to a federal law, the Emergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor Act, or EMTALA. This is the act passed in 1986 that requires hospitals that accept Medicare to screen and at least stabilize all emergency patients regardless of ability to pay. They can’t just ship uninsured people in unstable condition off to another hospital, in other words. The people who receive the treatment still get billed for it, but at least treatment is not denied.

“After Roe v. Wade was overruled in 2022, the Biden administration issued guidance clarifying that if a pregnant patient arrives at a hospital with an emergency condition that could only be stabilized with an abortion, the hospital is required to provide that care — regardless of state law,” Rolling Stone reports. But Idaho is challenging this, arguing that states — not the federal government or, heaven forbid, doctors — should decide what emergency treatment women are entitled to receive. The Idaho abortion ban does (in theory) allow for an abortion to save a woman’s life, but as with Texas the language is vague enough to leave doctors guessing as to how close to death a woman has to get before she can have an abortion. If they guess wrong as far as the state is concerned, doctors can face criminal charges, the end of their careers, and prision time.

A bunch of lower courts sided with the feds over Idaho, but on January 5 the Supreme Court lifted the lower court injunction, reinstating the ban until some vague future time when they hear arguments and issue a ruling, in which we assume the majority will still side with Idaho.

No rush, there, justices. It’s not like women are dying or anything. Oh, wait …  See also.

Earlier this week Dahlia Lithwick and Mark Joseph Stern wrote a piece for Slate headlined Republican Officials Openly Insult Women Nearly Killed by Abortion Bans. It begins,

For many years before S.B. 8 passed in Texas and was then swept into existence by the Supreme Court, and before Dobbs ushered in a more formal regime of forced childbirth six months later, the groups leading the charge against reproductive rights liked to claim that they loved pregnant women and only wanted them to be safe and cozy, stuffed chock-full of good advice and carted around through extra-wide hallways for safe, sterile procedures in operating rooms with only the best HVAC systems. Then Dobbs came down and within minutes it became manifestly clear that these advocates actually viewed pregnant people as the problem standing in the way of imaginary, healthy babies—and that states willing to privilege fetal life would go to any and all lengths to ensure that actual patients’ care, comfort, informed consent, and very survival would be subordinate.

As you probably know, one of the ways states were shutting down abortion clinics before Dobbs was to enact absurd “health and safety” building requirements for abortion clinics and only abortion clinics. Lithwick and Stern continue,

A recent filing by the office of Tennessee Attorney General Jonathan T. Skrmetti, a Republican, captures the dynamic all too well. Skrmetti has been fighting a lawsuit filed by a group of Tennessee women denied emergency abortions under the ultranarrow medical exception to that state’s ban. The women plaintiffs suffered an appalling range of trauma, including sepsis and hemorrhaging, because they could not terminate their pregnancies. The attorney general’s response to their complaint is a scathing, shockingly personal broadside against the victims of the ban. He accused them of attempting to draw “lines about which unborn lives are worth protecting” by imposing a medical exception “of their own liking.” He mocked them for asserting that ostensibly minor conditions like “sickle cell disease” might justify an abortion. And he insisted that the lead plaintiff, Nicole Blackmon, lacks standing, because she underwent sterilization after the state forced her to carry a nonviable pregnancy and deliver a stillborn baby. The attorney general viciously suggested that, if Blackmon really wanted to fight Tennessee’s ban, she could have tried for another doomed pregnancy.

Abortion bans are beloved by misogynists. The bans allow women-haters to pretend they ocupy a moral high ground as they abuse and belittle women on a grand scale. This is why there is no reasoning with, or compromising with, them. They will not rest until all abortions are banned, and if women suffer and die they don’t care. As Sarah Jones wrote in New York magazine, “Abortion bans aren’t meant to save lives but to empower the lawmakers who write them. They envision a world with themselves at the top, passing judgment on all those beneath them. A person is disposable because someone in power decides they are such.”

Back to Lithwick and Stern:

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and his staff have evinced similar hostility toward plaintiffs in the Lone Star State who brought a nearly identical suit. The lead plaintiff in that case, Amanda Zurawski, was denied an abortion for three agonizing days after her water broke in the second trimester, leading her to develop sepsis; she nearly died in the ICU, and may never be able to get pregnant again. Paxton’s response? Because she might now be infertile—as a direct result of Texas law— Zurawski lacks standing to sue. When the case went to trial, Texas’ lawyers asked profoundly insulting questions of the plaintiffs. “Did Attorney General Ken Paxton tell you you couldn’t get an abortion?” they pressed each woman after pressing them for invasive details about their failed pregnancies. One plaintiff vomited on the stand after recounting her horror story.

These arguments are echoed by red-state attorneys general around the country, like Idaho’s Raúl Labrador, who proclaimed that women forced to carry dangerous, nonviable pregnancies merely “disagree with the legitimate policy choices made by the Idaho legislature.” (Should an Idaho resident suffering excruciating pain from a failing pregnancy drive to the statehouse rather than the emergency room? Labrador seems to think so.) Critically, these lawyers and politicians and activists are gaslighting their real victims. During a hearing over Zurawski’s case at the Texas Supreme Court, Beth Klusmann of the Texas attorney general’s office shifted the blame onto doctors: “If a woman is bleeding,” Klusmann said, “if she has amniotic fluid running down her legs—then the problem is not with the law. It is with the doctors.”

Elements of the abortion criminalization movement for years have claimed there is no actual medical reason ever to get an abortion, and I take it a lot of politicians are refusing to let go of this myth. And that’s because their contempt for women cannot be satiated if they have to show them some consideration and compassion.

Do read all of the Lithwick and Stern piece. Slate usually lets you read a few things for free before they put up the paywall, and if you hit the paywall open it in a private or incognito window. I don’t subscribe and I could read it. This is a powerfully written statement of the box these women-hating politicians have put women into. Women are nothing but incubators to them. The concludion:

If you have opted to move through the political landscape under the view that flawed persons are disposable and potential persons are flawless, the benefit of the doubt will always be afforded to the unblemished, someday rosy-cheeked soul that resides inside of the actual living human with the actual uterus. Indeed, the very instant that the hypothetical perfect babe becomes a real-life, in-the-world girl, a future pregnant woman is also birthed, and she will begin a long journey toward putative moral decay: potential miscarriage, poverty, health challenges, and other ostensible infirmities that will make her too flawed to be trusted to make judgments about her own future pregnancy. The tie will always go to the fetus, perfect in its secret unknown-ness. The mother will never be able to show that she wanted the pregnancy enough, took good enough care, made every correct predictive decision. And as such, the state will happily dismiss her interests as not only irrelevant, but self-serving, greedy, and dishonest. That it’s being said aloud in courtrooms, in pleadings, and in affidavits should not surprise anyone.

The pregnant woman has always been the fallen and the damned. Now, according to red states, it’s acceptable—necessary, even—to ensure that she knows this, from the very moment of conception until the moment she loses the power to make any choices about how she gives birth. Even if she dies, she was forever that which stood in the way of flawless, purest life.

And the Sarah Jones piece at New York magazine is worth reading also, although you have to be more persistent to get through the New York paywall sometimes. This looks at a Texas woman, Yeniifer Alvarez-Estrada Glick, who was murdered by the state of Texas. She suffered from serious health complications through most of her life that went untreated because Texas is one of the worst states in the nation about paying for health care for the poor. Texas still has, as it has had for many years, the highest rate of uninsured people in the nation. When Glick became pregnant her body simply couldn’t sustain the pregnancy. She sought medical help several times, and the Texas health care system pretty much just ignored her, until the day she died before the paramedics could revive her. Doctors reviewing her records have said that if she had received an abortion when she first presented with a clearly disasterous pregnancy, she probably would be alive now. Sarah Jones concludes,

Women, having sinned, cannot be sinned against. Perhaps they got pregnant when they shouldn’t have, or did something to make a pregnancy go south. Maybe Alvarez should’ve worked harder, and pulled herself out of poverty with nothing but personal grit at her disposal. The fault is hers, and hers alone, to these lawmakers. A fetus, though, has yet to fail and thus deserves salvation.

This makes for cruel policy. When it is put into practice, both woman and fetus can die. Alvarez is buried with her daughter Selene, who was delivered by emergency C-section but did not survive her mother’s demise. Abortion bans aren’t meant to save lives but to empower the lawmakers who write them. They envision a world with themselves at the top, passing judgment on all those beneath them. A person is disposable because someone in power decides they are such. Alvarez’s death was preventable, but in its own way, inevitable. There will be more like her as long as conservatives get their way.

I’ve been saying for years (see this post I wrote in 2006, for example) that the difference between the so-called “pro-life” and “pro-choice” opinions isn’t whether one perceives a fetus as a human being, but whether one perceives a woman as a human being.