Primaries

Sorry I’ve been scarce. Today is a primary and special election day, so there will be lots to discuss tonight and tomorrow, no doubt. Nate Silver says the numbers somewhat favor Sestak over Specter in Pennsylvania — no tears over that one, although I don’t know much about Sestak — and he’s calling the Lincoln-Halter contest in Arkansas “murky.” Could go either way.

People are going to be reading these elections like tea leaves to get a glimpse into what might happen in November. Nate says the special election in Pennsylvania for John Murtha’s vacated House seat could be an omen, if either candidate wins by 5 points or more. In other words, if the Republican Burns were to win the election by 5 points or more, this might tell us that November is shaping up into a cycle that favors Republicans, and Republicans can expect to make substantial gains in the House and Senate. If the Democrat Crist wins by 5 points or more, it could mean conditions will be similar to 2006 and 2008, cycles that favored Democrats. However, if either one wins by less than 5 points, then the tea leaves aren’t telling us anything useful.

Right now, polls say it’s a nail-biter.

Polls say Rand Son of Ron Paul will coast to an easy victory in the GOP Kentucky Republican primary, and that Son will likely win in November as well.

20 thoughts on “Primaries

  1. I can hardly wait for the pundits and pollsters take on all of this later on today. NOT!!!
    They’ll pick every nit, look at every up or down tick, tell us long and short length trends, pick stones from a chickens entrails, read the tea(bagger) leaves. Every one of them an ‘Oracle at Delphi’ in their own minds.
    I’ll wait a few days before I delve into the numbers.
    Hysteria can wait…

  2. What a great day for a hyper hypocrite republican’t to announce he’s been screwing one of his staffers, oh those eastern Indiana god fearing conservatives, gotta love’em.

  3. I forgot to link to the story, chances are the “liberal” media won’t say much about this, I mean he’s just another evangelical christian fucking around on his wife with an employee, pretty common stuff nowdays. I wonder if he did any buisness with rentboy dot com?

  4. I wonder if he did any buisness with rentboy dot com?

    CNN ain’t saying whether the staffer was female or male. Lately I’ve noticed a direct correlation between the degree of homophobia and the closetedness. One of these days, these blockheads ought to get a clue and just stfu about other people’s sexuality. Not holding my breath, though.

    Rand son of Ron

    Worf son of Mogh could kick his a**. Lord, would I pay to see that!

  5. Ah, uncledad’s link says “female.” And not a minor? How novel, for a Republican.

  6. Joan,
    He’s quitting over having an affair with an adult female?
    That’s not very Republican of him!
    It’s Democrats who, who at very the hint of a sexual scandal, smack the politician away from the teat whether it’s with a female, Spitzer, or a male, McGreevey.
    Republicans? I think if one showed up to his/her office with a stable of hooker’s, a syringe full of heroin in one arm, a handful of coke in the other, a pocketful of meth, and a BAC of .35, it’s be SOP in a run for re-election. The politician would say it was the fault of Liberals, beg the baby Jesus for foregiveness, have the rubes grant it, and onwards and upwards to victory…
    There’s more to this story. A Republican just doesn’t quit over disappointing family values voters, no matter who’s family it is that he/she values.
    There’s got to be a dead girl, or a live boy somewhere, that’s soon to come out.
    Otherwise, it should be in’ USA wins WWII’ type in major newspapers: “REPUBLICAN QUITS OVER AFFAIRWITH A WOMAN!?!?:

  7. Ugh!
    Now it appears the abstinence Congressman carried on his illicit affair in our great, evil, Communist, Socialist Public Parks, staining the public grounds with his unabstained private man-seed.
    I wonder how they tracked him to the parks? Was it the empty Viagra pill containers with his name on it, or her little bottle of ‘Love Potion #9’ with the witchdoctor’s name on it?
    Also, it looks like there were some other questions of ethics beyond his little tryst:
    http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2010/05/report_souder_and_mistress_allegedly_frequented_st.php?ref=fpblg

    As I said earlier, Republicans don’t quit over affairs, so I’m still waiting for the dead girl or live boy news to come out.
    They also don’t typically resign over ethic’s, so if that’s true, the ethical violation(s) must be of epic proportions.

  8. I realize this may not be that big of a deal (a wing-nut Christian evangelical republican’t politician fucking around on his wife), but hey man I’m a Hoosier, and this fucking asshole parades around northern Indiana like his shit don’t stink. A real “family values” your gonna burn in hell bullshit artist. But this video has to be an all time classic. Souder being interviewed by his “girlfriend” about abstinence! What’s next Bristol Palin giving speeches on how to avoid teen pregnancy? Oh the humanity!

  9. UGH!!!
    It turns out the great abstinence Congressman was carrying on his illicit affair in our evil, Communist, Socialist, Public Parks, where he stained the public’s land with his unabstained private man-seed.
    I wonder how they traced him to the parks? Was it the empty Viagra pill containers with his name on them, or the little bottle of “Love Potion #9” with her witchdoctor’s name on it?
    And now, besides the tryst’s in the park, it appears there were ethical violations as well:
    http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2010/05/report_souder_and_mistress_allegedly_frequented_st.php?ref=fpblg
    Because Republican politicians don’t normally quit because of a heterosexual affair with a non-minor, I’m still waiting for the news of a dead girl or the live boy to come out. And, since they also don’t normally resign over ethics, this must be some sort of ethics violation(s) of epic proportions.

  10. Another one bites the dust! We should institute a policy of public floggings to tame the sexual lusts these wayward Christian politicians . I think about the poor Muslim dude in Saudi Arabia who got sentenced to a thousand lashes for being a sexual braggart. I’m sure his lashes took the stud muffin right out of him. It would probably be a good remedy to cure the fine Christian lads in the GOP also.

    I guess we can scratch his name off the Promise Keeper’s roster, ya think?

  11. Uncledad, your link to “the video” is priceless. A WTF moment if there ever was one.I just know they had complete pig in the mud sex as soon as the interview was over. OMG!!!

  12. “pig in the mud sex”

    Could you imagine, he must have cast some sort of spell on her, I mean look that schmuck for cripes sake!

  13. This unwashed Godless heathen has been married to the same woman for 36 years, and has NEVER taken a hike on the Applachian trail, but these sanctimonius Christian duche bags seem to fall out of nearly every tree…….

  14. uncledad.. Souder seems like he’s having a hard time gathering his thoughts in that interview..it’s like his brain is being deprived of blood supply or something. Maybe he’s nursing a major woody and it’s affecting his concentration. One thing is obvious.. He’s lacking in charm, so I can understand why the payroll was necessary to induce her affections.

  15. maha,
    I left a comment and it disappeared. I rewrote what I remembered and IT disappeared! Were they ‘moderationed,’ or are they still being ‘considered? 🙂
    Ok, to paraphrase (watch, they’ll reappear and I’ll look like a total jackass – not that that would not be a role I’ve never played before, mind you. I’ve been starring in that part for 52 years off-off-off-way-off B’dway). Help me out here maha, if I write this, delete the others. YOU have the power!!!

    uncledad,
    And the pig-in-the-mud-sex our great abstinence Congressman had was in a Communist, Socialist, Public Park, where he stained the public land with his unabstained private man-seed.
    I wonder how they tied his trysts to the parks? Was it the empty vials of Viagra with his name on them, or the empty little bottles of “Love Potion #9) with her witchdoctor’s name on them.
    Also, according to TPM, there may have been ethics violations.
    Now, Republican politicians don’t normally resign because of heterosexaul affairs or ethics problems, so I’m either waiting for somehing to come out about a dead girl or a live boy, or, after DeLay and crew, those must be some ethics violotions of Biblical proportions.

  16. maha,
    I left a comment and it disappeared. I rewrote what I remembered and IT disappeared! Were they ‘moderationed,’ or are they still being ‘considered? 🙂
    Ok, to paraphrase (watch, they’ll reappear and I’ll look like a total jackass – not that that would not be a role I’ve never played before, mind you. I’ve been starring in that part for 52 years off-off-off-way-off B’dway). Help me out here maha, if I write this, delete the others. YOU have the power!!!

    uncledad,
    And the pig-in-the-mud-sex our great abstinence Congressman had was in a Communist, Socialist, Public Park, where he stained the public land with his unabstained private man-seed.
    I wonder how they tied his trysts to the parks? Was it the empty vials of Viagra with his name on them, or the empty little bottles of “Love Potion #9) with her witchdoctor’s name on them.
    Also, according to TPM, there may have been ethics violations.
    Now, Republican politicians don’t normally resign because of heterosexaul affairs or ethics problems, so I’m either waiting for somehing to come out about a dead girl or a live boy, or, after DeLay and crew, those must be some ethics violotions of Biblical proportions.

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