Another Year, Another SOTU

The State of the Union

I’ll be out this evening, but I’ll leave a post up for commenting.

Elsewhere — like anybody is surprised — from Politico:

A long-running federal investigation has found that White House political aides to President George W. Bush engaged in widespread violations of a federal law which limits partisan political activity by government employees during the 2006 midterm elections.

A 118-page report issued Monday by the little-known Office of Special Counsel cites numerous violations of the Hatch Act by the Bush-era White House Office of Political Affairs. The report concludes that federal taxpayers footed the bill for improper activities that were intended to advance Republican political candidates.

The report says that partisan political activities were not incidental to the White House staffers’ jobs; that was their job. And taxpayers paid for it, including travel. However, the article doesn’t say whether anyone will ever be indicted. I’m not holding my breath.

Defenses: Guns

What we’re not hearing much of after the Tucson shooting is serious talk of tighter gun control. A few people have brought it up, of course, but IMO in a half-hearted way. Because it ain’t gonna happen. Not in today’s America. And I think large chunks of the progressive Left have accepted that and don’t push it much.

Of course, the reaction of the Right is that America needs more guns. An Arizona Congressman, Rep. Trent Franks, said after the Tucson shooting, “I wish there had been one more gun in Tucson.”

But according to Timothy Egan, some people in the crowd were armed.

The only gun-carrier I can find reference to in news stories is described by law professor John J. Donohue 3rd:

Joe Zamudio, the first lawful gun carrier on the scene, came around a corner and saw a man with a gun. Zamudio “grabbed his arm and shoved him into a wall.” Thankfully, Zamudio didn’t shoot because this was not the shooter, but the person who disarmed the shooter. Zamudio, age 24, displayed further caution in that he didn’t pull out his own 9 mm handgun because “he didn’t want to be confused as a second gunman.”

You may remember that Jared Loughner was subdued while reloading by several bystanders, including a woman who grabbed the loaded magazine when Loughner fumbled and dropped it. Another bystander clubbed Loughner in the head with a folding chair, while a 74-year-old retired colonel who had just been wounded wrestled him to the ground.

Timothy Egan continues,

It defies logic, as this case shows once again, that an average citizen with a gun is going to disarm a crazed killer. For one thing, these kinds of shootings happen far too suddenly for even the quickest marksman to get a draw. For another, your typical gun hobbyist lacks training in how to react in a violent scrum

Lots of “gun hobbyists’ also don’t seem to understand that a firearm is not necessarily the self-defense tool of choice in all situations, especially in urban settings.

You might remember, back in 2000, a young woman was sexually assaulted in broad daylight on the south end of Central Park. She was in a big crowd of people gathered to watch the Puerto Rico Day parade. And when I say big crowd, it was big even by New York City standards. There were hundreds of thousands of people in the immediate vicinity, in some placed packed elbow to elbow.

So on some web forum some yahoos in Texas were smarting off about how that wouldn’t have happened to a Texas woman, because Texas women know how to shoot, or some valiant Texan male with a gun would come to her rescue, or some such nonsense. After pointing out to the yahoos that New York City had a much lower rate of forcible rape than Dallas (and still does), I tried to explain that in a crowd like that it was unlikely anyone could have gotten a clean shot at the perpetrator. And they just jeered that I obviously didn’t know what I was talking about, because guns are the solution to just about everything.

Now, I realize that there are lots of responsible gun owners out there who have a lot more sense than these goons did; the young man in Tucson with the 9mm pistol he didn’t shoot, for example. But it’s exchanges like this that make me leery of the “more guns are the solution” attitude. And I’m sorry, but it always seems that the hotheads who holler the loudest about their gawd-given right to carry anything anywhere are the last people you’d want to have handy in a crisis like Tuscon. Hooray for the guy with the folding chair, I say.

Bob Drogin wrote for the Los Angeles Times that back in the Wild West days of Wyatt Earp and Doc Holliday, Arizona cities like the infamous Tombstone had tougher gun laws than they do today. Then, visitors were supposed to check their guns at the sheriff’s office and pick them up when they left town. Today, however,

Arizona’s gun laws are among the most lenient in the nation. Under legislation passed last year, guns are permitted almost everywhere in the state except doctors’ offices and some businesses. It is one of three states, along with Alaska and Vermont, that allow people 21 or older to carry concealed weapons without a permit. Concealed guns may be carried into bars as long as the gun owner isn’t drinking, and guns are permitted on school grounds as long as the weapon is unloaded and the owner remains in a vehicle.

Any law-abiding citizen 18 or older may buy or possess a rifle or shotgun. To buy a handgun, federal law requires a minimum age of 21. Firearms may be sold 14 hours a day, seven days a week, except Christmas.

Arizona also has among the highest rates of firearm-related deaths of any state in the nation. Arizona ranks eighth nationally, with 15.1 deaths per 100,000 people. By comparison, the state in which you are least likely to get shot is Hawaii, with 2.6 deaths per 100,000 people.

What about the claim that more guns equals less crime? This is from Daniel Webster, a professor and the co-director at the Center for Gun Policy and Research at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health:

It is not clear that permissive right-to-carry laws haven’t increased violence. There have been numerous studies of these laws, many of which have substantial flaws. The best study was done by Ian Ayres and John Donohue, law professors at Yale and Stanford, respectively, and disaggregates the effects for each state and type of crime.

The estimates from their best models show right-to-carry laws associated with increases in 7 of 9 crimes studied, with the largest effect (+9 percent) being the crime many researchers would have hypothesized would increase – aggravated assaults.

I can already see the “gun hobbyists” reaching for their well-thumbed paperback copy of John Lott’s More Guns, Less Crime. Don’t bother, fellas; Lott’s name has become synonymous with “cherry-picked data.” See also the John Lott “alternative Q and A.”

Related: See also “Police Fear War on Cops.”

Defenses: Insanity

Jared Loughner’s federal court arraignment is today. It is expected that he will plead “not guilty,” and that at trial his lawyer will offer an insanity defense. Insanity defenses rarely get a defendant acquitted, but an insanity defense might help Loughner avoid a death penalty.

I’m already seeing a re-hash of the same misinformation about “insanity” that was sluicing around after the massively psychotic Andrea Yates drowned her five children in 2001. For example, some genius always points out that the mentally ill are, statistically, no more likely than the general population to be violent. Which I believe is true. Therefore, they figure, mental illness doesn’t cause violence.

Let’s assume that, statistically, people with heart disease are no more or less likely to cause traffic accidents than people without heart disease. And then let’s say someone has a sudden heart attack while driving, loses control, and causes a five-car smash-up on an interstate. How logical, then, is it to say that the heart attack was not a factor in the accident because statistics tell us heart diseases don’t cause accidents?

By the same token, while mental health experts agree that most mentally ill people are no more likely than anyone else to become violent, I doubt many of them would willingly lock themselves in a room with an armed paranoid schizophrenic.

The next thing we’re gong to hear, and I’m sure it’s been said already, is that Loughner “knew” what he was doing because he planned it. But as I understand it, people with some types of schizophrenia are perfectly capable of making plans and carrying them out. The issue is that the motivation to act largely is being generated by the disease. Dr. Beatriz Luna, an associate professor of psychiatry and psychology, wrote in the New York Times:

For example, Jared Loughner’s criminal act appears to have involved careful planning that required voluntary and well-thought out steps. However, the aim of this planned behavior may reflect a disordered, diseased state. Neuroimaging studies could show that such a criminal engages brain systems to support voluntary acts in a similar way as the normal population. However they could also show abnormalities in brain processes that support the ability to have empathy and control over anger, or show that reported hallucinations recruit brain processes that support real sensory experiences. Although such a person would be able to operate in a voluntary planned manner, their acts would reflect brain abnormalities that contribute to their urge to commit crimes.

The larger problem is that “insanity” is not a medical term. The best psychiatrist in the world couldn’t tell you if Jared Loughner is “insane” under the law, because psychological science doesn’t recognize a condition called “insanity.” The insanity defense is based on antiquated ideas about mental illness that don’t apply to reality.

Dr. William T. Carpenter Jr., a professor of psychiatry, writes in the New York Times:

In the post-Hinckley era, the standard in many states has become a simple cognitive test that has little relationship to the scientific or clinical knowledge regarding psychotic illness. Rather than state of mind and the defendant’s understanding of his or her actions, the standard is close to simply whether the defendant knew the act was unlawful. Insanity acquittals, already rare, now face an almost impossible standard.

One wrinkle in this issue is that Arizona is, I believe, the only state with a “guilty, but insane” verdict. I’m not sure how this works, but I think this gives the court the ability to sentence the convicted-but-insane person to a secure psychiatric facility, but if he gets better and no longer needs hospitalization he is transferred to a prison to finish his sentence. I guess we’ll learn more about this when we get into the state proceedings.

A Few Observations

[Update: Greg Sargent has a different take on the Olbermann departure; worth a read.]

Obviously, the big news this morning is Keith Olbermann’s departure from MSNBC. I take it from most news stories this was a mutual decision that has been brewing for a long time. Is the takeover of MSNBC by Comcast a factor, however? Hmm.

From Steve M, a follow up to yesterday’s Right-Wing Domestic Violence News — to recap, a man in Massachusetts named Travis Corcoran wrote a blog post advocating that all members of Congress and their staffs be shot. After approving of the Rep. Gabrielle Giffords shooting — “1 down and 534 to go” — he added, “It is absolutely, absolutely unacceptable to shoot indiscriminately. Target only politicians and their staff and leave regular citizens alone.” Well, that’s big of him.

Police raided his house, seized weapons and ammunition, and suspending his gun license pending their investigation. To rational people, this would be a sensible precaution. But righties are screaming that they are being targeted by the police state because of their beliefs.

Meanwhile — Glenn Beck’s insane rants are endangering the life of an elderly retired professor because of something she wrote 45 years ago.

Unbelievable.

[Update: Steve Benen writes of the elderly professor, “With Beck having singled out Piven as an instigator of political violence, Beck’s audience has published death threats against the CUNY professor, and some of his followers have even contacted her directly with menacing messages.” Ooo, what strong, brave men they must be to threaten a 78-year-old woman. Next up: Kristallnacht.]

Elsewhere — a certain rightie blogger whom I called out for lying about me has now put up a post in childish retaliation of my post about him. No, DD, you don’t get a link. You’ll have to annoy someone else if you’re that desperate to boost your traffic.

Finally — it’s increasingly obvious to me that many so-called “right to life” advocates don’t really care about reducing abortion. They just get off on being self-righteousness about it.

The Founding Fathers Didn’t Know the Constitution!

I love this (and Ezra Klein, who comes up with the best stuff):

See Rick Ungar, “Congress Passes Socialized Medicine and Mandates Health Insurance -In 1798.”

In July of 1798, Congress passed – and President John Adams signed – “An Act for the Relief of Sick and Disabled Seamen.” The law authorized the creation of a government operated marine hospital service and mandated that privately employed sailors be required to purchase health care insurance.

Keep in mind that the 5th Congress did not really need to struggle over the intentions of the drafters of the Constitutions in creating this Act as many of its members were the drafters of the Constitution.

This is a fascinating thing I don’t think I’ve heard about before. The new country depended very much on the private merchant fleet for trade, but the seamen were always getting hurt and coming down with diseases. Sick merchant seamen were bad for the economy. So the 5th Congress established government-run maritime hospitals for the seamen, paid by a payroll tax on the seamen’s wages. And seamen were required to pay into their health care system or they weren’t allowed to work as seamen.

Do read the whole article, and also Greg Sargent’s follow up. This absolutely destroys the argument that the Founding Fathers wouldn’t have approved of government-run health care as a public good because it wasn’t explicitly discussed in the Constitution.

Right-Wing Domestic Violence News: The Grand Silence

Before today’s review of “isolated incidents” of right-wing domestic violence, take a moment to view this bit of a curiosity from Glenn Beck, from a few months ago. Brad Blog has a transcript.

It’s a curiosity, because if you listened to it you may have thought you heard Beck saying “You’re going to have to shoot them in the head.” But, we learn from Patterico that he didn’t say that at all! Very curious, indeed. Are we all suffering a mass audio delusion?

Ah, here’s the explanation. Patterico objects because there is an unspoken implication that Beck was telling his audience to shoot someone in the head. But that’s not true! Patterico says:

When you read [the transcript], you will see that the word “you” refers to the leftist politicians in Washington and their pals in the media, and “they” refers to their radical leftist friends — who, Beck warns, actually believe there must be violent revolution . . . and if they don’t get what they want, they may start one.

Beck is warning the comfortable pols that the people who put them in power aren’t going to be satisfied with seeing just a little of their agenda accomplished. They want it all. Because they are revolutionaries at heart — people who have called for violence and never repudiated it. And if they aren’t satisfied, Beck tells the pols, they will come after you. Violently.

You’re going to have to shoot them in the head. But they may shoot you.

Johnson wants you to believe that the “you” is Beck’s audience, whom Beck is inciting to violence. Nothing could be further from the truth.

See? Nobody’s inciting anybody to violence. So if you’re a rightie thinking I was going to say something snarky about Patterico, you can go back to your regular favorite websites. Thanks much.

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Are they gone? Jeebus, is this sick, or what? See also Steve M.

If you’ve got the stomach for it, Dave Neiwert has a roundup of Glenn’s greatest hits, which includes this bit.

Anyway, in other domestic violence news — you may have heard of the bomb left along a Martin Luther King Day parade in Spokane. I say you may have heard; this story hasn’t made much of a splash at all. But law enforcement officials say the bomb wasn’t an amateur job, but a sophisticated and deadly piece of work.

The Spokane bomb was packed with shrapnel and would have been detonated by a remote device, if it hadn’t been discovered.

Authorities are still checking out a long list of suspects, including the Aryan Nations. So far, the investigation appears to be focused on right-wing hate groups.

Dave Neiwert, who lives up in those parts somewhere, provided a background of right-wing hate groups in the Spokane area. And Will Bunch asks if right-wing media carping about the coverage of the Tucson shooting has news media spooked from covering the bomb attempt in Spokane.

Because, you know, if they could tie that bomb to someone named “Mohammed,” it would be all we’d hear about for days. But some right-wing racist yahoos? Nothin’ to see hear, folks, move along.

And police in Arlington, Massachusetts, have seized “a large amount of weapons and ammunition” from some guy who suggested on his blog that all members of Congress should be shot. After the shooting of Rep. Gabrielle Giffords in Tuscan, he titled a post “1 down, 534 to go.” He told police he was just joking. Of course, I suppose it could be argued that since the guy advocated the shooting of all member of Congress, of both parties, that makes him a moderate.

Sorta kinda related — New Jersey’s job-killing governor Chris Christie may have blown his status as the Right’s new “best boy” by appointing a Muslim man to be a judge.

Lies, Damn Lies, and Donald Douglas

Not finding enough people to hate today, I suppose, flaming idiot Donald Douglas lies to his readers about what I wrote about the abortion doctor and clinic under indictment in Philadelphia.

Get a load of this headline:

Click for larger image

And then the miserable liar Douglas ends his post this way —

I’m saddened by the industrial-scale death that you promote with your radical pro-choice ideology. And I’ll pray for those babies — and for you as well.

Pray for yourself, Douglas. Maybe God will make you an honest man. Or, at least, bequeath unto you standard reading comprehension skills.

Of course I didn’t “cheer” the doctor under indictment. The point of the post was that what he did was illegal under current abortion law, and now he is being prosecuted, which is as it should be. Further criminalization of abortion will not stop more clinics like this, but rather make it likely there will be more of them. I’m not saying this is what I want; I’m saying this is a terrible thing that will happen if abortion is further criminalized in the U.S.

And of course, no reader of Douglas’s slanderous post will bother to actually read what I really wrote, because righties don’t read. They just hate.

The Job-Killing Republican Spending Cut Proposal

Conservative Republicans (isn’t that redundant?) in the House have introduced a bill that they say would reduce government spending by $2.3 trillion over ten years. David Weigel explains how they will do this:

The proposal does what Republicans have been talking about for two years — “repeal” of remaining stimulus funds (now $45 billion), privatizing Fannie and Freddie ($30 billion), repealing Medicaid’ FMAP increase ($16.1 billion), and what they estimate at $330 billion in discretionary spending cuts. Highlights of these projected annual savings:

– Cutting the federal workforce by 15 percent through attrition, and do this by allowing only one new federal worker for every two who quit.
– Killing the “fund for Obamacare administrative costs” for $900 million
– Ending Amtrak subsidies for $1.565 billion
– Ending intercity and high speed rail grants for $2.5 billion
– Repealing Davis-Bacon for $1 billion
– Cutting annual general assistance to the District of Columbia by $210 million, and cutting the subsidy for DC’s transit authority by $150 million.

Reforms that go after their own perks:
– Cutting the Federal Travel Budget in half, for $7.5 billion
– Cutting the Federal Vehicle Budget by 1/5, for $600 million
– Halve funding for congressional printing – $47 million annual savings
– Ending the death gratuity for members of Congress

And cuts that get revenge for Juan Williams: $445 million from the Corporation for Public Broadcasting, $167.5 million from the NEA, and $167.5 million from the NEH.

Steve Benen:

The likelihood of these cuts actually passing is non-existent, but it is a helpful snapshot of Republican priorities. But also note perhaps the most important detail about a plan such as this one: it would be devastating for American jobs. Indeed, if lawmakers were to get together to plot how Congress could deliberately increase unemployment, their plan would look an awful lot like this one. The RSC proposal would deliberately fire thousands of civilian workers, force states to make sweeping job cuts, and lay off thousands more who work in transportation and infrastructure.

Instead of working on creating jobs, we’re left with a new House majority that either (a) wants to ignore the problem; or (b) wants to deliberately make it worse. For all the Republican excitement about the midterm results, I suspect the GOP just wasn’t listening very closely to what Americans said they’re concerned about most.